What is behind the biggest surge in internal displacement ever recorded?

Special What is behind the biggest surge in internal displacement ever recorded?
climate-related disasters in different parts of the world, continue to drive millions from their homes. (Reuters)
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Updated 23 June 2025
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What is behind the biggest surge in internal displacement ever recorded?

What is behind the biggest surge in internal displacement ever recorded?
  • Aid agencies have recorded an unprecedented rise in displacement within countries across every global region
  • More than 83 million people were internally displaced by the end of 2024 — the highest figure ever documented

DUBAI: The world is witnessing a historic surge in displacement — not across borders, but within them. Ongoing conflicts in Gaza and Sudan, coupled with the escalating frequency and intensity of climate-related disasters, continue to drive millions from their homes.

By the end of 2024, more than 83.4 million people in the world were internally displaced — the highest number yet recorded.

According to the 2025 Global Report on Internal Displacement, that figure has nearly doubled in just six years — the equivalent of displacing the entire population of Germany.

More broadly, the latest figures from UNHCR’s Global Trends Report 2025 show that the total number of forcibly displaced people worldwide — including refugees, asylum seekers, and those internally displaced — had reached 122.1 million by the end of April 2025, up from 120 million the year before.

“We are living in a time of intense volatility in international relations, with modern warfare creating a fragile, harrowing landscape marked by acute human suffering,” said Filippo Grandi, the UN high commissioner for refugees, responding to the figures.

“We must redouble our efforts to search for peace and find long-lasting solutions for refugees and others forced to flee their homes.”

While Grandi highlighted the urgent need for global solutions, experts tracking internal displacement say the crisis is becoming increasingly entrenched within national borders.

“Internal displacement is where conflict, poverty, and climate collide, hitting the most vulnerable the hardest,” Alexandra Bilak, director of the Internal Displacement Monitoring Center, said in a statement.

The latest figures reveal internal displacement is no longer just a humanitarian issue, she said, but a complex political and development challenge that continues to be overlooked.

“The data is clear — it’s now time to use it to prevent displacement, support recovery, and build resilience,” Bilak said.

The global surge in internal displacement was felt across every region in 2024, according to the Global Report on Internal Displacement.

An internally displaced person is someone forced to flee their home to escape conflict, persecution, or disaster. But unlike refugees, they remain within their country’s borders. 

Sub-Saharan Africa is the epicenter of this global surge, home to 38.8 million internally displaced persons — making up almost 46 percent of the global total. 

All 23 countries in the region that experienced conflict-related displacement also suffered from disaster-induced movements, compounding already dire humanitarian needs.

In the Middle East and North Africa, conflict-related displacement also surged — particularly in the Gaza Strip, where conflict has raged since October 2023. About 2 million Palestinians were forced from their homes, according to the Global Report on Internal Displacement.

The Americas likewise showed a dramatic increase, with 14.5 million people forced to flee within their national boundaries. The US alone accounted for 11 million disaster-related movements — nearly a quarter of the global total for such events.

In South Asia, disaster displacement nearly tripled, to 9.2 million, the region’s second-highest figure in more than a decade.

Conflict was the primary driver of internal displacement in 2024. In Sudan, the situation has deteriorated dramatically since fighting erupted there in April 2023.

“It has become the largest and most devastating displacement, humanitarian and protection crisis in the world today,” Tarik Argaz, a UNHCR representative, told Arab News.

As of mid-2024, more than 12.4 million people had been displaced in Sudan — including 8.1 million internally and more than 4 million who had fled to neighboring countries. These figures are based on UNHCR’s operational data collected during the continuing crisis.

By April 2025, the scale of displacement had grown further. According to UNHCR’s Global Trends Report, Sudan now represents the largest forced displacement crisis in the world, with a combined total of 14.3 million displaced people — including refugees and internally displaced people.




People who fled the Zamzam camp for the internally displaced after it fell under RSF control, rest in a makeshift encampment in an open field near the town of Tawila in war-torn Sudan's western Darfur region on April 13, 2025. (AFP)

“Security remains the major challenge in many regions of Sudan,” Argaz said. “Access to different areas continues to change due to the dynamic nature of the conflict.”

Disasters also triggered a record 45.8 million new internal displacements — the highest since 2008. An overwhelming 99.5 percent of these were caused by climate-related events, particularly storms and floods.

Argaz said climate change and displacement are becoming increasingly interconnected.

“Adverse effects of climate change and disasters have contributed to increased forced displacement over past decades,” he said.

“As extreme weather events and environmental conditions worsen with global heating, they are contributing to multiple and overlapping crises, increasing poverty and loss of livelihoods.

“The Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre estimates that over 25 million people are forced to move due to disaster-related causes each year.

“The majority of people forcibly displaced by persecution, conflict and violence today live in countries that are highly vulnerable and ill-prepared to adapt to climate change.”

INNUMBERS

• 83.4 million By the end of 2024, more than 83.4 million people in the world were internally displaced — the highest number yet recorded.

• 9.2 million In South Asia, disaster displacement nearly tripled, to 9.2 million, the region’s second-highest figure in more than a decade.

Despite ongoing challenges, UNHCR continues to provide lifesaving support — including shelter, healthcare, psychosocial services, and cash assistance — while also working with regional partners to coordinate a broader response to displacement.

In a rare sign of progress, 9.8 million forcibly displaced people returned home in 2024, including 1.6 million refugees — the most in more than two decades — and 8.2 million internally displaced persons — the second highest yet recorded.

However, many of these returns occurred under difficult political and security conditions.

A large number of Afghans, for example, were forced to return to Afghanistan in 2024, often arriving in dire circumstances. In countries such as Democratic Republic of the Congo, Myanmar, and South Sudan, new displacements unfolded even as others returned.

