Qatar’s non-oil business growth steady in December; Lebanon’s PMI at 8-month high

Qatar’s non-oil business growth steady in December; Lebanon’s PMI at 8-month high
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Updated 07 January 2025
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Qatar’s non-oil business growth steady in December; Lebanon’s PMI at 8-month high

Qatar’s non-oil business growth steady in December; Lebanon’s PMI at 8-month high
  • Qatar’s labor market was a key driver of the country’s overall progress in business conditions
  • S&P Global added that activity levels across Lebanon’s private sector economy fell in December

RIYADH: The growth of non-oil business activities in Qatar was steady in December, with the country’s purchasing managers’ index remaining stable at 52.9, unchanged from November, an economy tracker showed. 

The latest report released by Qatar Financial Center and compiled by S&P Global said that the headline PMI figure for the fourth quarter of 2024 stood at 52.9, up from 52.0 in the previous three months and above the long-run survey average of 52.3 since April 2017.

According to the PMI survey, Qatar’s labor market was a key driver of the country’s overall progress in business conditions in December, with employment and wage increases reaching some of the highest levels on record. 

The strong growth in non-energy business activities aligns with the broader economic diversification efforts across Gulf Cooperation Council nations, which continue to reduce reliance on oil revenues.

Earlier this month, S&P Global revealed that Saudi Arabia’s December PMI hit 58.4, driven by a sharp increase in new orders. The Kingdom’s PMI has remained above the neutral 50 mark since September 2020, indicating substantial expansion in the non-oil private sector.

In the UAE and Qatar, the PMI for December stood at 55.4 and 54.1, respectively. 

“The headline PMI was unchanged at 52.9 in December, remaining above the long-run trend level of 52.3 and indicating a solid improvement in business conditions in the non-energy sector,” said Yousuf Mohamed Al-Jaida, CEO of QFC Authority. 

According to the report, employment and wages have risen more quickly in Qatar’s non-energy business sector than at any other time in survey history, which reflects efforts to raise output, improve services, win new business, and address outstanding workloads.

Even though wage pressures remained strong in December, overall input price inflation eased further from October’s four-year high. 

The survey added that Qatari firms continued to hold an optimistic outlook for the next 12 months in December, albeit slightly easing from November. 

According to the analysis, Qatar’s Financial Services Future Activity Index rose from 62.1 in November to 68.3 in December, well above the long-run series trend of 63.6.

“The outlook for 2025 is strongly positive, continuing to support a booming labor market. New business growth generated a renewed rise in outstanding work during December, and companies continued to build inventories in expectation of sales growth in the coming months,” added Al-Jaida. 

Business confidence in Lebanon rises

In a separate report released by BLOMINVEST Bank, compiled by S&P Global, the PMI of Lebanon hit an eight-month high in December, reaching 48.8, up from 48.1 in November. 

The survey revealed that companies recorded their most optimistic assessment of the 12-month outlook in December as the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire buoyed sentiment. 

S&P Global added that activity levels across Lebanon’s private sector economy fell in December, although the pace of decline cooled to the softest seen since March. 

“The BLOM Lebanon PMI for December 2024 improved for the second month in a row from the 44-month low in October (45.0) to record 48.8, as slower declines in new orders and new export orders resulted in a softer output contraction,” said Helmi Mrad, research analyst at BLOMINVEST Bank. 

He added: “It is interesting to note that the surveyed companies were optimistic regarding the 12-month outlook, with the Future Output Index recording an all-time high of 61.8. This optimism is due to the ceasefire agreement between Hezbollah and Israel.” 

According to the survey, the decline in new export business also cooled sharply in December, with the contraction being the slowest in 10 months. This trend also signaled a marked easing of the contraction in international client demand for Lebanese products. 


Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports surge 19.7%: GASTAT 

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports surge 19.7%: GASTAT 
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Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports surge 19.7%: GASTAT 

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports surge 19.7%: GASTAT 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports surged 19.7 percent year on year in November to reach SR26.92 billion ($7.18 billion), bolstering the Kingdom’s efforts to diversify its economy. 

According to the General Authority for Statistics, chemical products led the growth, accounting for 24 percent of total non-oil exports, followed by plastic and rubber products, which made up 21.7 percent of shipments. 

Building a robust non-oil sector is a key goal of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 program, which seeks to transform the Kingdom’s economy and reduce its reliance on oil revenues, with  Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Al-Ibrahim revealing in November that these activities now constitute 52 percent of the  gross domestic product. 

In its latest report, GASTAT said: “The ratio of non-oil exports (including re-exports) to imports increased to 36.6 percent in November 2024 from 34.8 percent in November 2023. This was due to a 19.7 percent increase in non-oil exports and a 13.9 percent increase in imports over that period.” 

