Oil Updates – prices fall on demand fears over Fed’s rates path

Oil Updates – prices fall on demand fears over Fed’s rates path
Brent crude futures fell 57 cents, or 0.68 percent, to $83.14 a barrel by 9:13 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
Short Url
Updated 21 May 2024
Follow

Oil Updates – prices fall on demand fears over Fed’s rates path

Oil Updates – prices fall on demand fears over Fed’s rates path

TOKYO: Oil prices extended losses in Asia trade on Tuesday, with investors anticipating lingering US inflation and higher interest rates to depress consumer and industrial demand, according to Reuters.

Brent crude futures fell 57 cents, or 0.68 percent, to $83.14 a barrel by 9:13 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude slipped 58 cents, or 0.73 percent, to $79.22 a barrel.

Both benchmarks fell less than 1 percent on Monday as US Federal Reserve officials said they were awaiting more signs of slowing inflation before considering interest rate cuts.

“Fears of weaker demand led to selling as the prospect of Fed rate cut became more distant,” said analyst Toshitaka Tazawa at Fujitomi Securities.

Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said on Monday it was too early to tell whether the inflation slowdown is “long lasting,” while Vice Chair Michael Barr said restrictive policy needs more time. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said it will “take a while” for the central bank to be confident that a price growth slowdown is sustainable.

All in all, the Fed officials’ comments pointed to interest rates staying higher for longer than markets expect. That has implications for the oil market as higher borrowing costs tie up funds in a blow to economic growth and demand for crude.

On the other hand, the market appeared little affected by political uncertainty in two major oil-producing countries.

“While there has been an upmove over some uncertainty in Iran, prices have since pared back some gains, as investors price for the status-quo in terms of policies for now and that any wider regional conflict remains off the table,” IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong said in an email to Reuters.

Investors are focusing on supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its affiliates, together known as OPEC+. They are scheduled to meet on June 1 to set output policy, including whether to extend some members’ 2.2 million barrels per day of voluntary cuts.

“Prices remain in wait for a catalyst to drive a breakout of the current range, with eyes still on any geopolitical developments, along with oil inventories data this week,” IG’s Yeap said.

OPEC+ could extend some voluntary output cuts if demand fails to pick up, people with knowledge of the matter previously told Reuters. 


GCC banks to maintain ‘strong performance’ during 2024: S&P Global  

GCC banks to maintain ‘strong performance’ during 2024: S&P Global  
Updated 9 sec ago
Follow

GCC banks to maintain ‘strong performance’ during 2024: S&P Global  

GCC banks to maintain ‘strong performance’ during 2024: S&P Global  

RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council banks are set for strong performance through the remainder of 2024, driven by a 10.4 percent increase in lending during the first half of the year, a report claims. 

S&P Global attributes this loan growth, up from 6.7 percent in 2023, to robust activity in non-oil sectors across Saudi Arabia and the UAE. 

The top 45 GCC banks showed this annualized growth, reflecting heightened economic activity outside the oil industry. 

The analysis indicates that this elevated lending growth will support the sector in managing potential economic uncertainties for the remainder of the year. 

This comes as GCC countries prioritize expanding their non-oil sectors to diversify economies and reduce reliance on volatile oil revenues, driven by global energy transitions, fluctuating oil prices, and the need for sustainable growth. 

“We expect sustained strong performance over the remainder of the year will help GCC banks navigate potential turbulence,” stated S&P Global. 

The report also states that while higher-for-longer interest rates have kept bank margins stable at 2.7 percent, the migration of deposits from non-interest-bearing instruments to remunerated accounts continues.  

NIBs accounted for 45 percent of total deposits at the end of 2023, down from 48 percent a year earlier, and have continued to decline.  

Despite this, steady growth in the non-oil sectors has supported asset quality metrics, with cost of risk maintained between 60-70 basis points. 

“These developments enabled the banks to maintain strong profitability in the first half, with return on assets strengthening to 1.74 percent, from 1.65 percent at end-2023,” it added. 

The report suggests that conservative dividend payouts will further bolster banks’ capital positions, with the average Tier 1 ratio, a bank’s core equity capital to its total risk-weighted assets, standing at 17.1 percent as of June 30, 2024, compared to 17.3 percent at the end of 2023. 

