Saudi GDP to receive $3bn boost after raft of deals at Local Content Forum

Saudi GDP to receive $3bn boost after raft of deals at Local Content Forum
The Local Content Forum is a three-day event in Riyadh. Supplied
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Updated 21 November 2024
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Saudi GDP to receive $3bn boost after raft of deals at Local Content Forum

Saudi GDP to receive $3bn boost after raft of deals at Local Content Forum

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia launched initiatives and signed 15 agreements at the Local Content Forum, boosting domestic industries with an estimated SR12.4 billion ($3.3 billion) impact on gross domestic product. 

The deals, signed on the first day of the three-day event in Riyadh, span multiple strategic sectors, including manufacturing, technology, and transportation. 

The Local Content and Government Procurement Authority launched several initiatives aimed at driving the localization of key industries, aligning with broader economic goals. 

The agreements include partnerships designed to localize manufacturing, transfer knowledge, and foster innovation, the Saudi Press Agency reported. 

Key deals included:  

  • Two agreements with Saudi National Automotive Manufacturing Co. to localize and transfer knowledge for multi-purpose vehicles and light transport vehicles. 
  • Five agreements with NAFFCO for the localization of firefighting products, including dry powder extinguishers, trailer-mounted pumps, complete personal breathing devices, various types of fire extinguishers, and fire hoses. 
  • Agreements with Alfanar and Hewlett Packard Enterprise to localize and transfer knowledge for data center servers. 
  • A deal with InnovEra to localize manufacturing and knowledge transfer of directional devices. 
  • An agreement with Al-Salah Arabia to localize the manufacturing of bridge expansion joints. 
  • A partnership with Saffen Co. for the localization of oxygen sensor production. 
  • A deal with SAJA Pharmaceutical Co. for the production of “Empagliflozin.” 
  • An agreement with Coastal Co. to localize stadium seat manufacturing. 

Wattenha program 

Sadara Chemical Co. launched its “Wattenha” program, highlighting its contribution to Saudi Arabia’s localization efforts. The program aims to support domestic suppliers, develop human capital, and enhance manufacturing capabilities. 

In the first half of 2024, Sadara reported a local content rate of 50.25 percent, surpassing industry benchmarks, with SR3 billion spent on Saudi procurement.

Locally manufactured products made up 43 percent of its offerings, and Saudization reached 77.8 percent, according to a press release. 

A notable achievement is Sadara’s pipeline system connecting its facilities to the PlasChem complex, which supplies critical raw materials like ethylene oxide and propylene oxide, reducing costs and reliance on imports. 

Logistics and transportation 

Saudi Arabia Railways, in partnership with LCGPA, launched a SR15 billion Saudization program in the sector. This initiative, unveiled by Minister of Transport and Logistics Saleh Al-Jasser, aims to localize manufacturing, boost operational efficiency, and create up to 3,000 jobs by 2030. 

The minister emphasized that this program reflects the partnership between SAR and the private sector, in collaboration with the LCGPA, according to SPA. 

Automotive manufacturing 

The forum also highlighted the Kingdom’s plans for the automotive industry, including the goal to produce 500,000 vehicles annually by 2030. 

Ongoing negotiations with Hyundai underline Saudi Arabia’s commitment to becoming a hub for automobile manufacturing. 

The Global Supply Chain Resilience Initiative, valued at SR100 billion, is driving 95 strategic projects, with a focus on value chain development and export promotion. Additionally, three automotive manufacturing complexes were announced, furthering the localization of this critical sector. 

Diverse initiatives 

The forum featured discussions on the future of local content in industries such as agriculture, energy, and industrial services. Programs introduced by the LCGPA aim to reduce reliance on imports, enhance local supply chain resilience, and foster innovation. 

The “Golden Category” of the Made in Saudi program was also launched, aimed at integrating local suppliers into global supply chains and highlighting Saudi-made products on the world stage. 

The initiative, overseen by the Saudi Export Development Authority, promotes local products and supports exports. 

Minister of Investment Khalid Al-Falih emphasized that local content is a crucial driver of the economy, impacting key industries such as energy, industry, and tourism, among others. 

