Oil Updates – prices build on previous week’s gains as supply risks rise

Oil Updates – prices build on previous week’s gains as supply risks rise
Brent crude oil futures for May delivery climbed 32 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $85.66 a barrel by 7:16 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 18 March 2024
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Oil Updates – prices build on previous week’s gains as supply risks rise

Oil Updates – prices build on previous week’s gains as supply risks rise

NEW DELHI: Oil prices ticked up in Asian trade on Monday, extending gains from last week when prices rose nearly 4 percent on the view that supply was tightening, with the risks heightened by further attacks on Russian energy infrastructure, according to Reuters.

Brent crude oil futures for May delivery climbed 32 cents, or 0.4 percent, to $85.66 a barrel by 7:16 a.m. Saudi time. The April contract for US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 40 cents, or 0.5 percent, at $81.44. The more active May delivery contract for WTI traded 37 cents, or 0.5 percent, higher at $80.95 per barrel.

“The strikes on Russian refineries added $2-$3 per barrel of risk premium to crude last week, which remains in place as we start this week with more attacks over the weekend,” said Vandana Hari, founder of oil market analysis provider Vanda Insights.

But for the next substantial move up or down, crude will await fresh signals, Hari added.

On Saturday, one of the strikes sparked a brief fire at the Slavyansk refinery in Kasnodar, which processes 8.5 million metric tonnes of crude oil a year, or 170,000 barrels per day.

A Reuters analysis found the attacks have idled around 7 percent of Russian refining capacity in the first quarter. The refining complexes process and export crude varieties to several markets including China and India.

In the Middle East, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu confirmed on Sunday he will proceed with plans to push into Gaza’s Rafah enclave where more than 1 million displaced people are sheltering, defying pressure from Israel’s allies. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said the step would make regional peace “very difficult.”

This week, investors are eyeing the outcome of the US Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting that ends on Wednesday. That will bring more clarity on the timing of interest rate cuts, Tony Sycamore, a market analyst with IG, wrote in a note.

The Fed will likely keep rates unchanged this month, while the possibility of interest rate cuts at the June meeting “is now a coin flip,” Sycamore said.

Lower interest rates would stimulate demand in the US, the world’s biggest oil consumer, supporting oil prices.

Both benchmark oil contracts posted gains last week despite a dip on Friday. Oil been rangebound for much of the last month, but on Thursday a bullish demand report from the International Energy Agency sent prices rising to their highest level since November.

The agency, which represents industrialized countries, had strengthened its demand outlook for the fourth time since November as Houthi attacks in the Red Sea drove crude and fuel carriers to divert, reducing the oil accessible to users. For the first time, IEA also predicted a slight supply deficit this year, instead of a surplus.

US fuel demand also supported prices as refineries completed some projects.

As of Friday’s close, Brent and WTI futures were up 11 percent and 13 percent, respectively, in 2024. 


Oil Updates – prices fall as demand concerns overshadow Libyan export halt

Oil Updates –  prices fall as demand concerns overshadow Libyan export halt
Updated 03 September 2024
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Oil Updates – prices fall as demand concerns overshadow Libyan export halt

Oil Updates –  prices fall as demand concerns overshadow Libyan export halt

SINGAPORE: Brent oil prices fell on Tuesday as sluggish economic growth in China, the world’s biggest crude importer, increased worries about demand that overshadowed the impact of the halt of production and exports from Libya.

Brent crude futures were down 17 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $77.35 a barrel by 9:20 a.m. Saudi time.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures, which did not settle on Monday because of the US Labour Day holiday, were up 50 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $74.05 a barrel.

“Oil remains under pressure given lingering Chinese demand concerns. Weaker-than-expected PMI data over the weekend would have done little to ease these worries,” said Warren Patterson of ING, adding that demand jitters are offsetting the Libyan supply disruptions.

China’s purchasing managers’ index hit a six-month low in August. On Monday, the country reported new export orders in July fell for first time in eight months, and new home prices grew in August at their weakest pace this year.

In Libya, oil exports at major ports were halted on Monday and production curtailed across the country, six engineers told Reuters, continuing a standoff between rival political factions over control of the central bank and oil revenue.

The country’s National Oil Corp. declared force majeure on its El Feel oil field from Sept. 2. Total production had plunged to little more than 591,000 barrels per day as of Aug. 28 from nearly 959,000 bpd on Aug. 26, NOC said. Production was at about 1.28 million bpd on July 20, the company said.

Still, some supply is set to return to the market as eight OPEC+ members are scheduled to boost output by 180,000 bpd in October. The plan is likely to go ahead regardless of demand worries, according to industry sources.

OPEC planners may decide that the expected upcoming cuts in US interest rates and the Libyan outage provides space for the addition of more oil, RBC Capital analyst Helima Croft said in a note.

“In our view, a prolonged Libyan outage could support Brent prices” around $85 a barrel, even with additional supply coming onto the market in the fourth quarter, she said.

