Market size of energy transition minerals to hit $770bn by 2040: IEA

The report also highlighted that ensuring a reliant and diversified supply of critical minerals is crucial to achieving future climate and energy goals.  Reuters
The report also highlighted that ensuring a reliant and diversified supply of critical minerals is crucial to achieving future climate and energy goals. Reuters
Short Url
Updated 19 May 2024
Follow

Market size of energy transition minerals to hit $770bn by 2040: IEA

Market size of energy transition minerals to hit $770bn by 2040: IEA

RIYADH: The market size of key minerals for energy transition is expected to double twofold to hit $770 billion by 2040, an analysis revealed.

In its latest report, the International Energy Agency said that more investments are needed in the clean energy sector as the world strives to achieve net-zero emissions by the middle of the century. 

“The combined market value of key energy transition minerals — copper, lithium, nickel, cobalt, graphite, and rare earth elements — more than doubles to reach $770 billion by 2040,” said the energy agency. 

It added: “At around $325 billion, today’s aggregate market value of key energy transition minerals aligns broadly with that of iron ore. By 2040, copper on its own attains that scale.” 

Ensuring reliant and diversified supply critical

The report also highlighted that ensuring a reliant and diversified supply of critical minerals is crucial to achieving future climate and energy goals. 

“Secure and sustainable access to critical minerals is essential for smooth and affordable clean energy transitions. The world’s appetite for technologies such as solar panels, electric cars, and batteries is growing fast — but we cannot satisfy it without reliable and expanding supplies of critical minerals,” said IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol. 

He added: “The recent critical mineral investment boom has been encouraging, and the world is in a better position now than it was a few years ago when we first flagged this issue in our landmark 2021 report on the subject. But this new IEA analysis highlights that there is still much to do to ensure resilient and diversified supply.” 

The report further pointed out that stepping up efforts to recycle, innovate, and encourage behavioral change is vital to ease potential strains on the supply of critical minerals required for energy transitions. 

“Some $800 billion of investment in mining is required between now and 2040 to get on track for a 1.5 °C scenario. Without the strong uptake of recycling and reuse, mining capital requirements would need to be one-third higher,” said IEA. 

According to IEA, announced projects are sufficient to meet only 70 percent of copper and 50 percent of lithium requirements by 2035. 

However, the energy think tank noted that markets for other minerals look more balanced if projects come through as scheduled. 

Earlier in May, an additional report released by the International Energy Forum echoed similar views, highlighting that the already set targets for 100 percent electric vehicle adoption globally by 2035 cannot be achieved without an unprecedented acceleration in copper mining.  

IEF said that electrifying the global vehicle fleet would necessitate opening another 55 percent more new copper mines by 2035. 

Moreover, from 2018 to 2050, the world will need to mine 115 percent more copper than has been mined in all of human history to meet vehicle electrification goals, said IEF. 

IEA, in the latest report, also highlighted that announced projects in the mining sector show limited progress in diversifying supply.

“Announced projects indicate that refined material production is set to remain highly concentrated in a few countries. For battery grade spherical and synthetic graphite, almost 95 percent of growth comes from China,” said the agency. 

IEA added: “These high levels of supply concentration represent a risk for the speed of energy transitions, as it makes supply chains and routes more vulnerable to disruption, whether from extreme weather, trade disputes or geopolitics.”

Critical mineral prices fell in 2023

The energy think tank also revealed that the prices of critical minerals fell in 2023, returning to levels last seen before the COVID-19 pandemic. 

“Materials used to make batteries saw particularly significant decreases, with the price of lithium dropping by 75 percent and the prices of cobalt, nickel, and graphite falling by between 30 percent and 45 percent — helping drive battery prices 14 percent lower,” said IEA. 

The study added that the demand for critical minerals experienced substantial growth in 2023, with lithium demand rising by 30 percent, while requests for nickel, cobalt, graphite, and rare earth elements all saw increases ranging from 8 percent to 15 percent. 

IEA noted that clean energy applications were the main driver of growth for a range of critical minerals in 2023. 

“Electric vehicles consolidated their position as the largest-consuming segment for lithium and increased their share considerably in the demand for nickel, cobalt, and graphite,” said the energy agency. 

The report added that lower prices for critical minerals in the past year have been good news for consumers and affordability. However, they have provided a headwind for new investment. 

