Moody’s upgrades 6 Saudi GRIs to Aa3, citing strong sovereign support

Moody’s upgrades 6 Saudi GRIs to Aa3, citing strong sovereign support
Moody’s upgraded the Kingdom’s credit rating to Aa3 with a stable outlook in November. Shutterstock
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Updated 27 November 2024
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Moody’s upgrades 6 Saudi GRIs to Aa3, citing strong sovereign support

Moody’s upgrades 6 Saudi GRIs to Aa3, citing strong sovereign support

RIYADH: Moody’s has upgraded the ratings of six major government-related institutions in Saudi Arabia, including the Public Investment Fund, to Aa3 from A1.

The move reflects strong sovereign backing and stable credit linkages to the government. 

The agency also assigned the Aa3 rating to Saudi Aramco, Saudi Basic Industries Corp., and Saudi Electricity Co., as well as Saudi Power Procurement Co., and Saudi Telecom Co. 

Moody’s assigns an Aa3 rating to companies with high quality, low credit risk, and strong ability to repay short-term debts, providing an assessment of the creditworthiness of borrowers, including governments, corporations, and other entities that issue debt. 

“The rating action is a direct consequence of the sovereign rating action and reflects the credit linkages between the Government of Saudi Arabia and each of the six entities,” said Moody’s. 

It added: “While several of these corporates benefit to varying degrees from international assets and cash flows, they all have significant credit linkages to the Saudi Arabia sovereign and are exposed to the domestic environment including political, economic, regulatory and social factors.” 

The strong ratings received by these firms is an indication of Saudi Arabia’s robust economic stability, following Moody’s upgrade of the Kingdom’s credit rating to Aa3 with a stable outlook in November. 

In May, Fitch Ratings upgraded Saudi Arabia’s credit rating to A+ with a stable outlook. 

PIF




File/AFP

The upgrade of PIF’s long-term issuer rating to Aa3 from A1 aligns with the Saudi government’s rating action and reflects the strong credit linkage between the sovereign wealth fund and the Kingdom, according to Moody’s. 

The report also noted that PIF is expected to receive strong and extraordinary support from the Saudi government whenever needed. 

“PIF is closely interlinked with the Kingdom because it is one of the main vehicles of the Kingdom to execute its Vision 2030; PIF continues to receive contributions from the Kingdom via asset transfers; and given the fund’s investment focus and concentration in domestic markets,” added the US-based agency. 

According to the analysis, PIF’s rating is in line with that of the Saudi government, meaning the fund’s rating could be downgraded if the sovereign rating declines. 

In July, PIF’s consolidated financial statement revealed that the fund generated SR331 billion ($88.3 billion) in revenue in 2023 from its diverse investment portfolio, reflecting over 100 percent growth compared to 2022. 

Saudi Aramco




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The report indicated that Aramco’s rating upgrade reflects the high likelihood of extraordinary support from the government if needed. 

The US-based agency also noted that the energy company has access to nearly all of Saudi Arabia’s vast hydrocarbon resources and significant petrochemical operations. 

Earlier in November, Aramco reported a net profit of SR103.37 billion for the third quarter of 2024, surpassing analyst expectations, which had projected a median net income of SR101.06 billion. 

SABIC




File/AFP

According to Moody’s, SABIC’s rating upgrade is due to its strong reliance on the government and the high probability of receiving government support in the event of financial distress. 

The report also highlighted the company’s strong global position in the petrochemical and fertilizer markets as another key factor behind the credit rating upgrade. 

In the third quarter of this year, SABIC reported a net profit of SR1 billion, a turnaround from the net loss of SR2.87 billion in the same period last year. 

SEC 

Describing SEC as the “dominant vertically integrated electricity utility in Saudi Arabia,” Moody’s stated that the company served over 11.23 million customers as of Sept. 30, 2024. 

“SEC’s rating reflects the significant credit linkages between SEC and its ultimate shareholder, the Government of Saudi Arabia. All of SEC’s assets are in Saudi Arabia and the company benefits from supportive government policies,” said the US-based agency. 

In the third quarter of this year, SEC reported a net profit of SR4.7 billion, a 19.8 percent increase compared to the same period last year. 

SPPC

Moody’s stated that SPPC has a clear public policy mandate that aligns its interests and objectives with those of the government. 

As the sole licensed principal buyer of electricity in Saudi Arabia, the company has significant credit linkages with the government, which played a crucial role in the latest rating action. 

