The Trump effect’s implications for US politics and the world

In recent years, the US political landscape has undergone profound transformations, largely influenced by figures like Donald Trump. This phenomenon, often termed the “Trump effect,” has reshaped not only the Republican Party but also the broader political discourse in the nation. Understanding this new political order is critical for predicting the party’s trajectory and its impact on working-class Americans, particularly those grappling with economic challenges and federal debt.

Trump’s rise marked a departure from traditional Republican values. His populist message resonated with many voters who felt marginalized by political elites, pulling the Republican Party toward a more nationalist stance. During the 2016 election, Trump’s straightforward rhetoric and promises to revive American manufacturing struck a deep chord with working-class citizens abandoned by globalization. This shift resulted in a party that often prioritized isolationism and skepticism of international alliances, moving away from its historical globalism. While this attracted certain demographics, particularly older white voters, it risked alienating younger, more diverse voters who seek broader inclusivity and engagement on a global scale.

Moreover, significant demographic changes across the US create both challenges and opportunities for the Republican Party. As the electorate diversifies, the party must reassess its political strategies to include voices traditionally left out of the conversation. Although Trump initially engaged white working-class voters, the party’s reluctance to address the concerns of younger and more diverse groups could hinder its future viability. Finding common ground will be pivotal; otherwise, the party risks being sidelined in a rapidly changing societal landscape.

From a counterpoint perspective, one could argue that Trump prompted a necessary examination of economic issues long overlooked by both major parties. He spotlighted the struggles of cash-strapped Americans, pressuring the Republican establishment to reconsider its approach to labor and manufacturing. Initiatives like tax reforms aimed at revitalizing struggling industries reflect a shift toward addressing the economic concerns of everyday Americans, although these efforts have been met with varying degrees of success and criticism.

On an international scale, the Trump effect has raised questions regarding the future of US foreign policy. Trump’s “America First” doctrine has led to strained alliances, as seen with NATO partners facing pressure to increase their defense expenditures. This shift has created perceptions of unpredictability in US foreign relations, raising concerns about the implications for global stability. While domestic economic revitalization has been a significant aspect of Trump’s agenda, the potential long-term consequences for international relationships remain a crucial area of concern.

However, one significant critique of Trump-centric policies is the increasing federal debt, compounded by tax cuts and mounting spending. This raises urgent questions about the sustainability of his approach and whether the benefits for working-class Americans can outweigh the long-term economic repercussions of ballooning national debt. Moving forward, future policymakers must balance immediate electoral gains with the necessity for fiscal responsibility to ensure lasting economic stability.

As the Democratic Party grapples with its identity, a complex interplay exists between progressive ideals and economic realities. While emphasizing identity politics is vital for addressing historical injustices, it has also distanced the party from core economic concerns affecting working-class individuals. Politicians like Bernie Sanders have criticized this focus, warning that it risks alienating voters who prioritize economic issues. To regain its footing, the Democratic Party must adopt a balanced strategy that integrates both economic and identity-based issues.

Trump’s straightforward rhetoric and promises to revive American manufacturing struck a deep chord with working-class citizens.

The American electoral landscape, especially presidential elections, differs greatly from the democratic processes found in Western nations, featuring a complex “machine” aimed at generating a winning candidate rather than one focused on national interests. With the voting phase for the 2024 elections concluded and partisan interpretations underway, many countries find themselves anxiously awaiting the outcome, delaying vital decisions that could significantly impact their political and economic trajectories.

In contrast to countries entangled in US electoral politics, Saudi Arabia showcases impressive strategic resilience. By prioritizing sustainable development and national transformation, the Kingdom’s leadership has managed to maintain progress regardless of US electoral outcomes. This strategy offers a stable framework for growth and development, enabling Saudi Arabia to minimize its political risks.

However, a counterargument to this assertion is that, while Saudi Arabia’s approach appears stable, its geopolitical security and economic success remain heavily intertwined with US policies. Any significant leadership change in the US could disrupt this balance, necessitating that Riyadh actively seeks alternative global partnerships to diversify its geopolitical dependencies and mitigate potential risks stemming from changing American priorities.

In conclusion, the potential realignment of the US political landscape, driven by the Trump effect, presents multifaceted challenges and opportunities for the Republican Party and its constituents. As the party navigates shifting demographics and electorate expectations, it must also reflect on the broader implications of its international actions. The interplay between progressive ideals and economic realities will require both major US political parties to adopt a proactive and inclusive approach to ensure relevance in this evolving landscape.

Crucially, the future of the Republican Party, the economic stability of working-class Americans and countries navigating these changes, particularly Saudi Arabia, hinge on the choices made today.

As the political narrative continues to evolve, fostering dialogue that emphasizes both the urgent socioeconomic challenges and the complexities of identity politics will be essential for a more cohesive national and international narrative. Saudi Arabia's path of strategic resilience not only serves as a model for adaptability but also highlights the necessity for nations to proactively shape their futures amid the uncertainties of global politics.

Ultimately, success in this shifting environment will depend on a balanced approach that prioritizes sustainable policies, economic growth and inclusivity, ensuring that all citizens have a voice in shaping their collective destiny.

• Dr. Turki Faisal Al-Rasheed is an adjunct professor at the University of Arizona, College of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Department of Biosystems Engineering. He is the author of “Agricultural Development Strategies: The Saudi Experience.”