Saudi Arabia GDP growth higher than G20 average: OECD

Saudi Arabia GDP growth higher than G20 average: OECD
The report highlighted that while Saudi Arabia experienced a significant recovery, other G20 countries faced varying economic conditions. Shutterstock
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Updated 13 June 2024
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Saudi Arabia GDP growth higher than G20 average: OECD

Saudi Arabia GDP growth higher than G20 average: OECD

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s economy witnessed growth of 1.4 percent in the first quarter of 2024 – higher than that seen across the G20 as a whole, according to new data.

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development has released its latest gross domestic product report for the G20 countries, noting that the Kingdom bounced back from a contraction of 0.6 percent in the previous three-month period. 

GDP in the G20 area grew by 0.9 percent quarter-on-quarter in the first quarter of 2024, slightly up from 0.7 percent in the previous quarter. 

The economic performance of the G20 area was primarily driven by China and India, with Turkiye, Korea, and Indonesia also recording higher GDP growth than the G20 average. 

Turkiye led with an increase of 2.4 percent, followed by India at 1.9 percent, China at 1.6 percent, Korea at 1.3 percent, and Indonesia at 1.2 percent. 

The report highlighted that while Saudi Arabia experienced a significant recovery, other G20 countries faced varying economic conditions. 

The US saw a slowdown, with GDP growth dropping to 0.3 percent in the first three months of the year from 0.8 percent in the previous quarter. 

Japan’s economy contracted by 0.5 percent, and South Africa saw a contraction of 0.1 percent. 

Conversely, Brazil, the UK, and Germany showed signs of recovery in the first quarter of 2024 after contractions over the previous three month period, with growth reaching 0.8 percent, 0.6 percent, and 0.2 percent, respectively. 

Canada, Mexico, and the EU grew by 0.4 percent, 0.3 percent, and 0.3 percent, respectively, in the three months to the end of March, after zero growth in the final quarter of 2023. 

Year-on-year, GDP in the G20 area grew by 3.3 percent in the first three months of the year, maintaining the same growth rate as the previous quarter. 

Among G20 economies, India recorded the highest year-on-year growth rate at 8.4 percent in the first quarter of 2024, followed by Turkiye at 7.4 percent. 

However, Saudi Arabia recorded the most significant year-on-year decline at a drop of 1.5 percent. 

According to a separate report by the General Authority for Statistics released earlier in June, the Kingdom’s non-oil activities also rose by 0.9 percent in the first three months of this year compared to the previous quarter.  

Additionally, non-oil activities increased by 3.4 percent year-on-year in the first quarter of 2024.  

GASTAT further noted that Saudi Arabia’s GDP amounted to SR1.01 trillion ($270 billion) in the first quarter.  

“Crude oil and natural gas activities achieved the highest contribution to GDP by 23.4 percent, followed by government activities at 15.8 percent, and then wholesale and retail trade, restaurants, and hotels activities with a contribution of 10.4 percent,” said GASTAT in the report.  

Strengthening the non-oil private sector is crucial for Saudi Arabia, as the Kingdom is steadily diversifying its economy to reduce its decades-long dependence on oil.  

The report further noted that government activities in Saudi Arabia rose by 2 percent year-on-year in the first quarter while declining by 1.1 percent on a quarter-on-quarter basis.  

GASTAT added that the Kingdom’s oil activities increased by 1.7 percent in the first quarter compared to the previous quarter.  

However, oil activities dipped by 11.2 percent year-on-year as Saudi Arabia reduced its crude production in line with the decision of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+.  

To maintain market stability, Saudi Arabia reduced its oil output by 500,000 barrels per day in April 2023, and this cut has now been extended until December 2024.  

In April, the International Monetary Fund projected that Saudi Arabia’s economy would grow by 2.6 percent in 2024 and 6 percent in 2025.  

In the same month, the World Bank also raised the growth prospects of the Kingdom’s economy to 5.9 percent in 2025, up from an earlier projection of 4.2 percent. 

