Oil Updates – prices climb on fresh China stimulus, Middle East tensions

Oil Updates – prices climb on fresh China stimulus, Middle East tensions
Brent crude futures for November were up 84 cents, or 1.14 percent, at $74.74 a barrel, as of 9:20 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Oil Updates – prices climb on fresh China stimulus, Middle East tensions

Oil Updates – prices climb on fresh China stimulus, Middle East tensions

SINGAPORE: Oil prices rose on Tuesday on news of monetary stimulus from top importer China and concerns that tensions in the Middle East could hit regional supply, while a major hurricane loomed over the US, the world’s biggest crude producer.

Brent crude futures for November were up 84 cents, or 1.14 percent, at $74.74 a barrel, as of 9:20 a.m. Saudi time. US WTI crude futures for November rose 92 cents, or 1.31 percent, to $71.29.

“WTI has gained this morning after China moved to lower its key lending rates. The crude oil market has been looking desperately toward Chinese authorities for further easing measures to counter the economic slowdown,” said Tony Sycamore, market analyst at IG.

“Today’s announcement will go some way to removing downside risks to the crude oil price,” Sycamore said.

The rally in oil prices may not, however, be sustainable in the medium term, as internal demand may continue to be weak while more accommodative monetary policies are not matched by expansionary fiscal policies, said Kelvin Wong, senior market analyst at OANDA.

Earlier in the day, China’s central bank unveiled its biggest stimulus since the pandemic to pull the economy out of its deflationary funk and back toward the government’s growth target, but analysts warned more fiscal help was vital to hit these goals.

The broader-than-expected package offering more funding and rate cuts marks Beijing’s latest attempt to restore confidence after a slew of disappointing data raised concerns of a prolonged structural slowdown.

In the Middle East, a key oil-producing region, Israel’s military said it launched airstrikes against Hezbollah sites in Lebanon on Monday, which Lebanese authorities said killed 492 people and sent tens of thousands fleeing for safety in the country’s deadliest day in decades.

Israel and Hezbollah, an Iranian-backed group based in Lebanon, exchanged fire after thousands of pagers and walkie-talkies used by Hezbollah members exploded last week. The attack was widely blamed on Israel.

“The oil market has been concerned that rising tensions in the region were dragging the OPEC oil producer closer to engagement,” ANZ bank said in a note, referring to Iran.

“Traders are also keeping an eye on the weather. The US Gulf Coast is at risk of a hurricane strike by the end of the week as a patch of turbulent weather in the Atlantic consolidates.”

US oil producers were scrambling to evacuate staff from oil production platforms in the Gulf of Mexico as the second major hurricane in two weeks was predicted to tear through offshore oil-producing fields. Several oil companies paused some of their production.


Aramco to issue dollar-denominated sukuk targeting global investors  

Aramco to issue dollar-denominated sukuk targeting global investors  
Updated 24 September 2024
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Aramco to issue dollar-denominated sukuk targeting global investors  

Aramco to issue dollar-denominated sukuk targeting global investors  

RIYADH: Saudi energy giant Aramco plans to issue US dollar-denominated sukuk under its SA Global Sukuk Limited’s Trust Certificate Issuance Programme, according to a filing on the Tadawul exchange. 

The sukuk will represent direct, unsubordinated, and unsecured obligations of SA Global Sukuk Limited. The size of the issuance will depend on market conditions and investor demand at the time of the offering, the filing noted.  

Proceeds from the issuance will be used for general corporate purposes, with a focus on supporting Aramco’s ongoing strategic initiatives, enhancing its balance sheet, and funding expansion across its global operations. 

This move aligns with Aramco’s long-term vision of ensuring financial sustainability and operational efficiency as it adapts to a dynamic global energy landscape. 

The issuance is subject to approval from regulatory authorities in the relevant jurisdictions. Additionally, the sukuk will comply with Rule 144A/Reg S offering requirements under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended, allowing Aramco to target institutional investors in both the US and international markets. 

The company confirmed that the issuance will follow the stabilization rules of the Financial Conduct Authority and the International Capital Market Association, ensuring a regulated and orderly process. 

An application will be submitted for the sukuk to be listed on the FCA’s official list and traded on the London Stock Exchange’s main market, providing visibility and liquidity for investors.  

Aramco has appointed several leading financial institutions as active joint bookrunners for the issuance, including Al Rajhi Capital, Citi, and Dubai Islamic Bank PJSC. Other institutions involved are First Abu Dhabi Bank, Goldman Sachs International, and HSBC, as well as J.P. Morgan, KFH Capital, and Standard Chartered Bank. 

These institutions will lead a series of fixed-income investor meetings starting on Sept. 24. The meetings are expected to attract strong interest from global investors, given Aramco’s strong credit rating and the appeal of sukuk as a Shariah-compliant investment. 