He highlighted that achieving growth targets requires a highly competitive investment climate, with the private sector playing a vital role in boosting the Kingdom’s exports while meeting the demands of its growing economy. 

Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar bin Ibrahim Alkhorayef further emphasized the importance of locally produced products that offer high quality and competitive advantages as a key requirement for achieving local content goals and maximizing its economic impact. 

During his remarks at the forum, Alkhorayef stated that local content is one of the central pillars for achieving Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, as its development directly influences the execution of the initiative’s programs. 

Alkhorayef also discussed the significant role of the private sector in advancing local content development, noting that the LCGPA implements local content through fostering strategic partnerships and facilitating the Local Content Coordination Council. 

This council includes several major national companies, which have worked closely with the authority to increase local content in their operations and procurements.

GAMI localization on the up

Governor of the General Authority for Military Industries, Ahmed bin Abdulaziz Al-Ohaily revealed that the localization of military spending has reached 19.35 percent, compared to just 4 percent in 2018. 

GAMI aims to localize over 50 percent of government spending on military equipment and services by 2030. Additionally, the number of licensed and authorized establishments in the military industries sector has increased to 296 by the third quarter of 2024. 

Al-Ohaily highlighted the authority’s initiatives to establish supply chains in the sector, bolster military procurements from local companies valued at SR13 billion, and support the manufacturing of locally produced unmanned aerial vehicles, defensive systems, and fast attack boats.

This announcement came on the second day of the Riyadh event during GAMI’s top official’s participation in a panel discussion titled “Government Efforts in Enhancing Local Content,” part of the forum in Riyadh.

Al-Ohaily emphasized that local content development is a key priority under Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, with GAMI contributing to the growth of the sector. 

The local content percentage in companies operating within the military industries sector has reached 38 percent, contributing SR5 billion to GDP. 

To improve governance and attract investor confidence, GAMI has launched 11 policies and regulations for the sector. These efforts aim to boost local content, build new manufacturing and service capabilities, and create high-quality employment opportunities.

Further supporting local content development, the authority has signed over four framework agreements covering 70 product categories, including approximately 80 percent of military apparel, equipment, arms, and ammunition.

The total value of these contracts is estimated at SR1 billion, achieving a 20 percent cost savings. It is expected that the value of these agreements will grow to SR1.6 billion, all of which will be spent within the local market.

Additionally, domestic manufacturers have been supported through streamlined licensing processes and attractive investment environments for both national and international companies. 

The initiatives include applying a zero VAT rate on locally manufactured military goods, providing financial incentives, and establishing industrial zones. 

GAMI has signed more than 53 industrial participation programs valued at nearly SR35 billion with both local and international companies, including SR13 billion in local purchase orders.

Al-Ohaily also highlighted the GAMI’s investment in digital transformation technologies to develop local products that meet military market demands. 

This includes the launch of a unified platform for military industries, integrating all services provided to beneficiaries, automating processes, and leveraging data science and artificial intelligence to forecast demand for military products and services. 

Additionally, GAMI collaborates with the General Authority for Defense Development’s “JADD” platform on research and development programs for defense products, utilizing the latest digital transformation techniques and reverse engineering.

In 2022, GAMI launched a human resources strategy for the military industries sector, establishing the National Military Industries Academy, which annually accommodates 2,000 students in technical and engineering disciplines.

Moreover, an expatriation and scholarship program, along with educational and training initiatives, has benefited more than 850 employees working in the private sector.


Saudi PIF on track to reach $2tn in AuM, 2nd-largest globally by 2030

Saudi PIF on track to reach $2tn in AuM, 2nd-largest globally by 2030
Updated 10 January 2025
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Saudi PIF on track to reach $2tn in AuM, 2nd-largest globally by 2030

Saudi PIF on track to reach $2tn in AuM, 2nd-largest globally by 2030

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund is set to be ranked second among the world’s sovereign wealth bodies by 2030 with $2 trillion in assets under management, according to monitoring organization Global SWF.

A report from the firm forecasts PIF will more than double its current AuM value of $925 billion by the end of the decade, and rise from its 2024 ranking of sixth among global state-owned investor funds.