Furthermore, Saudi Arabia’s gross fixed capital formation surged to SR317.5 billion in the first quarter of 2024, marking a significant 7.9 percent increase compared to the same period last year. 

According to a separate report by the Saudi Ministry of Investment released earlier this month, gross fixed capital formation expansion was driven by growth in both the government and non-government sectors.  

GFCF, which represents the net increase in physical assets within an economy, plays a crucial role in gross domestic product as it reflects capital accumulation supporting future production capabilities and economic growth. 

Of the total GFCF, the government sector contributed 7 percent, experiencing a robust growth rate of 18 percent. Meanwhile, the non-government sector, constituting 93 percent, also saw a substantial rise of 7.2 percent. 

Saudi Arabia’s proactive efforts to attract foreign direct investment and bolster bilateral relations have significantly strengthened the Kingdom’s economic trajectory.  

FDI serves as a pivotal catalyst for GFCF development, facilitating funding for investment projects and resource and knowledge transfer across borders, thereby fostering economic expansion and maturation. 

Key initiatives such as the National Investment Strategy, the Regional Headquarters Program, and zero-income tax incentives for foreign entities play a vital role in advancing Vision 2030, which aims to diversify and expand the economy. 

During this quarter, the Ministry of Investment issued 3,157 investment licenses, marking a 93 percent surge compared to the same period last year, excluding licenses issued under the anti-concealment law. 

In its economic and investment monitor released in late May, the ministry revealed that the construction and manufacturing sector dominated with 47 percent of total permits, followed by vocational and educational activities, information and communication technology and accommodation and food services as well as wholesale and retail trade. 

The real estate sector witnessed the most significant year-on-year growth, with a staggering 253.3 percent increase in investment licenses. 

Furthermore, 127 international firms secured permits to relocate their regional headquarters to Saudi Arabia in the first quarter of 2024, reflecting a remarkable 477 percent year-on-year upsurge. 

Leading corporations such as Google, Microsoft and Amazon as well as Northern Trust, Bechtel, IHG Hotels & Resorts, and Deloitte have established operations in the Kingdom under this program. 

The report also highlights that Saudi Arabia processed 445 applications for investor visit visas during the first quarter of this year, enabling overseas businesspersons to explore opportunities in the country. 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index rose to close at 11,688 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index rose to close at 11,688 
Updated 07 July 2024
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Closing Bell: Saudi main index rose to close at 11,688 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index rose to close at 11,688 

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul All Share Index rose on Sunday, gaining 29.95 points, or 0.26 percent, to close at 11,688.61. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR3.93 billion ($1.04 billion) as 139 of the stocks advanced while 87 retreated.    

Similarly, the Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu gained 244.80 points, or 0.94 percent, to close at 26,154.75. This comes as 33 of the listed stocks advanced while 32 retreated.  

Meanwhile, the MSCI Tadawul Index also gained 1.31 points, or 0.09 percent, to close at 1,455.96. 

The top-performing stock of the day was Saudi Research and Media Group, with its share price surging by 9.94 percent to SR236.60. 

Other top performers include Al-Baha Investment and Development Co. as well as the Mediterranean and Gulf Insurance and Reinsurance Co. 

The worst performer was Saudi Reinsurance Co., whose share price dropped by 6.69 percent to SR25.80.  

The top underperformers included Anaam International Holding Group and Al-Yamamah Steel Industries Co. 

On the announcements front, Almarai Co. released its interim condensed consolidated financial results for the period ending on June 30. 

According to a statement on Tadawul, the company reported a 10 percent increase in net profits, reaching SR1.3 billion in the first half of 2024 compared to the same period a year earlier.  

The rise in net profits is primarily attributed to higher revenue growth, effective cost management, a favorable product mix, and stable commodity costs.  

In addition, Saudi Advanced Industries Co. disclosed its interim financial results for the first half of 2024 in a bourse filing, reporting a net profit of SR217 million. This marks a 200 percent increase compared to the same period in 2023, driven by increased revenue despite rises in general and administrative expenses, financing costs, and zakat expenditures. 