The Kingdom’s total merchandise exports fell 4.7 percent year on year in November, weighed down by a 12 percent drop in oil exports. This decline reduced the share of oil exports in total shipments to 70.3 percent, down from 76.3 percent a year earlier, signaling progress in Saudi Arabia’s economic diversification. 

GASTAT reported that China remained Saudi Arabia’s largest trading partner in November, with exports to the Asian nation totaling SR13.53 billion. 

Other key destinations for exports included Japan with SR8.93 billion, the UAE with SR8.75 billion, and India with SR8.74 billion. 

Saudi Arabia’s imports rose 13.9 percent year on year in November, reaching SR73.65 billion. However, the merchandise trade surplus declined by 44.3 percent during the same period, falling to SR16.89 billion. 

China remained the dominant supplier of goods to the Kingdom, accounting for SR20.11 billion of imports, followed by the US at SR7.52 billion and the UAE at SR3.90 billion. 

King Abdulaziz Sea Port in Dammam emerged as the top entry point for imports, handling goods valued at SR18.19 billion, representing 24.7 percent of total inbound shipments. 


Oil Updates — prices extend losses on uncertainty over Trump tariff impact

Oil Updates — prices extend losses on uncertainty over Trump tariff impact
Updated 15 min 48 sec ago
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Oil Updates — prices extend losses on uncertainty over Trump tariff impact

Oil Updates — prices extend losses on uncertainty over Trump tariff impact

SINGAPORE: Oil prices dipped in Asian trade on Thursday, extending losses amid uncertainty over how US President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs and energy policies would impact global economic growth and energy demand.

Brent crude futures fell 38 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $78.62 a barrel by 10:16 a.m. Saudi time in a sixth straight day of losses, while US West Texas Intermediate crude fell for a fifth day, easing 39 cents, or 0.5 percent, to $75.05.

“Oil markets have given back some recent gains due to mixed drivers,” said senior market analyst Priyanka Sachdeva at Phillip Nova. “Key factors include expectations of increased US production under President Trump’s pro-drilling policies and easing geopolitical stress in Gaza, lifting fears of further escalation in supply disruption from key producing regions.”

The broader economic implications of US tariffs could further dampen global oil demand growth, she added.

Trump has said he would add new tariffs to his sanctions threat against Russia if the country does not make a deal to end its war in Ukraine. He added these could be applied to “other participating countries” as well.

He also vowed to hit the EU with tariffs, impose 25 percent tariffs against Canada and Mexico, and said his administration was discussing a 10 percent punitive duty on China because fentanyl is being sent to the US from there.

On Monday, he also declared a national energy emergency. That is intended to provide him with the authority to reduce environmental restrictions on energy infrastructure and projects and ease permitting for new transmission and pipeline infrastructure.

There will be “more potential downward choppy movement in the oil market in the near term due to the Trump administration’s lack of clarity on trade tariffs policy and impending higher oil supplies from the US due to the...drive to make the US a major oil exporter,” said OANDA’s senior market analyst Kelvin Wong in an email.

On the US oil inventory front, crude stocks rose by 958,000 barrels in the week ended Jan. 17, according to sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Wednesday.
Gasoline inventories rose by 3.23 million barrels, and distillate stocks climbed by 1.88 million barrels, they said. 


Qatar’s duty to help Syria, global debt poses economic crisis: Finance minister

Qatar’s duty to help Syria, global debt poses economic crisis: Finance minister
Updated 59 min 32 sec ago
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Qatar’s duty to help Syria, global debt poses economic crisis: Finance minister

Qatar’s duty to help Syria, global debt poses economic crisis: Finance minister
  • Syrian leadership’s promises ‘very positive,’ Ali Ahmed Al-Kuwari tells World Economic Forum
  • Fiscal deficit, rising borrowing affecting many countries are ‘problems that few want to discuss’

DAVOS: Qatar considers it a duty to support Syria and its new administration after 14 years of devastating civil war, Qatari Finance Minister Ali Ahmed Al-Kuwari said on Wednesday.

The cost of reconstructing Syria is estimated at $400 billion, as the country needs to rebuild the housing, industrial and energy infrastructure damaged during the conflict.

Since 2011, Qatar supported Syrian opposition factions that captured the seat of power in Damascus in early December 2024.

Doha also avoided reestablishing diplomatic relations during the twilight months of the Assad regime, which rejoined the Arab League in 2023.

Al-Kuwari, who visited Syria last week, said: “The whole world is supposed to help Syria (right now). The words and promises from the leadership there are promising and very positive.”

He added that the new leadership, led by rebel-turned-statesman Ahmed Al-Sharaa, recognizes that the task ahead is transitioning from insurgency to building Syrian institutions.

“This task will need the help of the world. We can’t afford Syria going back to the (years) of bloodshed again,” Al-Kuwari said.

