Oil Updates – prices fall for fourth straight day as US rate hike prospects emerge

Oil Updates – prices fall for fourth straight day as US rate hike prospects emerge
Brent crude futures fell 20 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $81.70 a barrel at 9:51 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 23 May 2024
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Oil Updates – prices fall for fourth straight day as US rate hike prospects emerge

Oil Updates – prices fall for fourth straight day as US rate hike prospects emerge

LONDON: Oil prices eased for a fourth straight session on Thursday after the minutes of a US Federal Reserve meeting revealed discussions of a further tightening of interest rates if inflation remained sticky, a move that could hurt oil demand, according to Reuters.

Brent crude futures fell 20 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $81.70 a barrel at 9:51 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 29 cents, or 0.4 percent, at $77.28. Both benchmarks fell more than 1 percent on Wednesday.

Minutes released on Wednesday from the Federal Reserve’s last policy meeting showed the US central bank’s response to sticky inflation would “involve maintaining” its policy rate for now but also reflected discussion of possible further hikes.

“Various participants mentioned a willingness to tighten policy further should risks to inflation materialize in a way that such an action became appropriate,” minutes of the Fed’s meeting said.

Higher interest rates boost borrowing costs, crunching funds that could boost economic growth and oil demand in the world’s largest oil consuming nation.

Also weighing on the market, US crude stocks rose by 1.8 million barrels last week, according to the Energy Information Administration, compared with an estimate for a 2.5 million-barrel draw.

Globally, physical crude markets have more recently been pressured by soft refinery demand and ample supply.

“Recent market softness has come on the back of weaker data, including rising oil inventories, tepid demand, and refinery margin weakness and the increasing risk of run cuts,” Citi analysts said in a note on Thursday.

Russia said it exceeded its OPEC+ production quota in April for “technical reasons” and will soon present to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries Secretariat its plan to compensate for the error, the Russian Energy Ministry said late on Wednesday.

Citi said it still expects that OPEC+, which groups together OPEC and allies led by Russia, will hold its production cuts through the third quarter of this year when it meets on June 1.

Citi also said it continues to see Brent averaging $86 a barrel in the second quarter of 2024. 


Egypt’s central bank leaves overnight interest rates steady

Egypt’s central bank leaves overnight interest rates steady
Updated 26 sec ago
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Egypt’s central bank leaves overnight interest rates steady

Egypt’s central bank leaves overnight interest rates steady
  • Lending rate remained at 28.25%, while the deposit rate stood at 27.25%
  • It was the third time that it left rates unchanged since a 600 basis point hike on March 6

CAIRO: Egypt’s central bank as expected left its overnight interest rates on hold on Thursday, saying inflation pressures had subsided but that economic growth had softened.
The lending rate remained at 28.25 percent, while the deposit rate stood at 27.25 percent, the bank said in a statement.
It was the third time that it left rates unchanged since a 600 basis point hike on March 6, when it signed a $8 billion financial support agreement with the International Monetary Fund.
All but one of 15 analysts polled by Reuters this week had expected rates to remain on hold, with a sole analyst predicting a 100 bps cut.
“With the gradual easing of previous shocks, inflationary pressures continued to subside, as annual headline and core inflation edged downward for the fifth consecutive month,” the central bank’s monetary policy committee wrote in a statement accompanying the decision.
Egypt’s economy, already shaky, has been buffeted successively by the coronavirus, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the war in Gaza.
Inflation dropped to 25.7 percent in July, the first time the real interest rate has been positive since January 2022. Inflation fell gradually from an all-time peak of 38 percent in September. August inflation figures are due on Tuesday.
“Domestically, real GDP growth softened to 2.2 percent in Q1 2024 compared to 2.3 percent in Q4 2023,” the MPC said.
“The softening is driven by declining public contribution to economic activity due to the impact of Red Sea maritime trade disruption on the service sector.”
The MPC said it expected economic growth to recover gradually in the fiscal year that began on July 1 and that inflation would decline significantly in the first quarter of 2025.
“The gradual unwinding of food inflation along with the improvement of inflation expectations suggest that inflation is currently on a downward trajectory,” it said.


Investor pressure on Nike builds over garment workers’ rights from Cambodia to Pakistan

Investor pressure on Nike builds over garment workers’ rights from Cambodia to Pakistan
Updated 1 min 46 sec ago
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Investor pressure on Nike builds over garment workers’ rights from Cambodia to Pakistan

Investor pressure on Nike builds over garment workers’ rights from Cambodia to Pakistan
  • Nike sources from five factories in Pakistan but is not a signatory to Pakistan Accord
  • Accord is a binding health and safety agreement between workers’ unions and brands 

LONDON/NEW YORK: Investor pressure on Nike is building ahead of Tuesday’s annual shareholder meeting, with Norway’s sovereign wealth fund pledging to back a resolution demanding the company consider ways it can improve working conditions at garment factories.