The IEA noted that in 2023, investment in critical minerals mining grew by 10 percent, and exploration spending rose by 15 percent — still healthy but slower than in 2022. 

“The recent fall in prices has affected investments in new mineral supply, but they are still growing. Increases in 2023 were smaller than those seen in 2022, but investment in critical mineral mining nonetheless grew by 10 percent. Investment by lithium specialists saw a sharp rise of 60 percent, despite weak prices,” said the report. 

It added: “Exploration spending also rose by 15 percent, driven by Canada and Australia. China’s spending on and acquisition of overseas mines has grown significantly in the past ten years, reaching record levels of $10 billion in the first half of 2023.” 

The study further highlighted that Latin America will capture the largest market value for mined output, with around $120 billion by 2030.

Similarly, Indonesia will witness the fastest growth in mining output value. Due to its burgeoning nickel production, the country is expected to double its market value by 2030 to $75 billion. 


Saudi Arabia seeing steady growth in non-oil economy says economy minister

Saudi Arabia seeing steady growth in non-oil economy says economy minister
Updated 7 sec ago
Follow

Saudi Arabia seeing steady growth in non-oil economy says economy minister

Saudi Arabia seeing steady growth in non-oil economy says economy minister

DAVOS: Saudi Arabia is seeing steady growth in the non-oil economy, said minister Faisal Alibrahim in Davos on Friday. 

Alibrahim called for action oriented leadership in global economies and said Saudi Vision 2030 is an example of a strong campaign led by bold leadership that develops solutions for economic problems. 

“Vision 2030 is a long term campaign in order to restructure the economy. We care about the non-oil economy, it currently represents 52 percent of the GDP for the first time,” he said. 

Alibrahim said the kingdom expects to close 2024 with 3.9 percent growth in the non-oil economy. 

He followed up by saying 2025 was predicted to see 4.8 percent growth and by 2026 growth will equate 6.2 percent. 

Alibrahim commented on the longstanding friendship between the Kingdom and the United States. 

“Saudi Arabia’s position is to have a strong partnership with all its partners and friends. Tariffs have been used as a tool in the economy when they are for an objective and time bound. Tariffs can help create a competitive environment so local industries can start,” he added. 

Kristalina Georgieva Managing Director, International Monetary Fund said Saudi Arabia had the right strategy when dealing with tariffs.

“Trade among politically aligned countries is higher. But countries that are friends with everybody perform the best,” said Georgieva. 

Alibrahim ended the session by announcing a regular world economic global forum meeting in the Kingdom set to be held in spring of 2026.


Emirates airline to resume flights to Beirut

Emirates airline to resume flights to Beirut
Updated 24 January 2025
Follow

Emirates airline to resume flights to Beirut

Emirates airline to resume flights to Beirut

DUBAI: Emirates airline will resume flights to Beirut on Feb. 1 after a four-month suspension triggered by conflict between Israel and Hezbollah, a statement said on Friday.

The Middle East’s biggest airline will first offer a daily return flight and scale up to two services per day from April 1, the statement said.

Emirates will also resume a daily flight to the Iraqi capital, Baghdad, from Feb.1, it added.

The Dubai-based, state-owned carrier was one of several regional airlines to suspend Beirut services in late September as tensions soared between Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah.

A truce came into effect on November 27, ending over a year of hostilities.
 


Saudi Arabia champions youth as it drives talent development to fuel Vision 2030

Saudi Arabia champions youth as it drives talent development to fuel Vision 2030
Updated 24 January 2025
Follow

Saudi Arabia champions youth as it drives talent development to fuel Vision 2030

Saudi Arabia champions youth as it drives talent development to fuel Vision 2030
  • Kingdom is encouraging entrepreneurship 
  • 76 percent of young Saudis view the government as a positive change-driver

RIYADH: As Saudi Arabia redefines its economy and aspirations under Vision 2030, the Kingdom is placing a tremendous focus on its most valuable asset — its youth.

Through a dynamic blend of public-private partnerships, targeted training, and groundbreaking programs, Saudi Arabia is setting the stage for a new generation of skilled professionals who will not only fuel growth but also transform the economic landscape.

Figures from the General Authority for Statistics released in 2023 show that 63 percent of the Kingdom’s population is under 30 years old, and the government and private sector are working hand-in-hand to shape the coming era.