According to projections from the institute, PIF’s AuM in 2030 will represent 10.5 percent of the global sovereign wealth funds’ total assets, which are set to reach $19 trillion, as it rises from sixth place

Diego Lopez, founder and managing director at Global SWF, said: “Capital attracts capital — so international financial institutions are attracted in partnering with a player with such a huge balance sheet and role in the economic development.”

According to the report, to achieve its ambitious goal of reaching $2 trillion by 2030, the PIF will depend on a combination of strategies. These include oil revenue allocations, which refer to the portion of the Kingdom’s oil earnings transferred to the PIF, debt issuance, and returns generated from its investments.

“Saudi Arabia needs to make its capital base sustainable, diversified and resilient to lower levels of oil prices,” Lopez told Arab News.

“That means raising debt, as PIF has been doing, and eventually raising equity through subsidiaries that can act as asset managers — we see this working very well in Abu Dhabi with Mubadala Capital, Lunate, etc,” he added.

According to the report, the PIF’s 10-year annualized return from 2013 to 2022 stood at 6.9 percent, outperforming the sovereign wealth fund average of 5.7 percent annually.

In 2024, the global economy showed resilience despite geopolitical risks and market uncertainties, with global GDP growth projected at 3.2 percent, slightly improving to 3.3 percent in 2025, according to the OECD.

The International Monetary Fund forecasts a subdued five-year outlook of 3.1 percent, reflecting weaker growth in China, Latin America, and the EU. Developed markets are facing slower growth due to tightening monetary policies, while developing economies maintain greater stability.

Central banks, led by the US Federal Reserve, began easing rates in 2024, responding to reduced inflationary pressures. According to the report, as the global economy adapts, sovereign wealth funds are increasingly focused on capital preservation and stimulating foreign direct investment, with those in the Middle East and North Africa region entering a new phase of growth.

Saudi Arabia offers robust economic expansion fueled by diversification initiatives and ambitious mega-projects like NEOM, the Red Sea Project, and Qiddiya.  

PIF’s investments are strategically positioned to capitalize on these high-growth areas, making it a gateway for investors seeking exposure to dynamic emerging market opportunities.

GCC sees greater international attention

According to the report, global sovereign wealth funds have, for the first time, surpassed $13 trillion in assets under management, with capital heavily concentrated in two key regions — the Gulf Cooperation Council, holding 38 percent of the total, and Southeast Asia at 10 percent.

Interest in these powerful global investors remains strong, the report said, drawing heightened international attention to the GCC, a region with fewer than 60 million residents.

Previously named the “Region of the Year” by Global SWF, the GCC has seen a wave of global asset managers and bankers establishing local offices to capitalize on burgeoning opportunities. According to the report, the GCC-Southeast Asia axis is expected to continue driving growth across the sovereign wealth landscape.

PIF represented 7.11 percent of MENA’s sovereign wealth funds’ AuM, with assets totaling $925 billion. 

Leading the rankings is Abu Dhabi Investment Authority at $1.11 trillion, followed by Kuwait Investment Authority with $969 billion.

Global sovereign wealth fund investments totaled $136.1 billion across 358 transactions in 2024. The “Oil Five” — ADIA, ADQ, PIF, QIA, and Mubadala — maintained their dominance, together accounting for 60 percent of the total investment value, amounting to $82 billion. As a result, they secured positions among the top 19 dealmakers of the year.

This marks a significant rise from $74 billion in both 2023 and 2022, $41 billion in 2021, $39 billion in 2020, and $28 billion in 2019, reflecting the accelerating investment momentum of these sovereign wealth giants.

While some Gulf sovereign wealth funds leaned toward emerging markets, including their domestic economies, developed markets remained the dominant choice for most global sovereign investors.

Saudi Arabia’s PIF, Abu Dhabi’s ADQ, and Qatar’s QIA exhibited a preference for emerging markets, reflecting their strategic focus on regional and high-growth economies.

PIF investments

According to the report, a significant factor driving the PIF’s growth is its projected boost in domestic spending to $70 billion annually by 2025.

The fund’s investment strategy is focused on high-growth sectors, including infrastructure, digitalization, AI, and renewable energy.

Among the top 15 largest global investments by sovereign wealth funds in 2024 was PIF’s $3 billion acquisition of a 51 percent stake in Saudi Arabia’s TAWAL and $2.16 billion of a 40 percent stake in Selfridges in the UK.

