Sustainable bond issuance surges 9%, market set to hit $950bn by year-end: Moody’s

Sustainable bond issuance surges 9%, market set to hit $950bn by year-end: Moody’s
There is a continued issuer appetite for funding environmental and social projects with labeled bonds, according to Moody’s. Shutterstock
Short Url
Updated 18 sec ago
Follow

Sustainable bond issuance surges 9%, market set to hit $950bn by year-end: Moody’s

Sustainable bond issuance surges 9%, market set to hit $950bn by year-end: Moody’s

RIYADH: Global issuance of sustainable bonds in the third quarter of 2024 reached $216 billion, marking a 9 percent annual increase, according to Moody’s.

The year-on-year increase in green, social, sustainability, and sustainability-linked bonds came despite a quarter-on-quarter drop, with the volume issued down 14 percent in the three months to the end of September compared to the preceding period.

For the first nine months of 2024, sustainable bond volumes reached $769 billion, marking a 3 percent decline compared to the same period last year.

Despite the quarterly dip, Moody’s expects total sustainable bond volumes to reach $950 billion in 2024 “buoyed by relatively robust volumes in the first half of the year and continued issuer appetite for funding environmental and social projects with labeled bonds.”

Of the $216 billion issued in the third quarter, green bonds made up the majority at $129 billion. In comparison, social bonds accounted for $37 billion, sustainability bonds for $41 billion, sustainability-linked bonds for $6 billion, and transition bonds for $3 billion. 

Green bonds remained the preferred choice for most issuers, comprising 60 percent of the third-quarter sustainable bond market and accounting for 59 percent of issuance so far this year. 

Although green bond issuance fell 18 percent from the previous quarter, Moody’s expected it will surpass its annual forecast: “Despite the decline in the third quarter, green bonds will likely eclipse our forecast of $580 billion given the strength of year-to-date issuance and continued issuer preference for the green label.”

Europe’s sustainable bond issuance faced notable pressure, dropping by 38 percent in the third quarter to around $80 billion, the largest regional decrease. 

While the continent maintained its position as the leading region in sustainable bond issuance, accounting for 37 percent of global volumes, this marked its lowest share since early 2020. 

The Asia-Pacific region showed resilience, with sustainable bond issuance totaling $60 billion, raising its global share to 28 percent — the region’s highest since the third quarter of 2023. 

North America’s sustainable bond market, however, remained subdued, with volumes of just $26 billion, marking its lowest level since the second quarter of 2020. 

Latin America and the Caribbean brought $12 billion to market, while the Middle East and Africa contributed nearly $5 billion, making up 8 percent of the total global sustainable bond.

Among sectors, nonfinancial companies led in sustainable bond issuance in the third quarter with a 28 percent share, or $60 billion, although this was a 26 percent drop from the previous quarter. 

Financial institutions followed, contributing $48 billion to the market, marking a 12 percent increase from the prior quarter and representing the second-largest share at 22 percent. 

Supranational issuers saw notable growth, issuing $33 billion, which represented a 51 percent increase quarter-over-quarter and an 80 percent rise year-over-year. 

Municipal issuance, on the other hand, declined 17 percent to $13 billion, the lowest since early 2022.

Sovereign and government agency issuance also saw quarter-over-quarter declines of approximately 30 percent.

Sustainable loan volumes experienced a more pronounced decrease, falling 34 percent year-to-date to $380 billion, following two years of strong growth. 

Sustainable loans averaged $127 billion per quarter over the first nine months, a notable drop from the quarterly averages of $201 billion in 2022 and $192 billion in 2023. 

The third-quarter volume of $101 billion was the lowest recorded since the first quarter of 2022. 

Sustainability-linked loans led the sector with $283 billion year-to-date, while green loans contributed $90 billion. In the third quarter alone, SLL volume stood at $71 billion, relatively flat from the previous quarter but down 35 percent year-over-year and 58 percent from the third quarter of 2022. 