However, S&P Globals noted that challenges persist in some sectors. 

“Still-muted real estate performance in Qatar and Kuwait-notably due to oversupply and subdued demand, respectively-could present risks for those banking sectors,” the report warns. 

Nonetheless, strong provisions in Kuwait and the Qatari government’s role in the economy are expected to support resilience.  

Looking ahead, the report highlights that a projected rate cut by the US Federal Reserve of 150 bps between September and the end of 2025 could reduce GCC banks’ net income by approximately 12 percent, based on 2023 figures.  

Despite this potential impact, the report suggests that cost control measures may soften the blow, with the rate cuts likely to provide relief to highly leveraged corporates and retail clients. This could help maintain asset quality across the region’s banks.  

Geopolitical risks, while present, are not expected to disrupt the region’s banking systems, it added. 

GCC sovereigns and banks are deemed well-positioned to manage potential fallout, barring extreme scenarios such as the closure of major export routes or significant threats to domestic security. 

“A sharp increase in uncertainty could trigger detrimental capital outflows or prompt sovereigns to liquidate external assets and provide support,” the report notes, but it highlights the preparedness of sovereigns, particularly in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, the UAE, and Kuwait, to navigate such risks.  

The report further states that despite elevated external debt in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, overall risks remain manageable due to stable regional deposits and robust government support mechanisms. 


24 Fintech: BIM Ventures and SC Ventures forge partnership to accelerate digital transformation in Saudi Arabia

24 Fintech: BIM Ventures and SC Ventures forge partnership to accelerate digital transformation in Saudi Arabia
Updated 36 min 23 sec ago
Follow

24 Fintech: BIM Ventures and SC Ventures forge partnership to accelerate digital transformation in Saudi Arabia

24 Fintech: BIM Ventures and SC Ventures forge partnership to accelerate digital transformation in Saudi Arabia

RIYADH: Saudi-based venture capital studio BIM Ventures has signed an agreement with a unit of Standard Chartered to drive digital transformation and growth in the Kingdom.

The memorandum of understanding was inked with SC Ventures on the sidelines of the 24 Fintech conference in Riyadh. 

The agreement aims to accelerate the growth of innovative startups by blending SC Ventures’ global expertise with BIM Ventures’ regional market insights.

This strategic partnership represents a crucial milestone in advancing innovation and realizing the goals of Saudi Vision 2030, as cultivating an entrepreneurial ecosystem that drives economic and technological growth secures the Kingdom’s alignment with its objectives.

“We’re announcing an MoU with BIM Ventures, which is a venture building lab located here, looking forward to essentially building businesses in this particular market, and we both bring very, different things to the table, obviously, but in the same time, very much often of an alignment of mindset in terms of how we building things,” Alex Manson, CEO of SC Ventures told Arab News in an interview.

He added: “We are focused on some of the same themes, which is, serving clients in financial services the way they need and want to be served in this market.”

This collaboration will develop, co-create, and scale new ventures to tackle major industry challenges and drive sustainable regional impact and growth.

The two companies will also work together to create innovative technological solutions that address the market’s evolving needs, focusing on sectors such as fintech, property, and investment technology.

Through this collaboration, joint projects will be identified and implemented to support the growth of startups and foster an innovative entrepreneurial environment.

“Our partnership with SC Ventures represents a strategic step toward localizing global expertise in banking and financial technology to meet the needs of the Saudi market,” Mohamed Amine Merah, managing partner and CEO of BIM Ventures, said.

He added: “We will build and invest in joint projects to develop innovative financial solutions, increase the Saudi market’s attractiveness to investors, and contribute to sustainable economic growth.”

Manson further elaborated that the MoU goes beyond merely funding new ventures; it represents a comprehensive approach to building and scaling startups.

“I expect we’re going to be very much present in Saudi, specifically with building a business, looking for partners as I speak. That’s why I’m here today,” Manson said.

This includes providing financial investment and contributing valuable talent, expertise, and hands-on support.

“Actually, It’s for both, across operational people and go-to-market issues and everything, and that’s what venture building entails and expect to do exactly,” Manson said.