Meanwhile, Jahez International Co. for International Systems Technology has initiated a transfer request to move from the parallel market to the main market.  

The request, approved by the board, was submitted via the regulatory online portal, as stated in a Tadawul statement. Further updates on the transfer process will be communicated as they unfold. 


ASEAN economies in stable state against external shocks, QNB says  

ASEAN economies in stable state against external shocks, QNB says  
Updated 07 July 2024
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ASEAN economies in stable state against external shocks, QNB says  

ASEAN economies in stable state against external shocks, QNB says  

RIYADH: Capital flows and economic resilience have positioned the Association of Southeast Asian Nations financial markets in a relatively stable state, according to Qatar National Bank.  

In its latest economic commentary, QNB highlighted the robustness of large ASEAN economies — Indonesia, Thailand, Malaysia and the Philippines — against sudden changes in risk sentiment and capital flows.  

QNB’s analysis focused on assessing the external vulnerability of these economies, examining their external financing needs and the overall level of official foreign exchange reserves.  

The commentary noted that strong FX reserves act as a crucial buffer to absorb external shocks, and these reserves should be evaluated in context with short-term external financing requirements and other macroeconomic indicators.  

Thailand remains well positioned to handle sudden capital flow changes, even with international tourism not yet back to pre-pandemic levels.  

The country continues to run sizable current account surpluses, which have enabled it to accumulate $221 billion in official FX holdings, covering 209 percent of the International Monetary Fund reserve adequacy metric.

The IMF reserve adequacy metric assesses a country’s FX reserves to ensure they can cover short-term external debt, potential trade imbalances, import costs and capital flight risks, therefore maintaining financial stability and investor confidence.  

Malaysia, a major producer of manufacturing goods and commodities, also shows resilience. The country has consistently run current account surpluses as a net exporter of oil and soft commodities.  

Despite tighter reserve adequacy metrics compared with Thailand, Malaysia’s central bank holds $113 billion in FX holdings, covering 115 percent of the IMF reserve adequacy metric.  

The Philippines, as a net external borrower with current account deficits, faces different challenges. The country’s large trade deficit, partially offset by remittances from expatriates, is expected to amount to about 2 percent of gross domestic product.  

However, the Philippines holds $103 billion in official FX reserves, covering 196 percent of the IMF reserve adequacy metric, providing a significant cushion against external shocks.  

Indonesia, traditionally the most exposed to external shocks of the large ASEAN countries, has returned to a current account deficit position after a brief period of surplus driven by a commodity boom.  

The country is expected to run a current account deficit of about 1 percent of GDP this year, with the deficit likely to persist due to ongoing capital expenditure projects. 

Indonesia’s official FX reserves amount to $136 billion, covering 112 percent of the IMF reserve adequacy metric. 


Saudi Re boosts capital by $71m in PIF subscription deal

Saudi Re boosts capital by $71m in PIF subscription deal
Updated 07 July 2024
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Saudi Re boosts capital by $71m in PIF subscription deal

Saudi Re boosts capital by $71m in PIF subscription deal

RIYADH: Saudi Reinsurance Co. plans to increase its capital by SR267.3 million ($71 million) through a strategic subscription agreement with the Public Investment Fund, aimed at enhancing its financial position. 

The binding subscription agreement, signed on July 4, will see the Kingdom’s first reinsurance company raise its capital from SR891 million to SR1.15 billion. This increase will be achieved through the issuance of 26.73 million new ordinary shares, each valued at SR10, according to a recent bourse filing. 

The new shares, representing 30 percent of the company’s current capital, will be fully subscribed by PIF at a subscription price of SR16 per share, resulting in a total subscription amount of SR427.68 million.  

This transaction will give PIF a 23.08 percent ownership stake in the company following the capital increase.  

The agreement, initially outlined in a non-binding memorandum of understanding on Oct. 8, 2023, and extended on Dec. 25, 2023, for an additional six months, underscores the growing business environment within the Kingdom.  