Nike is struggling with sliding sales and also faces criticisms over its supply chain. Investment research firm MSCI downgraded its ESG (environmental, social and governance) rating for Nike in 2022 and 2023, and rates it as a “laggard” on supply chain labor standards.

The resolution proposed by a group of investors including Domini Impact Equity Fund says current approaches in the industry “often fail to identify and remedy persistent rights abuses such as wage theft, inadequate health and safety or gender-based violence.”

Domini was among more than 60 investors last year to sign a joint letter to Nike urging it to pay $2.2 million in wages to workers at suppliers in Cambodia and Thailand whom rights groups said were denied severance pay owed to them after factory shutdowns during the pandemic. Reuters could not independently verify the allegations, and Nike has denied them.

In a statement, Nike said its corporate governance team had been in touch with all the co-filers of the resolution.

“We greatly value the opportunity to engage with and solicit feedback from our shareholders, and we believe that maintaining an open dialogue strengthens our approach to corporate governance practices and disclosures,” it said.

The resolution reflects a push from some investors for Nike to create binding agreements with workers at factories and suppliers in countries where worker exploitation is a problem.

It asks Nike to consider whether binding agreements with workers would improve its ability to address human rights issues when sourcing from high-risk countries.

Nike sources from five factories in Pakistan, according to its own supply chain disclosures, yet it is not a signatory to the Pakistan Accord, a binding health and safety agreement between workers’ unions and brands that peers including Adidas and Puma have signed.

‘TOTAL SILENCE’

Several investors told Reuters that Nike’s lack of response to the 2023 letter, and to requests for meetings, were concerning.

“The total silence is the thing that worries me,” said Frank Wagemans, senior engagement specialist at Achmea Investment Management in the Netherlands. “We signed the joint investor letter last year, we also reached out to Nike ourselves and we didn’t get a reply which was quite astonishing to me because supply chain is probably the key ESG topic for Nike.”

The decision by Norway’s fund, Nike’s ninth biggest shareholder, went against recommendations by Nike’s management for shareholders to reject the resolution.

Nike has also urged shareholders to reject a separate proposal from investor Tulipshare, which urges Nike to assess the effectiveness of its supply chain management.

Tulipshare made the same proposal at last year’s shareholder meeting, where it won support from 11.7 percent of voters. Norway’s fund has said it will not support the Tulipshare proposal.

Shareholder advisory firms Glass Lewis and ISS also recommended voting against both resolutions.

Frankfurt-based Union Investment said it would back both proposals.

“We would like to see concrete efforts to enhance Nike’s understanding of gaps in its strategies to mitigate legal, reputational, and human rights risks,” said Janina Bartkewitz, ESG expert and analyst at Union Investment.

“Protecting vulnerable workers is of paramount importance.”

Marie Payne, responsible investment officer at Cardano in London, said new regulations like the European Union’s Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive increased the need for companies to strengthen supply chain practices and to report on their efforts.

If any of the proposals get 20 percent of votes or more, that would send a signal to Nike that these issues are important to shareholders, said Caroline Boden, director of shareholder advocacy at Mercy Investments.

“Part of the strategy is to get the attention of the company, but another part is to signal to other shareholders that there’s a group of investors that perceives this issue as material, and which could pose further risk to the company,” she said.


IMF commends Saudi housing program as effectively contributing to social, economic stability

IMF commends Saudi housing program as effectively contributing to social, economic stability
Updated 8 min 9 sec ago
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IMF commends Saudi housing program as effectively contributing to social, economic stability

IMF commends Saudi housing program as effectively contributing to social, economic stability
  • Sakani aims to raise the homeownership rate in the Kingdom to 70% by 2030
  • Number of households in the Kingdom that purchased their first homes reached 25,391 in the first three months of the year

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia’s Housing Program is effectively contributing to social and economic stability for citizens amid rapid growth, according to the International Monetary Fund.

In its report following the conclusion of the Article IV Consultation 2024, the IMF said that the program, part of Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, has achieved several tangible successes, including a notable increase in homeownership rates to approximately 64 percent, with 90 percent service satisfaction among beneficiaries, and a diverse range of available housing options.

The report said that the Saudi economy is experiencing rapid growth, with a strong financial position, and highlighted that the Kingdom was the fastest-growing economy in the G20 group of nations in 2022. It commended the progress made toward achieving set targets, according to the Saudi Press Agency.

The housing sector in Saudi Arabia has experienced significant transformation in recent years, propelled by the ambitious goals of Vision 2030.