During the interview, the CEO pointed out that companies started by women often struggle more than those launched by men to secure funding.

However, he highlighted that startups with male and female co-founders tend to excel in fundraising, saying this “is an interesting take on diversity as a separate matter.” 

He added: “I would expand the point of diversity by saying that it’s gender diversity. It’s background diversity. it's different ways of thinking, and making sure of that, but someone else can come and complement you, and so mixing up different people with very different backgrounds, gender included, but not limited to, that is where the magic happens.”

Manson then emphasized that ventures with diverse teams — composed of individuals with different backgrounds and perspectives — tend to perform significantly better than those led by a homogenous group.

When a team is made up of similar people, they might suffer from “groupthink,” where they miss important insights and opportunities due to a lack of varied viewpoints.


Italy’s Saipem wins $1bn in offshore contracts from Aramco

Italy’s Saipem wins $1bn in offshore contracts from Aramco
Updated 52 min 23 sec ago
Follow

Italy’s Saipem wins $1bn in offshore contracts from Aramco

Italy’s Saipem wins $1bn in offshore contracts from Aramco

RIYADH: Italian engineering firm Saipem has secured two offshore contracts in Saudi Arabia worth $1 billion under its existing long-term agreement with Aramco. 

The first deal includes the engineering, procurement, construction, and installation – or EPCI – of three production deck modules, 33 km of subsea rigid pipelines, and 34 km of subsea power cables, all to be installed in the Marjan oil and gas field, according to a press release. 

The second contract covers the EPCI of three jackets, five production deck modules, 22 km of subsea rigid pipelines, 5 km of subsea flexible pipelines, and 35 km of subsea power cables, set for the Zuluf and Safaniyah oil fields.  

This comes as the Milan Stock Exchange-listed firm aims to strengthen its presence in the Middle East. The award of two major offshore contracts further consolidates Saipem’s positioning in the region.  

The contracts also bolster its presence in the Kingdom and reinforce its longstanding partnership with Aramco. 

The statement also revealed that Saipem will utilize its regional construction vessels for the offshore segments of both projects. Fabrication will occur at its Saudi yard, Saipem Taqa Al-Rushaid Fabricators Co. Ltd., aimed at boosting local industry capabilities. 

These new deals follow a July contract in which Saipem was awarded two offshore projects under the existing long-term agreement with Aramco, totaling approximately $500 million.

The first project involved the EPCI of a 50-km crude trunkline with a 42-inch diameter for the Abu Safa Field. The second project encompassed production maintenance programs for the Berri and Manifa Fields. 

In 2023, Gulf International Bank - Saudi Arabia extended a $285.3 million credit facility, announced as a letter of guarantee, to support Saipem’s ongoing activities in the Kingdom. 

The company secured $1.25 billion in onshore and offshore contracts across the Middle East in 2022. 

Established in 1957, Saipem is a leading oil and gas contractor with nearly 50 years of experience in Saudi Arabia, delivering onshore, offshore, and drilling projects. The company operates seven fabrication yards, an offshore fleet of 21 construction vessels, and 15 drilling rigs.  

Saipem is active in over 50 countries and employs around 30,000 people from more than 120 nations. 


ACWA Power to develop $680m independent water plant in Sharjah 

ACWA Power to develop $680m independent water plant in Sharjah 
Updated 04 September 2024
Follow

ACWA Power to develop $680m independent water plant in Sharjah 

ACWA Power to develop $680m independent water plant in Sharjah 

RIYADH: Saudi utility developer ACWA Power will develop Sharjah’s first independent water plant with a capacity of 410,000 cubic meters per day. 

The Saudi-listed firm has signed an agreement worth SR2.56 billion ($680 million) with Sharjah Electricity, Water and Gas Authority for the project, according to a press statement. 

The Hamriyah IWP will use seawater reverse osmosis technology, with partial operations expected to commence in the second quarter of 2027, initially producing 272,000 cubic meters per day. 

Upon full completion in the third quarter of 2028, the plant will produce 410,000 cubic meters per day of desalinated water. 

This contract follows ACWA Power’s recent recognition as the world’s largest water project developer outside China. In February, Global Water Intelligence ranked the company as a leading global developer in the water sector, with 6.8 million cubic meters per day of gross capacity. 