“We’ll invest in education (to help the Syrians) because educated people will work hard, they’ll make money, they’ll prosper and grow.”

The Qatari minister made these comments during the “Navigating the Fiscal Squeeze” panel at the World Economic Forum in Davos, which discussed challenges for financial growth, global debt and rising inflation.

The panel included speakers from the International Monetary Fund, the UCLA School of Law, the London Stock Exchange Group, and Zimbabwe’s Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube.

Syrians watch fireworks as they gather for New Year's Eve celebrations in Damascus after the fall of Assad (AFP)

Qatar has one of the highest per capita incomes in the world, making it one of the wealthiest nations due to its abundant natural gas and oil reserves.

However, the country dealt with several challenges following the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to an inflation rate of 5 percent in 2022.

Doha was not alone in facing these difficulties; the pandemic contributed to a nearly 4.4 percent contraction of the global economy in 2020. 

Al-Kuwari said Qatar is pursuing a policy of fiscal discipline, which has allowed the country to maintain a budget surplus and low debt levels, as well as effectively manage any economic challenges it encounters.

“We’ve developed a medium-term fiscal policy framework for the upcoming 20 years, with different scenarios of revenues based on oil prices, taxation and spending scenarios ... (Based on that) we decide to invest or save,” he said, adding that the fiscal deficit and rising borrowing affecting many countries are “problems that few want to discuss,” which poses the threat of a financial crisis.

An IMF report projected that global debt — including government, business and personal borrowing — will exceed $100 trillion, about 93 percent of global gross domestic product, by the end of 2024. It is expected to reach 100 percent of GDP by 2030.

“There will be a huge impact if we don’t do anything about it today,” Al-Kuwari warned. “So many people focus on economic growth and creating quick wins for their economy while the fiscal issues get forgotten.

“The fiscal balance should complement the economic growth, and we shouldn’t have growth at the expense of the fiscal.”


Saudi Arabia’s non-oil GDP defying expectations, finance minister tells World Economic Forum

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil GDP defying expectations, finance minister tells World Economic Forum
Updated 58 min 2 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia’s non-oil GDP defying expectations, finance minister tells World Economic Forum

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil GDP defying expectations, finance minister tells World Economic Forum
  • IMF downgrading of Kingdom’s growth projection for the year ahead did not paint the full picture, says Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan
  • KSA’s economic diversification was driving steady growth, with the Kingdom prioritizing its non-oil GDP over traditional oil revenues, he said

DAVOS: Saudi Arabia’s finance minister on Wednesday said that the recent International Monetary Fund downgrading of its growth projection for the Kingdom’s economy for the year ahead did not paint the full picture.

Speaking on a panel at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Mohammed Al-Jadaan said that it was important not to look just at gross domestic product but at other indicators as well.

The IMF revised Saudi Arabia’s 2025 GDP growth projection down to 3.3 percent, citing the impact of extended oil production cuts. 

Saudi Arabia’s commitment to economic diversification under Vision 2030 was driving steady growth, with the Kingdom prioritizing its non-oil GDP over traditional oil revenues. 

“The whole idea of Vision 2030 is to diversify our economy. So our focus is really the non-oil GDP, and non-oil GDP has been growing very healthily over the last few years,” he said.

Al-Jadaan underscored the significance of private-sector confidence, pointing to a sharp rise in private-sector investment as a percentage of GDP — from 16–17 percent a few years ago to 24 percent today.

“That 50 percent increase is not easy. Ask any economist, and they will tell you it requires significant structural change, and it is happening in Saudi Arabia,” he said.

Saudi Arabia had also made strategic decisions to contain oil production despite having significant spare capacity. “We can produce 1,000,000 barrels more per day and we will have the highest-growing GDP in the world, but how is this helpful? It isn’t, actually,” Al-Jadaan said.

“We need to be very careful when we look at GDP as a measure for growth because you need to look at other indicators,” he added.

With unemployment rates at historic lows and the private-sector thriving, Saudi Arabia continued to make “tough, difficult decisions” to sustain long-term growth. “If you want to see it, you will need to make tough decisions,” Al-Jadaan said.

Al-Jadaan also highlighted the role artificial intelligence could play in this diversification of the economy, saying in the future that the Kingdom could be exporting data instead of oil.

“I think AI is a trendy term, but if we are not careful we could be left behind,” he said. “We need to think: Where is our competitive advantage within the value chain of AI?”

To build the necessary infrastructure for AI, significant amounts of energy, particularly clean and renewable energy, were required, he said. This effort also demanded substantial land for renewable projects, robust fiber-optic networks and a skilled workforce.

According to Al-Jadaan, Saudi Arabia’s competitive edge lies in its ability to produce the world’s cheapest solar power, its government’s agile and supportive policies allowing quick licensing and approvals, and the Kingdom’s plans to implement regulatory measures that treat data centers with the same protections as embassies, ensuring robust security and compliance with international standards.