Moody’s also noted that the rating reflects SPPC’s low business risk profile, its monopoly position in the Kingdom, and its ability to maintain a strong liquidity profile despite high working capital seasonality. 

stc

According to the report, the rating upgrade of stc – the leading integrated telecommunications and ICT operator in Saudi Arabia – reflects the company’s strategic importance to the government, as well as the state’s high level of control through PIF. 

Moody’s added that stc generates over 90 percent of its revenue in the Kingdom and plays a key role in supporting the government’s technological and digital ambitions, a crucial goal outlined in Vision 2030. 

Affirming stc’s dominance in the Saudi market, the company reported a net profit of SR11.23 billion in the first nine months of this year, a 2 percent increase compared to the same period in 2023.


Saudi Arabia raises $990m through April sukuk issuance

Saudi Arabia raises $990m through April sukuk issuance
Updated 7 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia raises $990m through April sukuk issuance

Saudi Arabia raises $990m through April sukuk issuance

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s National Debt Management Center raised SR3.71 billion ($990 million) through its riyal-denominated sukuk issuance for April, reflecting a 40.5 percent increase compared to the previous month, according to an official statement.

The amount marks a significant rise from March, when the Kingdom secured SR2.64 billion through sukuk. In previous months, Saudi Arabia issued SR3.07 billion in February and SR3.72 billion in January, continuing a trend of strong activity in the domestic debt market.

Sukuk are Shariah-compliant financial instruments similar to bonds, offering investors partial ownership in an issuer’s assets. They are structured to adhere to Islamic finance principles, which prohibit interest payments.

According to the NDMC, the April issuance was divided into four tranches. The first tranche was valued at SR1.31 billion and is set to mature in 2029. The second amounted to SR80 million, maturing in 2032, while the third tranche, worth SR765 million, will expire in 2036. The largest portion, valued at SR1.55 billion, is due in 2039.

The Kingdom’s debt market has seen rapid growth in recent years, drawing increased interest from investors seeking fixed-income instruments amid a global environment of rising interest rates.

Earlier this month, a report by Kuwait Financial Center, known as Markaz, revealed that Saudi Arabia led the Gulf Cooperation Council region in primary debt issuances in the first quarter of the year. The Kingdom raised $31.01 billion from 41 offerings, accounting for 60.2 percent of all issuances across the GCC during that period.

In a separate development, global credit rating agency S&P Global said Saudi Arabia’s expanding non-oil sector and healthy sukuk issuance levels could contribute significantly to the growth of the global Islamic finance industry.

The agency projected global sukuk issuance could reach between $190 billion and $200 billion in 2025, with foreign currency-denominated issuances contributing up to $80 billion, provided market volatility remains contained.

A report published in December by Kamco Invest further projected that Saudi Arabia would account for the largest share of bond maturities in the GCC from 2025 to 2029, with a total of $168 billion expected to mature during that period.


Over 40 Indian firms have established regional HQs in Saudi Arabia, official reveals

Over 40 Indian firms have established regional HQs in Saudi Arabia, official reveals
Updated 13 min 19 sec ago
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Over 40 Indian firms have established regional HQs in Saudi Arabia, official reveals

Over 40 Indian firms have established regional HQs in Saudi Arabia, official reveals

RIYADH: More than 40 Indian companies have established headquarters in Saudi Arabia, with additional facilities in the defense sector expected in the near future, according to a top official.   

Abdulaziz Al-Qahtani, chairman of the Saudi-Indian Business Council, made the comments as Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi arrived in Jeddah on Tuesday for a two-day visit. 

He is expected to meet with Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman during the trip.  

Al-Qahtani said the visit aligns with Saudi Arabia’s broader push to localize defense spending, boost technology transfer, and expand domestic investment across sectors that contribute to national gross domestic product.  

In an interview with Al-Eqtisadiah, Al-Qahtani said Saudi investments in India are valued at around $10 billion, including stakes by the Public Investment Fund in major companies such as Reliance Jio Platforms, Reliance Retail, OYO Hotels, and the Health Technology Co. 

“Al-Qahtani pointed out that the Saudi-Indian Business Council is working to encourage Indian investment in Saudi Arabia, identify investment opportunities in India, and transfer and localize technology in various sectors, such as space and defense,” Al-Eqtisadiah reported.   

“It also aims to exchange expertise in education and training, benefit from mutual expertise in tourism and entertainment, and cooperate in the healthcare sector, pharmaceutical and medical supplies industries, and enhance integration in logistics services,” the report added.  