Other significant investments for the PIF include a 15 percent stake in Heathrow Airport for $1.8 billion.

According to the institute, the largest deals are consistently pursued by a select group of funds known for their substantial firepower and risk appetite. This group includes the top 10 spenders, with the GCC’s “Big 5” leading the way.

Mubadala emerged as the leading sovereign investor in 2024, deploying $29.2 billion across 52 deals, a 67 percent increase from the previous year. It was followed by GIC at $26.6 billion, CPP with $21.1 billion, PIF at $19.9 billion, and ADIA at $17.1 billion.

PIF has also ventured into artificial intelligence and space, co-investing in Databricks and launching Neo Space Group to advance Saudi Arabia’s satellite industry.

These initiatives reflect the fund’s commitment to positioning Saudi Arabia as a leader in global digital and technological innovation.

PIF saw a 24 percent decline in its US equity portfolio, the report said. At the beginning of 2024, the fund sold shares in 18 companies worth nearly $13 billion, including pandemic-era investments like gaming giant Activision Blizzard, cruise leader Carnival, and entertainment company Live Nation, which yielded strong returns.

According to Lopez: “The sale of the listed equities was about monetizing a huge upside from their purchase during covid, rather than about decreasing the overseas portfolio.”

The expert noted the importance to recognize that while PIF’s domestic portfolio may be growing relative to its international holdings, the overall assets under management continue to expand, with significant investments being made outside the Kingdom.

PIF has also made significant investments in the electric vehicle sector, despite facing challenges with earlier ventures.

In 2019, PIF divested from Tesla but doubled down on Lucid Motors, placing a major bet on the EV manufacturer.

This strategic move has required substantial funding, including $2.8 billion in 2024 alone. Despite the financial commitment, PIF remains focused on its long-term vision for Saudi Arabia, supporting Lucid’s growth with a manufacturing facility in King Abdullah Economic City.

In January, Lucid Motors became the first global automotive company to join the Kingdom’s “Made in Saudi” program, reinforcing the country’s push to strengthen its industrial capabilities.

The program also supports Vision 2030’s goals of attracting investments, boosting non-oil exports, and creating sustainable jobs, while positioning Saudi Arabia as a hub for innovation and manufacturing in the EV sector.

PIF’s debt financing

On Jan. 6, PIF announced the completion of its inaugural $7 billion murabaha credit facility, supported by a syndicate of 20 international and regional financial institutions.

This Shariah-compliant financing structure is part of the fund’s medium-term capital raising strategy, aimed at diversifying its funding sources to support transformative investments both globally and within Saudi Arabia.

According to another report published by Global SWF in January, PIF’s use of debt financing mirrors a growing trend among sovereign wealth funds and public pension funds, which have raised around $700 billion over the past two decades.

Despite strong credit ratings from Moody’s and Fitch, PIF faces pressure from surging domestic investment in giga-projects like NEOM and Qiddiya, with annual funding needs expected to rise from $40 billion in 2023 to $70 billion by 2025.

Sustaining investor confidence will depend on its ability to manage financial obligations and execute Vision 2030 goals.

While markets currently support PIF’s sovereign-backed debt, delays or disruptions could strain resources and affect its ambitious agenda, making its financing strategy critical for both national economic transformation and global sovereign investment trends.

However, PIF’s diversified funding strategy, coupled with its ability to attract global partnerships, positions it as a transformative force capable of reshaping Saudi Arabia’s economic future and reinforcing its role as a leading driver of global investment innovation.


Oil Updates — crude jumps on concerns about more sanctions on Russia and Iran

Oil Updates — crude jumps on concerns about more sanctions on Russia and Iran
Updated 10 January 2025
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Oil Updates — crude jumps on concerns about more sanctions on Russia and Iran

Oil Updates — crude jumps on concerns about more sanctions on Russia and Iran

LONDON: Oil prices surged on Friday and were on track for a third straight week of gains as traders focused on potential supply disruptions from more sanctions on Russia and Iran.