Marco Arcelli, CEO of ACWA Power, said: “We are delighted to collaborate with SEWA on this landmark project, bringing our total portfolio in the UAE to eight projects in both power and water.” 

He added: “This project reinforces ACWA Power’s indisputable global leadership in water desalination, and we look forward to bringing our extensive experience in low-carbon intensive RO desalination to the emirate of Sharjah, providing an end-to-end solution to meet growing demand for clean and affordable water.” 

The contract includes development, design, and financing. It also covers engineering, procurement, construction, and commissioning, as well as completion, testing, and ownership, along with operation, maintenance, and insurance of the IWP. 

“The signing of the agreement to establish a water desalination plant in Al Hamriyah with one of the largest specialist companies in this field aligns with the plan to develop the water sector system in Sharjah,” said Abdullah Abdul Rahman Al-Shamsi, director general of SEWA. 

He said that it is considered one of the largest investments in water at the emirate level, utilizing the latest technologies. 

The new plant will operate using the reverse osmosis system for water desalination and will incorporate the latest post-treatment, filtration, and disinfection technologies. 

“The project will increase water production capacity, adding a storage capacity of 90 million gallons, in addition to consuming no more than 3.2 kilowatts per hour to produce one cubic meter of water,” Al-Shamsi added. 

The Hamriyah IWP aligns with Sharjah’s water strategy, which aims to enhance water security, support comprehensive development, and ensure sustainable access to clean water for the Emirate’s residents.


Saudi-Singaporean ties to strengthen in sustainability, SMEs, and manufacturing

Saudi-Singaporean ties to strengthen in sustainability, SMEs, and manufacturing
Updated 04 September 2024
Follow

Saudi-Singaporean ties to strengthen in sustainability, SMEs, and manufacturing

Saudi-Singaporean ties to strengthen in sustainability, SMEs, and manufacturing

JEDDAH: Saudi-Singaporean industrial ties are set to strengthen after senior officials from the countries met to explore cooperation in sustainable growth, small and medium enterprises, and advanced manufacturing technology.

During his official visit to the Asian island, the Kingdom’s Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef met with heads of agencies and institutions, including Singapore Economic Development Board Chairman Png Cheong Boon where the two discussed leveraging the EDB’s expertise.

The minister also met with Enterprise Singapore Executive Chairman Lee Chuan Teck to discuss cooperation in capacity building, innovation, and transformation, and Meinhardt Group’s head of the fourth industrial revolution division to explore modern technologies to enhance efficiency and innovation in the sector.

The meetings were also attended by the Kingdom’s Assistant Minister for Planning and Development Abdullah Ali Al-Ahmari, CEO of the National Industrial Development Center Saleh Al-Sulami, and Majed Rafed Al-Argoubi, CEO at the Saudi Authority for Industrial Cities and Technology Zones.

The discussions are part of an economic tour of East Asia, where Alkhorayef is leading his ministry’s delegation to enhance bilateral ties, attract high-quality investments to Saudi Arabia, and explore mutual opportunities in the industrial sector.

In October 2023, the Kingdom and Singapore signed seven memorandums of understanding to facilitate investment opportunities across multiple sectors, inked during the third session of the Saudi-Singapore Joint Committee held in Riyadh at that time.

The two countries have a robust partnership, with trade volume reaching SR45.2 billion ($12.05 billion) in 2022, a 50 percent increase from the previous year.

In his discussion with the Agency for Science, Technology and Research CEO, Alkhorayef explored ways to strengthen cooperation with the organization, which is considered one of the top innovative government bodies globally in the field of science and technology.

The minister and delegation members also toured the Port of Singapore, which stands as the world’s largest automated maritime terminal.

During his visit, the transfer of expertise, including the port’s model for handling the world’s largest container ships, adopting new technologies, and training were discussed. 

Tuas Port was also toured, which opened in 2022 and is slated to be fully operational by 2040. 

Covering an area roughly equivalent to 3,300 football fields, the terminal will include 66 automated docks extending 26 km to accommodate the largest container ships. Its projected throughput is 65 million twenty-foot equivalent units.