“Digital literacy is essential, as technological advancements require the younger generation to not only be proficient in the latest advancements but also drive innovation in areas like AI and data analytics,” Riyadh Al-Najjar, PwC Middle East chairman and Saudi Arabia country senior partner, told Arab News

He added: “An entrepreneurial mindset is equally important, as the success of Vision 2030 relies on growing the private sector. Young people need to be able to spot opportunities, think critically, and solve problems that add value to the economy.”

On a similar perspective, Zehar Filemban, executive director in talent development at Red Sea Global, noted the essential skills Saudi Arabia is focusing on to prepare its youth for roles in an evolving economy.

In emerging fields like technology, tourism, and renewable energy, digital literacy is crucial, enabling young Saudis to work with advanced technologies, while problem-solving equips them to tackle complex challenges and project management ensures efficient handling of tasks and responsibilities.

“By nurturing these skills, we aim to empower the next generation to contribute effectively to the Kingdom’s evolving economy,” Filemban told Arab News.

Alongside these technical skills, critical thinking, adaptability, and leadership are equally important.

Critical thinking allows young professionals to approach problems analytically, adaptability helps them respond effectively to rapid changes, and leadership empowers them to drive projects and inspire teams.

By cultivating both technical and soft skills, Saudi Arabia aims to equip the next generation to lead in a competitive job market, fostering innovation and supporting the country’s ambitious economic transformation under Vision 2030.

 “An entrepreneurial mindset is equally important, as the success of Vision 2030 relies on growing the private sector,” Al-Najjar said, underscoring that the future workforce must not only navigate established pathways but also create their own.

Robust youth engagement

PwC's Middle East Youth Outlook 2024 report underscores the importance of local talent development for the Kingdom’s future, indicating that a large portion of Saudi youth are highly motivated to contribute to the nation's progress.

The report reveals that 76 percent of young Saudis view the government as a positive change-driver, reflecting trust in the Vision 2030 agenda and a desire to align with national goals.

It also emphasizes that Saudi youth are keenly interested in career pathways that not only offer upward mobility but also provide opportunities to build skills in fields critical to the Kingdom’s sustainable future, like technology, healthcare, renewable energy, and tourism.

Filling the skills gap via private-public partnerships

Private companies in Saudi Arabia are working alongside government initiatives to improve youth employment and skill development.

"We actively partner with various ministries and educational institutions to offer tailored training programs that address industry-specific needs,” Filemban said.

He continued: “These collaborations, such as the RSG Elite Graduate Program, RSG Scholarship Program, Red Sea Vocational Training Program, and partnerships with local educational institutions, ensure that Saudi youth gain practical, hands-on experience while building a strong foundation for their careers, ultimately aligning with the goals of Vision 2030 and beyond.”

The alignment of private companies with government initiatives has been essential to the Kingdom’s approach, creating job readiness programs that meet the demands of the local labor market.

PwC, along with other private-sector giants like Aramco, NEOM, and Red Sea Global, are deeply committed to skill development and Saudization, reducing dependency on expatriate labor by equipping local talent with the expertise necessary to fill high-demand roles.

The firm’s Hemam program provides Saudi youth with training in consulting and technology, coupled with mentorship to bridge the gap between education and employment.

“It is also important for the private sector and educational institutions to continue working closely together, as it plays a pivotal role in preparing young Saudis for their careers,” Al-Najjar said.

He added: “Universities and academic institutions are increasingly working alongside businesses to ensure that curricula and training programmes are aligned with the specific needs of in demand sectors.”

Al-Najjar went on to say: “This alignment ensures that graduates possess the needed skills and are well-equipped to transition from education to employment seamlessly.”

Riyadh Al-Najjar, PwC Middle East chairman and Saudi Arabia country senior partner. Supplied

Encouraging entrepreneurship 

Saudi Arabia’s burgeoning entrepreneurial ecosystem is also playing a significant role in economic diversification.

The government, along with private-sector incubators such as The Garage and Flat6Labs, offers young business minds vital resources, including funding, mentorship, and technical support.

According to Al-Najjar, the private-sector incubators across the Kingdom play a significant role by providing entrepreneurs with access to technical expertise, strategic advice, and an extensive network of investors.

This guidance is helping young Saudis transform innovative concepts into viable businesses, fostering a generation of self-starters who contribute to job creation and economic growth.

Programs like these underscore the rise in entrepreneurial interest among Saudi youth, who are increasingly drawn to fields such as technology, renewable energy, and gaming.