Green loan volumes in the third quarter reached $27 billion, representing a 13 percent decrease from the previous quarter and a 54 percent year-over-year decline.

Moody’s highlighted that “while the decline in market share could be driven in part by some of the challenges issuers have faced amid heightened scrutiny around the quality of instruments and perceived greenwashing risks, there may also have been a greater number of unlabeled bonds this year as issuers have sought to quickly execute transactions when market conditions were favorable.”

European borrowers continued to dominate SLL volumes in the third quarter, holding a 42 percent share, with North American borrowers at 35 percent and Asia-Pacific borrowers at 18 percent.

“European SLL volumes declined by 22 percent to $30 billion in the third quarter, their lowest quarterly tally since the third quarter of 2021,” the report said.

The analysis highlighted the role of recent biodiversity and climate COPs in spotlighting the importance of closing financing gaps in the sustainable debt market. 

Biodiversity COP16 in Cali, Colombia, held at the beginning of November, emphasized mobilizing $200 billion annually for projects, including debt-for-nature swaps for high-debt nations. Though a small share of bond proceeds currently go to nature-related uses, Moody’s expected this to grow as more issuers fund biodiversity initiatives.

The upcoming climate change COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan, due to be held from Nov. 11 to Nov. 22, is set to introduce a new finance target, replacing the current goal.

 “Establishing a new climate finance goal to replace the current $100 billion target will likely be a major topic of discussion at COP29. The aim of this new quantified goal is to support developing countries in their climate action plans beyond 2025,” said Moody’s.
 
Emerging markets, which face higher climate risks, may see increased sustainable bond issuance, especially as the “Climate Bonds Initiative’s expansion of its taxonomy in September to facilitate greater channeling of capital to adaptation and resilience projects,” according to the report.


Jordan, Egypt discuss enhanced energy connectivity through Arab Gas Pipeline link 

Jordan, Egypt discuss enhanced energy connectivity through Arab Gas Pipeline link 
Updated 12 min 9 sec ago
Follow

Jordan, Egypt discuss enhanced energy connectivity through Arab Gas Pipeline link 

Jordan, Egypt discuss enhanced energy connectivity through Arab Gas Pipeline link 

RIYADH: Jordan and Egypt are taking steps to bolster regional gas connectivity as top energy officials from both nations met to explore potential infrastructure and supply partnerships.

The Middle Eastern country’s Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources, Saleh Al-Kharabsheh, and Cairo’s Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources, Karim Badawi, held talks on these issues on the sidelines of the ADIPEC 2024 conference in Abu Dhabi. 

A key focus of the discussions was the feasibility of linking Jordan’s Risha Gas Field to the Arab Gas Pipeline through a 300-km connection. 

This proposed expansion follows recent studies that identified commercially viable gas reserves in the Risha field. 

The Arab Gas Pipeline is a regional infrastructure project designed to transport natural gas from Egypt to Jordan, Syria, and Lebanon. Spanning over 1,200 km, the pipeline enhances connectivity and supports energy security across the Middle East. 

The talks also explored potential cooperation on gas-related projects, including initiatives to expand the use of natural gas in Jordanian and Egyptian vehicles, according to a statement released by Jordan’s Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources. 

Both ministers agreed to set up technical meetings between Jordan’s Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources and the Egyptian General Petroleum Co. to advance joint oil and gas exploration efforts within Jordan. These technical sessions are expected to facilitate knowledge-sharing and support the country’s ambitions in energy development. 

Additionally, the ministry’s statement highlighted a recent agreement signed between Egypt Gas Co. and Jordan’s Aqaba Development Co. 

This deal aims to supply natural gas to Quweira Industrial City in Aqaba. It includes provisions for constructing a natural gas pipeline network and establishing infrastructure in line with regulatory safety standards. 