He also highlighted that Saudi Arabia was a world leader in government cybersecurity, adding that it was “handled, operated, managed, programmed and coded 100 percent by Saudi talent.”

Discussing the broader Middle East and North Africa region, which is projected to rebound from a growth rate of 2 percent in 2024 to 3.5 percent in 2025, according to IMF projections, Al-Jadaan said that he was optimistic about the region’s prospects.

He acknowledged its significant challenges, including high youth unemployment and geopolitical crises.

“MENA has possibly the highest youth unemployment in the world, at I think 27, 28 percent. MENA needs to create, according to the IMF, about 30 million new jobs by 2030,” he said.

Despite these challenges, Al-Jadaan highlighted the region’s strengths, including a young, tech-savvy population and abundant natural resources. “If we focus on human capital, if we focus on skilling our people in MENA, I think the potential is absolutely high,” he said.

He also called for regional stability and reform to unlock long-term potential, adding: “With the right ingredients of reforming governments, reforming governance and utilizing technology to our own competitive advantage, I think we’d see a new region.”
 


Saudi Vision 2030 spurring growth across the real estate sector, says industry leader at Davos

As one of the world’s top 20 economies, Saudi Arabia’s evolving real estate market reflects its broader ambitions. (Supplied)
As one of the world’s top 20 economies, Saudi Arabia’s evolving real estate market reflects its broader ambitions. (Supplied)
Updated 23 January 2025
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Saudi Vision 2030 spurring growth across the real estate sector, says industry leader at Davos

As one of the world’s top 20 economies, Saudi Arabia’s evolving real estate market reflects its broader ambitions. (Supplied)
  • Sustainability is at the heart of Saudi Arabia’s real estate development, says Dar Al-Arkan Chairman Yousef Al-Shelash
  • Housing demand in Saudi Arabia is surging, driving the need for significant funding and development

DAVOS: Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector is undergoing a transformation that ranges from affordable housing to luxury living under the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 reform agenda, according to the chairman of Saudi company Dar Al Arkan.

Yousef A. Al-Shelash highlighted the strides being made during a conversation with Arab News at the annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos on Wednesday.

“The Vision 2030 has developed the whole economy, not only the real estate sector,” Al-Shelash said. “It’s developed not only the approach of the sector, but it has also brought a new standard in regulations to be as good as we deserve.”

As one of the world’s top 20 economies, Saudi Arabia’s evolving real estate market reflects its broader ambitions. “As a country, we are one of the big 20 economies of the world, so we believe the Saudis deserve more,” Al-Shelash added.

s one of the world’s top 20 economies, Saudi Arabia’s evolving real estate market reflects its broader ambitions. (Supplied)

Vision 2030 places a strong emphasis on affordable housing and improving living standards for Saudi citizens. Al-Shelash said that the government is playing a proactive role in ensuring these goals are met.

“The vision is there not only to facilitate for the developers and for the foreign investors, but also to facilitate affordable housing for most of the Saudi citizens,” he said.

The Kingdom’s growing population and rapid urbanization have led to a pressing demand for housing.

“The Kingdom needs more housing, and that requires a lot of funding and development,” Al-Shelash said.

He emphasized the role of government entities such as the Public Investment Fund and the Ministry of Housing in elevating the industry’s standards.

As one of the world’s top 20 economies, Saudi Arabia’s evolving real estate market reflects its broader ambitions. (Supplied)

“The government itself has entered to become a developer or a service provider, not just to compete with the private sector, but to raise the standard,” he said.

In addition to affordable housing, Saudi Arabia is experiencing strong demand in the ultra-high-net-worth individual market. “There's a lot of demand. We have more than 3,000 brokers worldwide, a lot of demand from foreign entities to invest in (the Kingdom) and to hold a second home in Saudi Arabia,” he added. He also expressed his confidence that regulatory changes to facilitate such investments “will be coming any time now.”

Dar Global, the international arm of Dar Al Arkan of which Al-Shelash is vice-chairman, listed on the London Stock Exchange in 2023 and Al-Shelash underscored the significance of this move. “London is for sure an attractive market for Saudi investors. The stock exchange there is one of the best worldwide. So that will put the company on a very high standard regulation,” he said.

The listing not only positions Dar Global among the world’s most regulated markets but also strengthens its ability to collaborate with local partners in diverse regions. “To be a developer, you have to be with some other partners. So, if you would like to do some joint ventures or work with other companies — because the real estate industry is everywhere — it’s about local knowledge,” he said.

Developing real estate sustainably is becoming a cornerstone of the Kingdom’s development strategy, and this is the case for Dar Al Arkan, domestically and internationally. “Developing sustainably is about embracing and using the technology that’s out there and facilitating green practices wherever possible,” Al-Shelash said.