Brent crude futures gained $2.50, or 3.3 percent, to $79.42 a barrel by 3:48 p.m. Saudi time, reaching their highest in more than three months. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures advanced $2.39, or 3.2 percent, to $76.31.

“There are several drivers today. Longer term, the market is focused on the prospect for additional sanctions,” said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank. “Short term, the weather is very cold across the US, driving up demand for fuels.”

Ahead of US President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration on Jan. 20, expectations are mounting over potential supply disruptions from tighter sanctions against Iran and Russia while oil stockpiles remain low.

This could materialize even earlier, with US President Joe Biden expected to announce new sanctions targeting Russia’s economy before Trump takes office. A key target of sanctions so far has been Russia’s oil industry.

The US weather bureau expects central and eastern parts of the country to experience below-average temperatures. Many regions in Europe have also been hit by extreme cold and are likely to continue to experience a colder than usual start to the year, which JPMorgan analysts expect to boost demand.

“We anticipate a significant year-over-year increase in global oil demand of 1.6 million barrels a day in the first quarter of 2025, primarily boosted by ... demand for heating oil, kerosene and LPG,” they said in a note on Friday.

Meanwhile, the premium on the front-month Brent contract over the six-month contract reached its widest since August this week, potentially indicating supply tightness at a time of rising demand.

Inflation worries are also delivering a boost to crude oil prices, said Saxo Bank’s Hansen. Investors are growing concerned about Trump’s planned tariffs, which could drive inflation higher. A popular trade to hedge against rising consumer prices is through buying oil futures.

Oil prices have rallied despite the US dollar strengthening for six straight weeks, making crude oil more expensive outside the US.


SABIC, Almarai, SEC able to absorb fuel price hike: S&P Global

SABIC, Almarai, SEC able to absorb fuel price hike: S&P Global
Updated 09 January 2025
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SABIC, Almarai, SEC able to absorb fuel price hike: S&P Global

SABIC, Almarai, SEC able to absorb fuel price hike: S&P Global

RIYADH: Major Saudi companies, including chemical company SABIC, dairy firm Almarai, and Saudi Electric Co., are well-positioned to handle the impact of higher fuel and feedstock prices introduced on Jan. 1, according to a new report.

Released by capital market economy firm S&P Global, the analysis reveals that those corporates will be able to absorb the marginal increase in production costs by further improving operational efficiencies as well as potentially via pass-through mechanisms.

This came after Saudi Aramco increased diesel prices in the Kingdom to SR1.66 ($0.44) per liter, effective Jan. 1, marking a 44.3 percent rise compared to the start of 2024. The company has kept gasoline prices unchanged, with Gasoline 91 priced at SR2.18 per liter and Gasoline 93 at SR2.33 per liter.

Despite the hike, diesel prices in Saudi Arabia remain lower than those in many neighboring Arab countries. In the UAE and Qatar, a liter of diesel is priced at $0.73 and $0.56, respectively, while in Bahrain and Kuwait, it costs $0.42 and $0.39 per liter.

“For SABIC and Almarai, the increase in feedstock prices will not affect profitability significantly. In the case of utility company, SEC, additional support will likely come from the government if needed,” the report said.

The capital market economy firm projects that SABIC will continue to outperform global peers on profitability.

“We don’t expect the rise in feedstock and fuel prices to materially affect profitability, since the company estimates it will increase its cost of sales by only 0.2 percent,” the report said.

It further highlighted that SABIC is considered a government-related entity with a high possibility of receiving support when needed.

The report also underlines that Almarai anticipates an additional SR200 million in costs for 2025, driven by higher fuel prices and the indirect effects of increased expenses across other areas of its supply chain.

“We believe Almarai will continue focusing on business efficiency, cost optimization, and other initiatives to mitigate these impacts,” the release stressed.

With regards to SEC, S&P said that an unrestricted and uncapped balancing account provides a mechanism for government support, including related to the higher fuel costs.

“We believe any increased fuel cost will be covered by this balancing account,” the report said.

The study further highlights that the marginal increase “could significantly affect wider Saudi corporations’ profit margins and competitiveness.”

The S&P data also suggests that additional costs will be reflected in companies’ financials from the first quarter of 2025.