Al-Qahtani added that India has invited Saudi Arabia to invest in its growing defense sector, which has opened up to private investors in recent years.  

Indian firms that have already established regional bases in Saudi Arabia include those working in automobile and bus manufacturing.  

The move by the more than 40 Indian firms comes amid a wave of multinational companies establishing regional bases in the Kingdom. 

Almost 600 international companies have set up bases in Saudi Arabia since 2021, including Northern Trust, IHG Hotels & Resorts, and Deloitte, the Saudi Press Agency reported in March. 

The growth was fueled by the government-backed Riyadh regional headquarters program, which offers incentives such as a 30-year corporate income tax exemption and withholding tax relief, alongside regulatory support for multinationals operating in the Kingdom. 

India remains a key energy partner for the Kingdom, as it imported 14 percent of Saudi Arabia’s crude oil production and 18 percent of its liquefied natural gas exports in the past year.    

Bilateral trade has also expanded in sectors such as chemicals, construction, and contracting, as well as healthcare training, and information technology.   

Total trade between the two countries reached around $42 billion in the financial year 2023-24. Of this, Indian exports to Saudi Arabia accounted for approximately $11 billion, consisting of engineering products, rice, and petroleum derivatives, as well as chemicals, food and medical supplies, and textiles.    

Saudi exports to India totaled SR31 billion ($8.2 billion), including crude oil, liquefied natural gas, fertilizers, chemicals, and plastics.   


Saudi gold investment demand up 9% in 2024 as bar purchases surge 

Saudi gold investment demand up 9% in 2024 as bar purchases surge 
Updated 32 min 14 sec ago
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Saudi gold investment demand up 9% in 2024 as bar purchases surge 

Saudi gold investment demand up 9% in 2024 as bar purchases surge 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s demand for gold bars and coins rose 9 percent in 2024 to 15.4 tonnes, reaffirming the Kingdom’s position as the Gulf region’s largest investment market for the precious metal, a new report showed. 

The World Gold Council’s Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2024 report attributed the increase to heightened investor appetite for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty, despite a slowdown in jewelry purchases. 

The document highlighted that Saudi Arabia’s performance in the gold market aligns with a broader regional trend, with countries like the UAE and Kuwait also showing strong growth. 

Saudi investors responded to fluctuations in gold prices, taking advantage of opportunities in the market. 

In particular, demand for bars surged, while the sale of coins saw a slight decrease. The report noted that this robust performance was not limited to the first three quarters of 2024 but continued in the final quarter, with a 20 percent year-on-year increase in bar and coin purchases to 4.3 tonnes. 

Despite the strong growth in investment demand, gold jewelry consumption in the Kingdom experienced a decline, falling by 8 percent to 35 tonnes in 2024. 

This decrease reflects the impact of high gold prices, which have limited the purchasing power of consumers. 

The report indicated that the demand for gold jewelry saw a slight recovery in the fourth quarter of 2024, driven by a price dip that prompted buying. 

The World Gold Council also observed a regional trend where gold remained a key asset class for investors, particularly in the face of rising inflation and geopolitical instability. 

As the global gold price reached record highs in 2024, Saudi investors increasingly turned to gold as a hedge against these challenges. 

The UAE also registered an increase in bar and coin demand, rising 15 percent annually to 13.3 tonnes in 2024. Fourth-quarter demand in the UAE climbed to 3.4 tonnes, up from 3.1 tonnes a year earlier. 

However, jewelry consumption in the Emirates declined 13 percent over the year, totaling 34.7 tonnes, reflecting similar affordability challenges seen across the region. 

Looking ahead, the World Gold Council expects the Kingdom’s gold market to remain resilient, supported by strong investor interest in gold and its role as a hedge in uncertain times. 

The report came as gold extended its record run on Tuesday, breaching $3,500 per ounce, as weakness in the dollar, US President Donald Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve and trade war fears boosted demand for the safe-haven asset.

Spot gold was up 0.5 percent at $3,440.51 an ounce by 3:21 p.m. Saudi time, after rising as much as 2.2 percent to $3,500.05 earlier in the session. US gold futures climbed 0.9 percent to $3,454.60.


Saudi Arabia posts 66.7% rise in industrial licenses in February

Saudi Arabia posts 66.7% rise in industrial licenses in February
Updated 44 min 57 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia posts 66.7% rise in industrial licenses in February

Saudi Arabia posts 66.7% rise in industrial licenses in February

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia issued 105 new industrial licenses in February, marking a 66.7 percent increase compared to January, supporting the Kingdom’s drive for economic growth and diversification. 