Building a sustainable workforce: Saudization and beyond

Saudi Arabia’s shift towards a sustainable, homegrown workforce involves not only training but also the transfer of knowledge from foreign experts to Saudi nationals.

Companies are focused on workforce localization and training, with entities like Red Sea Global launching initiatives to empower Saudi talent to take on roles in fields such as tourism and renewable energy.

Filemban described RSG’s Global Leader Program as a targeted leadership initiative aimed at building capacity within Saudi nationals.

“This approach creates a sustainable workforce and also fosters a culture of ownership and innovation, empowering Saudis to take on roles across key sectors. We are also investing in a range of leadership initiatives, including the RSG Global Leader Program,” he said.

Filemban added: “Young Saudis are showing particular interest in sectors like tourism, technology, and renewable energy, areas that align closely with the goals of Vision 2030.”

He further explained that by connecting them with industry experts and providing resources, they enable them to transform their innovative concepts into sustainable businesses that contribute to the Kingdom’s economic growth.

Looking ahead to what’s next

When asked about further steps that Saudi Arabia should take to retain and attract talent in fields crucial to Vision 2030, Filemban noted that the Kingdom must continue to develop a robust talent ecosystem that not only attracts skilled professionals but also retains them in essential fields

“This can be achieved by expanding partnerships with global educational institutions, investing in lifelong learning programs, and enhancing incentives for skill development,” he said.

Filemban continued: “At Red Sea Global, we are committed to developing comprehensive career pathways, creating opportunities for continuous professional growth, and fostering an environment where top talent is valued and nurtured.”

On his side, Al-Najjar emphasized the importance of Saudi Arabia taking active steps to attract and retain talent in fields critical to the country’s future, even beyond Vision 2030.

“A key priority will be creating flexible, purpose-driven workplaces that connect back to the demand of today’s workforce. As highlighted in our Hopes and Fears Survey, 57 percent of workers value work-life balance and job security,” he said.

Al-Najjar continued: “This makes it essential for businesses to expand initiatives such as remote working policies, wellness programmes, and inclusive environments.

He added that this involves expanding public-private partnerships for advanced training, enhancing the appeal of fields like cybersecurity, artificial intelligence, and clean energy, and offering incentives and career growth opportunities for young professionals.

“By focusing on these areas, Saudi will have created a dynamic ecosystem that not only attracts global professionals but also nurtures and retains local talent who will drive the Kingdom’s economic transformation,” Al-Najjar said.

The Middle East Youth Outlook 2024 report recommends that Saudi Arabia continue to invest in scholarships, internships, and public-private collaborations to attract young professionals to emerging industries.

In doing so, the Kingdom is not only positioning itself as a talent hub but also fostering an environment where local youth can thrive and innovate.

Overcoming the challenges

Despite these extensive efforts, challenges remain. As Filemban pointed out: “One of the core challenges is bridging the gap between the skills young Saudis acquire in educational institutions and the rapidly evolving needs of the job market.”

The rapid pace of technological advancement, combined with the evolving demands of industries like AI and data analytics, requires continuous upskilling.

Initiatives such as Vision 2030’s Human Capability Development Program aim to address this by aligning education with industry requirements, preparing youth for careers in key sectors through practical skills and soft skills training.

In response, companies like Red Sea Global and PwC are working closely with universities and vocational training centers to develop curricula and training programs that meet industry standards.

This alignment between academia and industry is crucial to ensuring that young Saudis are equipped with relevant, market-driven skills, enabling them to transition smoothly into the workforce.


Oil Updates — prices poised for weekly fall on Trump’s energy policies

Oil Updates — prices poised for weekly fall on Trump’s energy policies
Updated 24 January 2025
Follow

Oil Updates — prices poised for weekly fall on Trump’s energy policies

Oil Updates — prices poised for weekly fall on Trump’s energy policies

LONDON: Oil prices were little changed on Friday but headed for a weekly decline after US President Donald Trump issued a sweeping plan to boost US production and demanded OPEC lower crude prices.

Brent crude futures were down 9 cents at $78.20 a barrel by 7:45 a.m. Saudi time on Friday, while US West Texas Intermediate crude dipped 9 cents to $74.53.

For the week, Brent was down 3.18 percent so far, while WTI shed 4.28 percent.

“Crude prices have been easing all through this week, as investors trimmed war premiums after the Gaza ceasefire while bracing for Trump’s energy policy change,” said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova.