In addition to the active bookrunners, several other financial institutions have been named passive joint bookrunners. These include Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank PJSC, Albilad Capital, and Alinma Investment. Other institutions involved BOC International, Emirates NBD Capital, and Mizuho, as well as MUFG, NATIXIS, Sharjah Islamic Bank, and SMBC Nikko. 

These institutions will support the successful placement of the sukuk in various international markets. 


Putin calls for greater BRICS role in global energy markets

Putin calls for greater BRICS role in global energy markets
Updated 24 September 2024
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Putin calls for greater BRICS role in global energy markets

Putin calls for greater BRICS role in global energy markets
  • Russian president speaks out ahead of important annual energy forum in Moscow

RIYADH: President Vladimir Putin called on Monday for a greater role for the BRICS bloc in global energy markets ahead of a significant annual energy forum this week in Russia.
“It is obvious that in the new geopolitical realities, cooperation in the energy sector should serve to strengthen national economies, help solve priority social problems, and improve people’s quality of life,” he said.
“It is crucial to agree on common principles for our countries in the just energy transition, and outline ways to strengthen the role of BRICS in the global energy dialogue.”

Russia is the world’s largest oil exporter after Saudi Arabia. From Thursday Moscow is hosting the three-day Energy Week International Forum. Saudi delegates have attended previous forums, but it is not clear if they will do so this year.

BRICS was founded in 2009 for Brazil, Russia, India and China to challenge a world order dominated by the US and Western allies. It has expanded into a geopolitical bloc that includes the UAE, Iran, Egypt, South Africa and Ethiopia. Saudi Arabia has an invitation to join, which it is considering.


Qatar’s sukuk issuance expanded by 122% in H1: Fitch Ratings

Qatar’s sukuk issuance expanded by 122% in H1: Fitch Ratings
Updated 23 September 2024
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Qatar’s sukuk issuance expanded by 122% in H1: Fitch Ratings

Qatar’s sukuk issuance expanded by 122% in H1: Fitch Ratings

RIYADH: Qatar’s sukuk issuances surged by 122 percent in the first half of this year compared to the same period in 2023, reaching $500 million, according to a new analysis.  

In its latest report, Fitch Ratings indicated that overall bond issuance in the country also increased by 59 percent year on year to $12.4 billion in the first six months of 2024.  

The US-based credit rating agency noted that the debt capital market in Qatar is expected to remain broadly stable due to the government’s ongoing debt repayments and limited access to corporate DCM. 

The DCM is a market for trading securities such as bonds and promissory notes, utilized by companies and governments for long-term funding. 

Qatar’s DCM is the third-largest in the Gulf Cooperation Council region, following Saudi Arabia and the UAE.  

In July, Fitch reported that DCM issuances in the GCC are approaching the $1 trillion outstanding mark, with growth expected through 2024 and 2025. 

“The sovereign holds the majority of the DCM in Qatar. Most Qatari banks have also issued senior unsecured debt to extend their maturity profiles and diversify funding. Corporate issuances have been small,” Fitch stated. 

By the end of the first half of this year, Qatar’s DCM stood at $130 billion, unchanged from the same period last year. The analysis revealed that sukuk issuances accounted for 10 percent of the gulf nation’s DCM, down from 13 percent in the same period of 2023.  

Fitch reported that the majority of DCM outstanding was denominated in US dollars at 65 percent, followed by Qatari riyals at 30 percent by the end of the first half of this year. 

“The regulator has taken steps to advance the still-developing DCM in recent years. However, DCM limitations remain, such as the nascent riyal-DCM market, the concentration of the investor base in banks and most corporates preferring bank financing over bonds or sukuk,” the agency noted. 

The report further highlighted that the Qatar Central Bank published its environment, social, governance, and sustainability strategy for the financial sector in June. This strategy aims to enhance sustainable finance and develop ESG sukuk and bonds. 

Outcomes include increasing transparency regarding the financial sector’s role in national sustainability through a taxonomy of sustainable activities and guidelines for issuing sustainable products like loans, bonds, and sukuk. 

According to Fitch, ESG debt in Qatar reached $3.8 billion by the end of the first half of this year, with sukuk accounting for 19.5 percent. 

“The inclusion of sukuk will attract investors seeking shariah-compliant, ESG options. These initiatives are intended to enhance Qatar’s appeal to global investors focused on sustainability,” the report concluded. 


Egypt to sell United Bank stake in IPO by Q1 2025, central bank says

Egypt to sell United Bank stake in IPO by Q1 2025, central bank says
Updated 23 September 2024
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Egypt to sell United Bank stake in IPO by Q1 2025, central bank says

Egypt to sell United Bank stake in IPO by Q1 2025, central bank says
  • Central bank is currently working on obtaining the required approvals related to the offering
  • United Bank’s total assets increased from 72 billion Egyptian pounds in 2021, to 106 billion pounds in June

RIYADH: Egypt’s central bank plans to sell shares in state-owned The United Bank in an initial public offering on the stock exchange by the end of the first quarter of 2025.

