https://arab.news/n8a8p
- Central bank has already slashed interest rates by 700 basis points in four consecutive meetings since June
- Poll by Topline Securities shows 71 percent participants expect central bank to announce minimum rate cut of 200bps
ISLAMABAD: The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) smashed past the 116,000 mark during intraday trading on Monday on anticipation that the central bank will slash the interest rate at the monetary policy meeting today, analysts said.
The central bank has already slashed interest rates by 700 basis points (bps) in four consecutive meetings since June, bringing it to 15 percent.
According to a poll by Topline Securities published earlier this month, 71 percent of participants expect the central bank to announce a minimum rate cut of 200bps.
The benchmark KSE-100 index climbed 1,932.63 or 1.69 percent to reach an intraday high of 116,234.43 points at 2:58 p.m. from the previous close of 114,301.80.
“Anticipation of a sharp interest rate cut together with strong liquidity with mutual funds is driving the market up,” Head of Equities at Intermarket Securities, Raza Jafri, told Arab News. “It is a broad-based increase, with only banks in the red today on fears of higher taxation.”
The upward surge was driven by the anticipation of a “sharp interest rate cut” by the State Bank, boosting economic growth, corporate profitability and strong liquidity in mutual funds fueled by increased investor confidence and higher savings rates.
Pakistani stocks have been performing significantly well this month, closing at record highs multiple times.
“KSE 100 Index gained 4.83 percent on week-on-week basis making it eight consecutive positive closing, as expectation of interest rate cut in the upcoming monetary policy meeting kept the investor interest robust and continuous buying by mutual funds provided further stimulus to the market,” Topline said in a weekly market review on Friday.
Trade data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics also supports positive investor sentiment as the trade deficit narrowed by 7.39 percent during the first five months (July-November) of the current fiscal year, standing at $8.651 billion, compared to $9.341 billion during the same period last year.
Exports rose by 12.57 percent to hit $13.69 billion, while imports increased by 3.90 percent to $22.342 billion during this period. November’s trade deficit narrowed even further, dropping by 18.60 percent year-on-year to $1.589 billion compared to $1.952 billion in November 2023.