“For now, Trump is being unpredictable as predicted, setting oil prices up for headlines-oriented volatility ahead,” Sachdeva added.

Trump, during his speech on Thursday at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, said he would demand that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries bring down the cost of crude barrels.

He also said he would ask Saudi Arabia to increase a US investment package to $1 trillion, up from $600 billion reported by the Kingdom’s state news agency earlier in the day.

Trump had declared a national energy emergency on Monday, rolling back environmental restrictions on energy infrastructure as part of a sweeping plan to maximize domestic oil and gas production.

On Wednesday, he vowed to hit the EU with tariffs and impose 25 percent tariffs against Canada and Mexico, and said his administration was considering a 10 percent punitive duty on China.

As attention shifts to a possible February timeline for new tariffs set by Trump, caution will likely persist in the market as any new trade restrictions will carry negative implications for global growth, potentially weighing on oil demand prospects, said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.

Traders expect oil prices to range between $76.50 and $78 a barrel, Yeap added.

While bullish catalysts like a significant drawdown in US crude stocks are providing temporary positive swings, an overall oversupplied global market and ailing projections of Chinese demand continue to weigh on crude futures, Phillip Nova’s Sachdeva said.

US crude inventories last week hit their lowest level since March 2022, according to the US Energy Information Administration.

The EIA report, issued a day late because of a US holiday on Monday, said crude stockpiles fell by 1 million barrels to 411.7 million barrels in the week to Jan. 17, marking a ninth consecutive weekly decline.


Saudi Arabia, UAE poised to become trade ‘super-connector hubs,’ WEF panel hears

Saudi Arabia, UAE poised to become trade ‘super-connector hubs,’ WEF panel hears
Updated 24 January 2025
Follow

Saudi Arabia, UAE poised to become trade ‘super-connector hubs,’ WEF panel hears

Saudi Arabia, UAE poised to become trade ‘super-connector hubs,’ WEF panel hears
  • Agility’s Henadi Al-Saleh highlights that innovation, investment help countries to capitalize on disruption in global trade

LONDON: Saudi Arabia is on track to emerge as a “super-connector hub,” leveraging ongoing global trade disruption to its advantage, according to experts speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos on Thursday.

Henadi Al-Saleh, chair of the board of directors at Agility, a global leader in supply chain services, highlighted the Gulf Cooperation Council’s significant investments in infrastructure as a driving force behind this transformation.

She said: “(In) the past few years, the level of activity, especially around cargo, has increased several fold.

“If I look at the GCC, where we have invested in warehouses, and at the Emirates in Saudi Arabia, one of our key platforms, (they are) set to become super-connector hubs.

“These countries are investing in infrastructure, doubling down, and the level of activity is increasing.”

Al-Saleh identified digitalization as a key value in this development, saying that “in a time with so much uncertainty, having that clarity and understanding, even when changes take place, it gives me visibility. (With the digital tools) I know what the rules (are) and (how) I need to adjust.”

She added: “That’s one critical aspect in which you see these super hubs benefiting.”

While the level of trade has continued to grow since the end of the pandemic, socioeconomic and political factors have continued to disrupt industry.

Experts have said that US President Donald Trump’s second term is expected to exacerbate the disruption, with the president supporting potential trade tariffs on multiple exporting nations.

Chile’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Alberto van Klaveren acknowledged the challenges but also pointed to opportunities arising from these shifts.

He said: “There are possibilities. Some economies are opening up. We signed the CEPA Agreement (Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement) with the Emirates. We are interested in Saudi Arabia.”

He explained that the importance of diversification was not only in export markets but also in the types of goods and services traded.

However, experts cautioned that ongoing trade disruption could significantly impact the global energy transition, particularly in the green energy sector.

Al-Saleh said: “There are certain segments of people, businesses and technologies (in the green energy market) that are paying a price.

“But this is where, I think, from the private sector, it’s incumbent upon them to continue. This is irrespective of what happens today in terms of tariffs. There is a long view, and we need to all manage towards that long view.”

According to World Trade Organization data, every nation relies on imports and exports for at least 25 percent of its goods. Given this interdependence, Al-Saleh argued, trade will remain indispensable despite ongoing disruption.

She said: “You need to focus on being agile and resilient. Those are critical elements, and the way to become agile and resilient is really to diversify and invest in technology.”