Riyadh Air plans new jet order decision early next year

Riyadh Air plans new jet order decision early next year
Updated 19 min 53 sec ago
Follow

Riyadh Air plans new jet order decision early next year

Riyadh Air plans new jet order decision early next year

LONDON: Saudi startup Riyadh Air is wading back into the jet market after buying dozens of Airbus and Boeing planes and aims to finalize a new deal involving the industry’s largest twin-aisle jets early next year, its CEO said.

The country’s newest national airline is weighing up the Boeing 777X and the Airbus A350-1000 and expects to make a decision in the first or second quarters of 2025, CEO Tony Douglas told Reuters.

Riyadh Air last year ordered 39 Boeing 787 wide-body jets with options for another 33 as part of a wider deal also involving national carrier Saudia, and last week it added a firm order for 60 Airbus A321neo-family aircraft.

Douglas declined to comment on the size of the new order but reiterated that the airline, which plans to start operations next year, ultimately aimed to operate more than 200 aircraft.

Douglas told Reuters in a separate interview last week that Riyadh Air would start formal talks for a new order for large wide-body aircraft within two months.

The roughly 200-seat A321neo is an in-demand single-aisle aircraft that competes with the larger versions of Boeing 737 MAX. Airbus says it is sold out through the rest of the decade.

Despite the long lead times for most new purchases, Douglas said the A321neos would be delivered between the second half of 2026 and the end of 2030 and hinted at further purchases.

“That puts us right back in the standard order window with Airbus so the door is wide open,” he said.

Industry sources said the aircraft had become available as part of a complex financing deal driven by the availability of future delivery slots originally assigned to Capital A unit AirAsia, which has been restructuring its order book.

Airbus declined to comment and AirAsia did not reply to a request for comment.

Douglas declined to comment on the deal’s structure, saying only that it was a “complex multi-party transaction.”

The growth of Riyadh Air, owned by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, is one of the industry’s fastest launches.

Douglas said the A321neo would be used to open new routes or to fly in sectors where there is not enough demand to fill the 290-seat Boeing 787-9, adding that flying such big jets less than three-quarters full would not make sense economically.

Riyadh Air has not decided which version of A321neo to take but is likely to include some long-distance models, he added.


Oil Updates – prices edge up as investors eye US election fallout

Oil Updates – prices edge up as investors eye US election fallout
Updated 07 November 2024
Follow

Oil Updates – prices edge up as investors eye US election fallout

Oil Updates – prices edge up as investors eye US election fallout
  • US dollar near four-month high as markets digest Trump win
  • China may face Iran crude squeeze if Trump ramps up sanctions
  • China’s October crude oil imports fall

SINGAPORE: Oil prices ticked up on Thursday following a sell-off triggered by the US presidential election, as risks to oil supply from a Trump presidency and a hurricane building in the Gulf Coast outweighed a stronger dollar and lower crude imports in top importer China.

Brent crude oil futures were up 29 cents, or 0.39 percent, at $75.21 per barrel by 10:00 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude gained 18 cents or 0.25 percent to $71.87.

Concerns around a Trump presidency squeezing oil supply from Iran and Venezuela as well as an approaching storm “more than offset the post-election impact of a stronger US dollar and ... higher-than-expected US inventories,” Tony Sycamore, a market analyst with IG, wrote in a note.

Trump’s election had initially triggered a sell-off that pushed oil prices down by more than $2 as the US dollar rose to its highest level since September 2022. But the front-month contracts pared losses to settle down 61 cents for Brent and 30 cents for WTI by the end of the Wednesday session.

“Historically, Trump’s policies have been pro-business, which likely supports overall economic growth and increases demand for fuel. However, any interference in the Fed’s easing policies could lead to further challenges for the oil market,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

“With the bumper surge in the dollar hovering at near 4-month highs, oil seems to be talking massive headwinds in the aftermath of the US election results.”

The upside to oil markets may be limited to the short to medium term as OPEC is expected to increase supply capacity in January, while historical trends do not suggest sanctions will prevent India and China from continuing to purchase oil from Russia or Iran, Sachdeva said.