Saudi Re’s capital increase, supported by PIF’s subscription, enhances its financial strength and competitive position.  

This capital increase aligns with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 goals, promoting a robust investment climate, economic diversification, and bolstering the Kingdom’s insurance sector. 

Finalization of the capital increase is subject to approvals from regulatory bodies including the Insurance Authority, Capital Market Authority, Saudi Stock Exchange, and the company’s Extraordinary General Assembly. 

Upon completion, Saudi Re will appoint three PIF-nominated members to its board of directors.  Al Rajhi Financial Co. is serving as the financial advisor to Saudi Reinsurance Co., while GIB Capital is advising PIF on the transaction. 

Earlier this year, the Kingdom’s sovereign wealth fund raised its stake in Middle East Paper Co. to 23.08 percent through a similar capital infusion. 

In a press statement, PIF stated that the deal will empower MEPCO to expand its production, enhance operational efficiency, and contribute to environmental stability. This move aligns with PIF’s sustainability goals and reflects its commitment to fostering environmentally responsible practices in the acquired company.  


World economic growth resilient in June despite PMI dip: S&P Global 

World economic growth resilient in June despite PMI dip: S&P Global 
Updated 07 July 2024
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World economic growth resilient in June despite PMI dip: S&P Global 

World economic growth resilient in June despite PMI dip: S&P Global 

RIYADH: International economic growth showed resilience in June, maintaining the second-highest level observed in the past 13 months, according to S&P Global’s latest report based on the Purchasing Managers’ Index. 

The JP Morgan global composite PMI, compiled by S&P Global, edged down to 52.9 in June from 53.7 in May. This slight decrease reflects a slowdown in the expansion rates of manufacturing production and service sector business activities worldwide. 

Amidst this global trend, Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector PMI stayed strong at 55 in June, fueled by rising demand, increased output levels, and a notable uptick in employment. 

A PMI reading above 50 signifies economic expansion, while below 50 indicates contraction. It measures economic trends in manufacturing based on monthly surveys of supply chain managers covering upstream and downstream activities. 

“The global all-industry output PMI stepped back 0.8 percentage points to 52.9 in June, with the decline fairly broad-based across sectors and regions. Although suggesting some momentum loss at midyear, the index is still consistent with a solid pace of expansion in global gross domestic product,” said Bennett Parrish, global economist at JP Morgan.  

He added: “Declines in the new orders and future output PMIs may raise the risk of growth moderating further, but another move up in the employment PMI suggests that underlying fundamentals remain resilient.”  

US and India growth accelerates 

The report highlighted accelerated PMI growth rates in the US, India, and Brazil. In the US, output expanded at the fastest pace since April 2022, driven by robust services activity which offset subdued manufacturing growth. 

India led the BRIC economies with strong growth momentum recovering from an election-related dip in May, marking one of its strongest performances in 14 years across goods and services sectors. 

Similarly, Brazil sustained strong expansion throughout the year with both service and manufacturing sectors contributing positively after a near-stalled growth in May. 

“June saw a further slight acceleration of growth in the US, bucking a broader developed world slowdown, while India continued to lead the emerging markets by a wide margin,” said Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.  

In contrast, output fell in Canada, having risen briefly in May for the first time in a year, led by a weakened service sector. 

“Japan also slipped back into decline. Although only marginal, the downturn was the first recorded for seven months. A first fall in services sector output for 22 months was partly countered by a rise in manufacturing output for the first time in 13 months,” added Williamson.  

Russia reported a slight output contraction, marking its first decline in 17 months as a significant drop in services activity countered resilient manufacturing growth. 

Growth also slowed in China, albeit merely paying back some of the substantial gains witnessed in May to still register one of the strongest expansions over the past year. However, robust growth in the Asian giant’s manufacturing sector helped counter a marked slowing in services activities in June.  