The central bank is currently working on obtaining the required approvals related to the offering, including the permissions of the Financial Regulatory Authority and the Egyptian Stock Exchange, according to a statement. 

The United Bank’s total assets increased from 72 billion Egyptian pounds ($1.48 billion) in 2021, to 106 billion pounds in June. The bank’s profits also grew from 1.15 billion pounds in December 2021, to reach 1.75 billion pounds by the end of December 2023.

The move aligns with the Central Bank of Egypt’s vision for sustainable development, which is embedded in the principle of sustainable finance. It aims to support development goals while fostering long-term stability across the economy, environment, and society as a whole.

The statement further revealed that completion of the offering is subject to market conditions and the timely receipt of the relevant regulatory approvals.

The United Bank stands out among Egyptian financial institutes due to its wide array of products and diverse customer base, which includes retail clients, institutions, small and medium-sized enterprises, and Islamic banking services. 

The bank also follows strong governance principles and international best practices, ensuring compliance with relevant regulations while achieving strong performance and sustainable growth.

The United Bank and its non-banking arm operate through a broad network that includes 68 branches, 225 ATMs, advanced digital channels, and 1,800 employees.

Last week, Egypt said it is in advanced talks to sell the government’s remaining stake in Alex Bank to Italian private banking firm Intesa Sanpaolo SpA. 

This will pose the first major asset sale since devaluating its currency in March, Bloomberg reported at the time. 

The agreement will see the Italian lender, which already owns 80 percent of the Egypt-based bank, buy the remaining 20 percent and take complete ownership, Bloomberg added.

This follows last year’s announcement that the government unveiled an initial list of 32 assets it planned to offer investors in sectors ranging from banking to energy and real estate. It now targets raising between $2 billion-$2.5 billion by the end of the current financial year in June from asset sales.


UAE treasury bonds and sukuk programs raise $6.8bn, strengthening investment appeal

UAE treasury bonds and sukuk programs raise $6.8bn, strengthening investment appeal
Updated 23 September 2024
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UAE treasury bonds and sukuk programs raise $6.8bn, strengthening investment appeal

UAE treasury bonds and sukuk programs raise $6.8bn, strengthening investment appeal

RIYADH: The UAE Ministry of Finance reported raising 25 billion dirhams ($6.8 billion) through government bonds and dirham-denominated Islamic Treasury Sukuk Programs, launched in 2022. 

The ministry indicated that by the end of August, the programs had collectively raised the total amount, reflecting strong investor confidence and reinforcing the UAE’s position as a competitive global investment hub.

To date, 11.2 billion dirhams worth of government treasury bonds and 13.8 billion dirhams in Islamic sukuk have been issued under the two initiatives.

In May, the ministry repaid 4.85 billion dirhams in two-year treasury bonds, bringing the total outstanding bonds to 6.35 billion dirhams.

The UAE was the second-largest issuer in the Gulf Cooperation Council bond market during the first half of 2024, raising $20.6 billion through 65 issuances, up from $15.4 billion and 58 issuances in the same period last year.

This accounted for 27 percent of the total value of GCC bonds and sukuk. Saudi Arabia led the market, raising $37 billion through 44 issuances.

The combined outstanding public debt for the treasury bonds and Islamic Treasury Sukuk Programs now stands at 20.15 billion dirhams.

These programs were developed in collaboration with the Central Bank of the UAE, which acts as the issuance and payment agent. Settlement is conducted through a local platform that meets international standards, ensuring transparency and efficiency in the bond and sukuk issuance process. 

The ministry’s efforts have been supported by major banks, including Emirates NBD, Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, First Abu Dhabi Bank, and others, serving as primary treasury bond distributors. 

Demand for each auction has been exceptionally high, with bids frequently exceeding the subscription sizes several times, a reflection of the strong market appetite for UAE debt instruments.

The program’s success has helped the UAE maintain high sovereign credit ratings, with an AA score from Fitch Ratings and an Aa2 standing from Moody’s, both with a stable outlook.

This financial credibility, alongside robust economic policies, has further enhanced the UAE’s attractiveness as an investment hub.

In addition to boosting investor confidence, these bonds and sukuk are playing a crucial role in developing a local currency market and establishing a medium-term yield curve. 

The bonds are issued with maturities ranging from two to five years, with plans to introduce longer-term bonds in the future. 

This strategy aims to diversify the UAE’s funding sources, stimulate the domestic financial and banking sector, and provide secure investment alternatives for local and foreign investors. 

By issuing these bonds and sukuk in the local currency, the UAE is positioning itself to better meet future funding needswhile strengthening the regional financial market. 

The Ministry of Finance continues pursuing initiatives to enhance the country’s economic resilience and contribute to its long-term sustainable growth.