“Saudi Arabia is continuing its significant and rapid transformation under the country’s Vision 2030 program. We expect an acceleration of investments to diversify the Saudi economy away from its reliance on the upstream hydrocarbon sector,” the report said.

“The sheer scale of projects — estimated at more than $1 trillion in total — suggests large funding requirements. Higher feedstock and fuel prices would help reduce subsidy costs for the government, with those savings potentially redeployed to Vision 2030 projects,” it added.


Lenovo to produce ‘Saudi Made’ PCs by 2026 following $2bn Alat deal closure

Lenovo to produce ‘Saudi Made’ PCs by 2026 following $2bn Alat deal closure
Updated 09 January 2025
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Lenovo to produce ‘Saudi Made’ PCs by 2026 following $2bn Alat deal closure

Lenovo to produce ‘Saudi Made’ PCs by 2026 following $2bn Alat deal closure

RIYADH: Chinese tech giant Lenovo is set to manufacture millions of computer devices in Saudi Arabia by 2026, following the completion of a $2 billion investment deal with Alat, a subsidiary of the Public Investment Fund. 

First announced in May, the partnership has now received shareholder and regulatory approvals, paving the way for Lenovo to establish a regional headquarters and a manufacturing facility in the Kingdom. 

The deal marks a significant step in aligning Lenovo’s growth ambitions with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 goals of economic diversification, innovation, and job creation, the company said in a press release. 

The factory will manufacture millions of PCs and servers every year using local research and development teams for fully end-to-end “Saudi Made” products and is expected to begin production by 2026, it added. 

“Through this powerful strategic collaboration and investment, Lenovo will have significant resources and financial flexibility to further accelerate our transformation and grow our business by capitalizing on the incredible growth momentum in KSA and the wider MEA region,” Yang said. 

He added: “We are excited to have Alat as our long-term strategic partner and are confident that our world-class supply chain, technology, and manufacturing capabilities will benefit KSA as it drives its Vision 2030 goals of economic diversification, industrial development, innovation, and job creation.” 

Amit Midha, CEO of Alat, underscored the significance of the partnership for both Lenovo and the Kingdom. 

“We are incredibly proud to become a strategic investor in Lenovo and partner with them on their continued journey as a leading global technology company,” said Midha. 

“With the establishment of a regional headquarters in Riyadh and a world-class manufacturing hub, powered by clean energy, in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, we expect the Lenovo team to further their potential across the MEA region,” he added. 

The partnership is expected to generate thousands of jobs, strengthen the region’s technological infrastructure, and attract further investment into the Middle East and Africa, according to the press release. 

In May, Lenovo raised $1.15 billion through the issuance of warrants to support its future growth plans. The initiative, which was fully subscribed by investors, signals confidence in Lenovo’s strategic approach and its plans for global expansion. 

The investment deal was advised by Citi and Cleary Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton for Lenovo, while Morgan Stanley and Latham & Watkins represented Alat. 


Lebanon’s bonds climb as parliament elects first president since 2022

Lebanon’s bonds climb as parliament elects first president since 2022
Updated 09 January 2025
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Lebanon’s bonds climb as parliament elects first president since 2022

Lebanon’s bonds climb as parliament elects first president since 2022

LONDON: Lebanon’s government bonds extended a three-month long rally on Thursday as its parliament voted in a new head of state for the crisis-ravaged country for the first time since 2022.

Lebanese lawmakers elected army chief Joseph Aoun as president. It came after the failure of 12 previous attempts to pick a president and the move boosts hopes that Lebanon might finally be able to start addressing its dire economic woes.

Lebanon’s battered bonds have almost trebled in value since September when the regional conflict with Israel weakened Lebanese armed group Hezbollah, long viewed as an obstacle to overcoming the country’s political paralysis.

Most of Lebanon’s international bonds, which have been in default since 2020, rallied after Aoun’s victory was announced to stand between 0.8 and 0.9 cents higher on the day and at nearly 16 cents on the dollar.

They have also risen almost every day since late December, although they remain some of the lowest priced government bonds in the world, reflecting the scale of Lebanon’s difficulties.

With its economy still reeling from a devastating financial collapse in 2019, Lebanon is in dire need of international support to rebuild from the war, which the World Bank estimates to have cost the country $8.5 billion.