Meanwhile, the UK reported an eighth successive monthly expansion. However, growth slowed in manufacturing and services to result in the weakest upturn this year, albeit partly blamed on a pause in spending ahead of the upcoming election, S&P Global added.  

Global sub-sectors stable 

The US-based firm noted that growth became more broad-based across all global sub-sectors amidst the slowing of expansion.  

“All of the 25 sub-sectors covered by the PMI avoided contraction globally in June for the first time since July 2021. Expansions were reported across the board bar general industrials, which reported stable output,” said Williamson.  

The report noted that output rose at the quickest pace in the financial services category, while solid expansions were also seen in the business services, consumer goods and intermediate goods sectors.  

However, the rate of expansion was relatively mild in the consumer services sector.  

“Other noteworthy developments include a two-year high for chemicals and plastics output and a 28-month high for forestry and paper products, while the autos and parts sector rounded off its best quarter since early 2021,” the analysis added.  

Global employment increased for the second consecutive month in June, with the pace of job growth reaching its highest in a year across both manufacturing and service sectors.  

“Stronger increases in staffing levels were initiated in both the manufacturing and service sectors, with the sharper increase again registered in the latter. Of the nations covered by the survey, only China and Germany saw reductions in staffing levels,” said S&P Global.  

Future outlook  

Looking ahead, S&P Global warned of darkening near-term global prospects in June, with business expectations for the year ahead reaching a seven-month low, particularly affected by post-election uncertainties in India and Europe, including the UK and France. 

“However, sentiment was also pulled lower by concern over the demand environment going forward, as reflected in a pull-back in new orders growth from May’s one-year high, which left backlogs of work largely unchanged again during the month. The latter is typically a sign of current capacity being sufficient to meet existing demand,” the agency concluded. 


Saudi tech sector surges with spike in AI and Cloud service registrations in Q2

Saudi tech sector surges with spike in AI and Cloud service registrations in Q2
Updated 07 July 2024
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Saudi tech sector surges with spike in AI and Cloud service registrations in Q2

Saudi tech sector surges with spike in AI and Cloud service registrations in Q2

RIYADH: The Saudi tech industry saw strong growth in the second quarter, with registrations for artificial intelligence technologies and cloud computing services rising by 53 percent and 43 percent, respectively.

According to the Ministry of Commerce’s quarterly business sector bulletin, Saudi the Kingdom issued 8,948 official identification cards for AI technologies during the second quarter, compared to 5,820 issued in the same quarter last year. Additionally, 2,358 such documents were issued for cloud computing services, up from 1,648 in the same quarter of the previous year. 

This surge aligns with Saudi Arabia’s strong global market competitiveness, as the nation ranks 16th out of 67 countries in the World Competitiveness Ranking by the International Institute for Management Development. 

Riyadh accounted for the largest share of AI technology permits with 5,492, followed by Makkah with 1,789, the Eastern Province with 939, Madinah with 254, and Asir with 115. 

The data also revealed a surge in the arts, entertainment, and leisure sector, with 20,465 commercial records issued in the second quarter of this year, up from 16,438 in the same period last year. 

In a notable expansion for the electronic games sector, the ministry recorded 336 registrations in the second quarter of this year, up from 260 in the same quarter the previous year, indicating a 29 percent growth. 

Meanwhile, there were 8,213 issuances for ground passenger transport services in cities and suburbs in the second quarter, up from 6,227 in the same period last year. 

Additionally, the short-term accommodation sector experienced a 22 percent increase, issuing 22,435 business records compared to 18,398 in the same quarter last year. 

The mining and quarrying sector recorded 7,871 registrations, up from 6,671 in the same quarter last year. 

Meanwhile, the pharmaceuticals and medical products business saw a 34 percent increase in issuance, with 1,155 commercial records issued compared to 859 in the same quarter the previous year. 

This comes as the ministry issued more than 120,000 commercial registrations in the second quarter of 2024, marking a 78 percent year-on-year increase. Specifically, a total of 121,521 official identification cards for businesses were issued during the period, up from 68,222 in the same period last year.