Crude oil imports in China, the world’s largest crude importer, fell 9 percent in October, posting a sixth consecutive monthly year-on-year decline as a plant closure at a state oil refinery adds to weaker demand from independent refiners, data showed on Thursday.

Donald Trump is expected to reimpose his “maximum pressure policy” of sanctions on Iranian oil. That could cut supply by as much as 1 million barrels per day, according to an Energy Aspect estimate.

Trump in his first term had also put in place harsher sanctions on Venezuelan oil, measures that were briefly rolled back by the Biden administration but later reinstated.

In North America, Hurricane Rafael intensified into a category 3 hurricane on Wednesday, and about 17 percent of crude oil production or 304,418 barrels per day in the US Gulf of Mexico had been shut in response, the US Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement said.

US crude inventories rose by 2.1 million barrels to 427.7 million barrels in the week ending on Nov. 1, the US Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, compared with expectations for a 1.1 million-barrel rise.


Trump comeback drives gains in US stocks and dollar; Bitcoin roars to record, Treasuries slide

Trump comeback drives gains in US stocks and dollar; Bitcoin roars to record, Treasuries slide
Updated 07 November 2024
Follow

Trump comeback drives gains in US stocks and dollar; Bitcoin roars to record, Treasuries slide

Trump comeback drives gains in US stocks and dollar; Bitcoin roars to record, Treasuries slide
  • Trump’s pledges to raise tariffs, cut taxes and slash regulations encouraged investors to dive into a range of assets that looked likely to benefit from such policies
  • Markets that could suffer under tougher tariffs bore the brunt of the sell-off. Mexican peso slumps while the euro was set for its largest daily drop since 2020

NEW YORK/LONDON: Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election unleashed a massive rally in the dollar, drove stocks to record highs and punished bond prices as expectations of tax cuts and tariffs on imports drove optimism about economic growth while fueling worries about inflation.
US equity indexes soared, with the benchmark S&P 500 up 2.51 percent to a record high and huge gains in areas such as small-cap stocks and banks that are poised to benefit from Trump’s expected lighter regulatory touch.
The dollar hit its highest level in over four months. Bitcoin hit record highs and Treasuries were battered.
“Everywhere you look, there’s the thumbprints of these election results for markets,” said Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at the Wells Fargo Investment Institute.
Trump’s pledges to raise tariffs, cut taxes and slash regulations encouraged investors to dive into a range of assets that looked likely to benefit from such policies.
Markets that could suffer under tougher tariffs bore the brunt of the sell-off. The Mexican peso slumped to its lowest level in over two years while the euro was set for its largest daily drop since 2020.
Currency trading was intense. CME Group said by 10 a.m. CT, online trading of the Offshore Chinese Renminbi already had hit $33 billion in notional value, an all-time high. In the same time span, the traded notional value of futures contracts on the Mexican peso was 43 percent above the average daily volume.

 

Bolstering confidence in “Trump trades,” Republicans won control of the US Senate. Investors were still awaiting results in the House of Representatives, and Republican control would clear the path for Trump’s agenda.
The election could have far-reaching implications for tax and trade policy, as well as US institutions, affecting assets globally.

Interest rates seen higher
Investors sold US Treasuries, partly on the expectation that higher tariffs would inevitably filter through to consumer prices, but also because Trump’s promises on spending could boost government debt levels. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose as high as 4.48 percent, its highest level in over four months but retreated slightly.
“If he’s able to fully implement his agenda, it means bigger deficits, bigger tax cuts, and also, because of tariffs, higher inflation,” said David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management. “The higher inflation and the bigger deficits should push up long-term interest rates.”
In stocks, shares of Tesla, headed by Trump supporter Elon Musk, jumped 14.75 percent. The small-cap Russell 2000 rose nearly 6 percent, while the S&P 500 banks index jumped 10.68 percent.
Bitcoin surged to a record high, betting on a softer line on cryptocurrency regulation.
“Trump’s win likely means some deregulation, including rolling back banking regulations,” BlackRock Investment Institute said.
Investors started trading early. Retail trading platform Robinhood Markets had its largest-ever overnight trading session since it introduced that option in May 2023. The company said its total volume was 11 times a typical overnight trading session, with investors flocking to securities that pundits believe are likely to benefit from a second Trump presidency, ranging from Coinbase Global and the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF to companies owned by Trump and his wealthiest fan, Elon Musk.