The Housing Program has launched several innovative initiatives offering housing and financing solutions to meet citizens’ needs. This includes the Sakani program under the Ministry of Municipalities and Housing, financing options provided by the Real Estate Development Fund, regulations established by the Real Estate General Authority, and the residential projects and suburbs developed by the National Housing Co.

These achievements reflect the Saudi leadership’s commitment to providing adequate housing for citizens as a top priority, thereby contributing to the continued growth of the country’s non-oil gross domestic product.

During the first quarter of 2024, Sakani’s housing options benefited 32,343 Saudi families, representing a 15 percent increase compared to the previous year.

In partnership with the Real Estate Development Fund and financial institutions, Sakani offers various housing support packages to encourage first-time homebuyers. This includes non-refundable financial assistance of SR100,000 ($26,659) or SR150,000.

The number of households in the Kingdom that purchased their first homes reached 25,391 in the first three months of the year, reflecting Sakani’s goal of providing diverse residential options and financial solutions.

Established in 2017 by the Saudi Ministry of Housing and the Real Estate Development Fund, Sakani aims to raise the homeownership rate in the Kingdom to 70 percent by 2030, aligning with the Vision 2030 economic diversification strategy.

Sakani’s figures indicate that 12,184 households benefited from the program in March, with 9,381 Saudi families securing their first residence.

In January, Sakani reported that over 100,000 Saudi families benefited from the initiative in 2023, with 98,475 of these families acquiring their first home during the year.


Saudi Arabia, 7 other OPEC+ nations extend voluntary supply cuts until end of November

Saudi Arabia, 7 other OPEC+ nations extend voluntary supply cuts until end of November
Updated 39 min 23 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia, 7 other OPEC+ nations extend voluntary supply cuts until end of November

Saudi Arabia, 7 other OPEC+ nations extend voluntary supply cuts until end of November
  • Their voluntary supply cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day will be extended until the end of November 2024, the alliance said
  • US crude oil inventories fell to their lowest since September 2023 as imports dropped

RIYADH: Eight members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, known as OPEC+, agreed on Thursday to extend their voluntary supply cuts until the end of November, postponing a planned output increase amid falling crude prices.

The eight OPEC+ nations are Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman.

Their voluntary supply cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day will be extended “for two months until the end of November 2024,” the alliance said in a statement.

US inventories

US crude oil inventories fell to their lowest since September 2023 as imports dropped, while gasoline stockpiles rose with the end of the summer driving season, the Energy Information Administration said on Thursday.

Crude inventories, excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, fell by 6.9 million barrels to 418.3 million barrels in the week ending Aug. 30, the EIA said, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 993,000-barrel draw.

Net US crude imports fell last week by 853,000 bpd to 2 million bpd, the EIA said, while exports rose 85,000 bpd to 3.8 million bpd.

US crude oil futures and Brent crude futures extended gains following the report, rising 2 percent and 1.6 percent respectively.

Crude stocks at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery hub for US futures fell by 1.1 million barrels, the EIA said.

Refinery crude runs rose by 36,000 bpd in the week, while refinery utilization rates were unchanged at 93.3 percent of total capacity.


Saudi housing company tops list of GCC real estate developers for 2024

Saudi housing company tops list of GCC real estate developers for 2024
Updated 05 September 2024
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Saudi housing company tops list of GCC real estate developers for 2024

Saudi housing company tops list of GCC real estate developers for 2024
  • NHC said it executed 130 projects during this period
  • NHC plans to deliver 300,000 homes and establish nine thoughtfully designed residential suburbs by 2025

JEDDAH: Saudi Arabia’s National Housing Co. has been named the GCC’s top real estate developer for 2024, following SR13 billion ($3.47 billion) in sales during the first half of the year.

Construction Week Middle East’s report ranks the top 50 real estate developers in the GCC based on various criteria each company meets.

In a statement, NHC, a major player in the Middle East real estate sector, said that it executed 130 projects during this period in partnership with real estate developers across various regions in Saudi Arabia.

The company is dedicated to enhancing housing and living conditions with a focus on sustainability, ensuring that housing developments are environmentally friendly and future-proof across the Kingdom.

These initiatives align with Saudi Arabia’s broader mission to enhance services and unify efforts across various sectors to help families achieve homeownership, to raise the rate to 70 percent as part of Vision 2030.

As the largest enabler of the real estate development sector and the primary developer of suburbs and urban communities in the Kingdom, NHC manages nine suburbs and six residential districts, covering an area exceeding 100 million sq. meters.

By 2025, NHC plans to deliver 300,000 homes and establish nine thoughtfully designed residential suburbs, offering modern and connected communities, the company said.

It is also focused on ensuring high-quality supply chains and more sustainable construction materials, to increase the real estate supply with globally standardized housing options.