“Even amid the devastating cuts, we have seen some rays of hope over the last six months,” said UN High Commissioner Grandi, referring to the recent reduction in aid funding by the US and other major Western donors.

“Nearly 2 million Syrians have been able to return home after over a decade uprooted. The country remains fragile and people need our help to rebuild their lives again.”




Congolese refugees displaced by ongoing clashes in eastern Democratic Republic of Congo carry their belongings as they disembark from a truck upon arrival at the Gihanga refugee transit camp in Gihanga on February 17, 2025.

Internally displaced persons should be afforded the same rights and freedoms as all other citizens and habitual residents of their country, Argaz said.

“Our advocacy efforts have been instrumental in supporting the protection of internally displaced persons on various fronts — from access to documentation, education, healthcare, and livelihoods, to promoting economic inclusion and the peaceful resolution of conflicts, which are often the root cause of displacement,” he said.

Internally displaced persons often face a range of protection challenges that vary depending on the context.

These typically include limited access to basic necessities such as shelter, food, water, and healthcare — particularly during emergencies and in protracted displacement situations.

Many are also vulnerable to exploitation and abuse, including gender-based violence.

Long-term solutions such as return or local integration are still out of reach for millions.

“The cost of inaction is rising,” Bilak said. “And displaced people are paying the price.”

 


At UN climate talks in Brazil, the only sign of the United States is an empty chair

At UN climate talks in Brazil, the only sign of the United States is an empty chair
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At UN climate talks in Brazil, the only sign of the United States is an empty chair

At UN climate talks in Brazil, the only sign of the United States is an empty chair
  • Brazil President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, whose nation is hosting these talks, urged negotiators not to forget that “the climate emergency is an increase of inequality”

BELEM, Brazil: A litany of recent weather disasters rang long Monday at the opening of UN climate negotiations: Hurricane Melissa in Jamaica, a deadly tornado in Brazil, droughts and fire in Africa. Against that backdrop, activists used an empty chair to drive home the absence from these talks of the United States, the world’s richest nation and second-biggest carbon polluter.

World leaders highlighted the devastation wrought on some of the world’s poorest places to show the need to work collectively to fight global warming, which is fueling extreme weather. But any united front will be without the US, one of only four nations missing the talks, along with tiny San Marino and strife-torn Afghanistan and Myanmar.

The 195 nations who did come to Belem, a weathered city on the edge of the Brazilian Amazon, for the talks known as COP30 were told that only together can they swiftly reduce the emissions from coal, oil and gas that cause climate change.

While the activists’ empty chair primarily illustrated the US absence, it was also intended to be a call-out for other nations “to step in and step up,” Danni Taaffe with Climate Action Network International told The Associated Press.

Those leading the talks sounded a similar note.

“Humanity is still in this fight. We have some tough opponents, no doubt, but we also have some heavyweights on our side. One is the brute power of the market forces as renewables get cheaper,” United Nations climate secretary Simon Stiell said.

A clear mandate

Brazil President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, whose nation is hosting these talks, urged negotiators not to forget that “the climate emergency is an increase of inequality.”

“It deepens the perverse logic that defines who is worthy of living and who should die,” Lula said.

This year’s talks are not expected to produce an ambitious new deal. Instead, organizers and analysts frame this year’s conference as the “implementation COP.” Countries had a clear mandate: arrive with their updated national plans to fight climate change.

On Monday, the United Nations released updated calculations showing that those national pledges promise to reduce projected 2035 global greenhouse gas emissions 12 percent below 2019 levels. That’s 2 points better than last month, before new pledges rolled in.

Attendees on Monday stressed cooperation, with Stiell saying that individual nations simply cannot cut heat-trapping gas emissions fast enough on their own.

André Corrêa do Lago, president of this year’s conference, emphasized that negotiators must engage in “mutirão” — a local Indigenous term that refers to a group uniting to complete a task.

A united front — without the US

Complicating those calls is the absence of the United States, where US President Donald Trump has long denied the existence of climate change.

The UN’s updated figures Monday depend on a US pledge that came from the Biden administration in December — before Trump returned to the White House and began working to boost fossil fuels and block clean energy like wind and solar. His administration did not send high-level negotiators to Belem, and he began his second term by withdrawing for the second time from the 10-year-old Paris Agreement, the first global pact to fight climate change.

The Paris Agreement sought to limit warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above the historical average, but many scientists now say it’s unlikely countries will stay below that threshold.

The United States has put more heat-trapping carbon dioxide into the air from the burning of coal, oil and natural gas than any other country. China is the No. 1 carbon polluter now, but because carbon dioxide stays in the air for at least a century, more of it was made in the US.

Palau Ambassador Ilana Seid, who chairs the Alliance of Small Island States, said the US withdrawal “has really shifted the gravity” of the negotiating system.

Trump’s actions damage the fight against climate change, former US Special Envoy for Climate Todd Stern said.

“It’s a good thing that they are not sending anyone. It wasn’t going to be constructive if they did,” he said.

Though the US government isn’t showing up, some attendees including former top US negotiators are pointing to US cities, states and businesses that they said will help take up the slack.

‘A tragedy of the present’

Lula and Stiell said the 10-year-old Paris Agreement is working to a degree, but action needs to be accelerated. They pointed to devastation in the past few weeks including Hurricane Melissa in the Caribbean, typhoons smashing Vietnam and the Philippines and a tornado ripping through southern Brazil.

Scientists have said extreme weather events have become more frequent as Earth warms.

“Climate change is not a threat of the future. It is already a tragedy of the present time,’’ Lula said.

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