The results meant markets gained clarity about the presidency faster than in 2020, when Joe Biden was announced the victor some four days after election night.
“This is an economy that’s in good shape as we go into the next Congress and the next administration, and the stock market is reflecting that with the removal of this uncertainty overhang,” said Kurt Reiman, head of fixed income Americas and lead of the ElectionWatch at UBS Wealth Management.
Market attention is turning to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision on Thursday, with Trump’s victory set to potentially put the central bank on a slower and shallower path for interest-rate cuts, should the Republican’s plans juice the economy.
“We now expect just one Fed cut in 2025, with policy on hold until the realized inflation shock from tariffs has passed,” economists at Nomura said in a note.
 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in green at 12,093

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in green at 12,093
Updated 06 November 2024
Follow

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in green at 12,093

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in green at 12,093

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index gained 78.41 points or 0.65 percent to close at 12,093.35 on Wednesday. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR7.57 billion ($2.02 billion), with 168 of the listed stocks advancing and 60 declining. 

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu also gained 22.06 points to close at 28,853.64, while the MSCI Tadawul Index edged up by 11.93 points to 1,519.76.

The best-performing stocks on the benchmark index were Al-Baha Investment and Development Co. and Tourism Enterprise Co., whose share prices surged by 10 percent and 6.32 percent, to SR0.33 and SR1.01, respectively. 

The worst performer of the day was Almunajem Foods Co. The firm’s share price edged down by 7.81 percent to SR106.20.

On the announcements front, Arabian Drilling Co. reported a net profit of SR251.24 million in the first nine months of this year, representing a 40.06 percent decline compared to the same period in 2023. 

In a Tadawul statement, the company attributed this net income decline to higher net finance expenses, as well as depreciation and amortization costs. Despite the net profit drop, Arabian Drilling Co.’s share prices did not change on Wednesday and remained at SR111.60.

Saudi Arabian Mining Co., also known as Ma’aden, announced that its net profit for the first nine months of this year reached SR2.97 billion, compared to a net loss of SR83.43 million in the same period in 2023. 

In a Tadawul statement, the mining firm attributed the rise in profit to higher sales prices and volumes, as well as lower depreciation expenses.

Maaden's share price edged up 4.07 percent to SR56.20.

Saudi Electricity Co. announced that its net profit for the first nine months of this year, after deducting the payments of the Mudaraba coupon, reached SR5.58 billion, marking a 21.3 percent rise compared to the same period in the previous year. 

SEC’s nine-month profit rose to SR12.1 billion before Mudaraba coupon payments, up from SR10.3 billion in the same period last year.

SEC’s share price surged by 6.28 percent to SR17.26 on Wednesday.

Saudi Industrial Development Co., which also announced its earnings report, said that it narrowed its net loss to SR20.07 million in the first nine months of this year, compared to a net loss of SR21.8 million in the year-ago period. 

SIDC’s share price edged down by 0.71 percent to SR27.90. 

Saudi Ground Services Co. reported a net profit of SR231.27 million in the first nine months of this year, representing a 54.33 percent year-on-year rise. 

In a Tadawul statement, the company attributed this rise in net profit to an increase in both domestic and international flight operations, especially during the Hajj and Umrah seasons. 

The share price of SGS did not witness any change on Wednesday, and the company closed the trading session at SR52.20.