A total of 113 factories also commenced production during the second month of the year, representing a 9.7 percent increase in comparison with the previous month, according to a statement issued by the Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources.

According to a report from the ministry’s National Industrial and Mining Information Center, the new licenses represent investments exceeding SR1.02 billion ($272 million) and are expected to create 1,504 jobs.

These developments are part of a broader trend in the sector. An official study revealed that 1,346 new industrial permits were issued in the first quarter of 2024, paving the way for over 44,000 new job opportunities and attracting investments surpassing SR50 billion ($13.3 billion). 

They also align with Saudi Arabia’s National Industrial Strategy, unveiled by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in October 2022, which seeks to accelerate sector growth and raise the number of factories across the Kingdom to approximately 36,000 by 2035.

The strategy targets 12 sub-sectors and outlines over 800 investment opportunities, valued at SR1 trillion, with the goal of tripling the nation’s industrial gross domestic product. 

The issuance of permits also correlates with the Kingdom’s National Industrial Development and Logistics Program, launched in 2019, to support the industrial sector and drive sustainable development. 

The ministry added in its statement that factories entering the production phase attracted investments totaling SR900 million and generated 4,114 new jobs, underscoring the continued growth and expansion of the country’s industrial base as these establishments reach full operational capacity. 

Saudi Arabia’s Industrial Production Index recorded a 1.3 percent year-on-year increase in January, driven by sustained growth in manufacturing and waste management, according to the General Authority for Statistics. Monthly, the index remained steady at 103.9, unchanged from December. 

The manufacturing sub-index posted a 4 percent annual rise, supported by a 4.3 percent increase in the production of coke and refined petroleum products, as well as a 4.2 percent uptick in chemicals and chemical products. 

The report, which monitors key industrial indicators, also revealed that investments linked to newly issued industrial licenses reached SR1.197 billion, with the associated projects expected to create more than 2,500 job opportunities across the Kingdom.


IMF projects 3% growth for Saudi economy in 2025

IMF projects 3% growth for Saudi economy in 2025
Updated 53 min 57 sec ago
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IMF projects 3% growth for Saudi economy in 2025

IMF projects 3% growth for Saudi economy in 2025

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s real gross domestic product is expected to grow by 3 percent in 2025, with further acceleration to 3.7 percent in 2026, according to the latest World Economic Outlook released by the International Monetary Fund.

The forecast marks a downward revision of 0.3 percentage points for 2025 and 0.4 percentage points for 2026 compared to the IMF’s projections issued in January. Despite the slight adjustment, the Kingdom’s anticipated economic performance continues to outpace the global average, which the IMF estimates at 2.8 percent for 2025 and 3 percent for 2026.

“The swift escalation of trade tensions and extremely high levels of policy uncertainty are expected to have a significant impact on global economic activity,” the IMF noted in its report.

Regionally, Saudi Arabia is expected to outperform several of its Gulf neighbors. The IMF projects Bahrain’s GDP to grow by 2.8 percent in 2025, followed by Qatar at 2.4 percent, Oman at 2.3 percent, and Kuwait at 1.9 percent.

The UAE is forecast to lead the Gulf Cooperation Council with a 4 percent growth rate in 2025 and 5 percent in 2026.

The IMF also predicts that inflation in Saudi Arabia will remain contained, with the average annual rate holding steady at 2.1 percent in 2025 and easing slightly to 2 percent the following year.

In a separate analysis released in December, Mastercard Economics estimated a 3.7 percent expansion for the Saudi economy in 2024, driven largely by growth in non-oil sectors.

Underscoring the Kingdom’s economic momentum, ratings agency S&P Global upgraded Saudi Arabia’s sovereign credit rating to “A+” from “A” in March, citing the country’s ongoing social and economic transformation as a key factor for the stable outlook.

Across the broader Middle East and North Africa region, the IMF anticipates economic growth to average 2.6 percent in 2025, before climbing to 3.4 percent in 2026.

Globally, the US is forecast to record GDP growth of 1.8 percent in 2025 and 1.7 percent in 2026.

Among emerging markets, India is expected to lead with projected growth of 6.2 percent in 2025 and 6.3 percent the following year. China’s economy, meanwhile, is expected to expand by 4 percent annually during the same period.