A Reuters survey on Monday found OPEC’s oil output last month fell to its lowest level since January.

Continuing disruptions to supply flows from the Middle East are also supporting the market.

Two oil tankers were attacked on Monday in the Red Sea off Yemen but did not sustain major damage. The Iran-backed Houthis, who are attacking shipping in support of Hamas’ fight against Israel in Gaza, claimed responsibility. 


Saudi Arabia’s industrial sector sees $10bn investment in early 2024: Knight Frank

Saudi Arabia’s industrial sector sees $10bn investment in early 2024: Knight Frank
Updated 02 September 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s industrial sector sees $10bn investment in early 2024: Knight Frank

Saudi Arabia’s industrial sector sees $10bn investment in early 2024: Knight Frank

RIYADH: Factories in Saudi Arabia attracted a total capital of SR38.6 billion ($10.2 billion) in the initial months of this year, reflecting a notable increase in investment compared to 2023.

This funding milestone was achieved two months earlier than the previous year, according to Knight Frank’s annual report.

The report highlights that 410 new industrial licenses were issued and 505 factories commenced production during this period. This growth is also evident in the workforce, with 11,434 new jobs created at these facilities. Of the total investment, 83.7 percent originated from local sources, 8.3 percent from international sources, and 8 percent from joint ventures.

The non-oil sector grew by 3.8 percent in 2023, contributing SR2.5 trillion to the national GDP and now accounting for 63 percent of the country’s economic output. Investment in the industrial sector surged by 63 percent last year, reaching SR15 billion. This trend has continued into 2024, with private sector investment more than doubling in the first quarter to exceed SR7 billion.

By the end of 2023, cumulative investment in the industrial sector had reached SR415 billion, supporting 891 projects across the country and demonstrating strong local and international interest. Global investments in the sector saw an 85 percent increase, according to the report.

The Saudi Authority for Industrial Cities and Technology Zones has played a crucial role in this growth. The developed industrial land now spans over 209 million sq. meters, housing 6,443 factories and 7,946 industrial, logistical, and investment establishments.

Government initiatives

The Saudi Industrial Development Fund has been instrumental in advancing the industrial sector. Over the past 50 years, SIDF has provided loans exceeding SR180 billion to more than 4,000 projects, facilitating total investments of around SR700 billion.

SIDF's National Industrial Strategy aims to elevate export values to SR557 billion by 2030, positioning Saudi Arabia as a prominent global player in the sector. The strategy also targets the creation of 2.1 million new jobs by 2030, with annual growth in the logistics sector expected to reach SR97.5 billion.

The manufacturing sector's annual contribution to GDP is projected to be SR895 billion by 2030, with exports anticipated to hit SR892 billion by 2035. To support these goals, SIDF has introduced several key initiatives. The Tanafus program offers financial support and incentives to local manufacturers, while the Sanea initiative focuses on developing small and medium-sized enterprises within the industrial sector.

Additionally, the Green Finance initiative encourages sustainable industrial practices, and the digital transformation support program helps industries adopt advanced technologies and digital solutions.

Demand for warehouse solutions soars

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly accelerated the growth of e-commerce, driving a substantial increase in the demand for modern warehousing and logistics solutions. This surge has spurred the development of technologically advanced warehouse facilities across Saudi Arabia.

A prime example of this trend is the joint venture between Saudi Aramco and DHL Supply Chain, known as ASMO, which was established to address the rising need for sustainable and efficient supply chain services.

There has also been a notable rise in demand for storage facilities, last-mile logistics centers, and cloud kitchens, especially for smaller, centrally located warehouses.

The food delivery market in Saudi Arabia is booming, valued at $10 billion in 2023 and expected to reach $14.9 billion by 2028, outpacing competitors in the region.

Supply expansion

Over the past 12 months, several key developments have occurred in the supply of warehousing and logistics facilities. In Riyadh, the total stock of warehouse and logistics space has expanded to 28 million sq. meters, with the majority of new facilities located in the Industrial Gate City.

Jeddah has also experienced significant growth, increasing its total warehouse and logistics stock to 19.6 million square meters. Noteworthy projects in Jeddah include Maersk’s logistics park and Aramex’s facility at Jeddah Islamic Port, along with several plants developed by Logi Point in Zahid Business Park.

In contrast, the industrial stock in the Eastern Province has remained relatively static over the past year, with no major completions, resulting in a total stock of 7.96 million square meters. This stable supply has contributed to high occupancy rates, particularly in strategically located areas near key transport links and industrial zones.

Rising rents reflect growing demand

The increasing demand for warehouse and industrial facilities has led to a rapid rise in rental prices. In Riyadh, warehouse rents have surged by 10.5 percent to SR210 per sq. meter, while in Jeddah, rents have risen by 1.5 percent to SR208 per sq. meter.

These rental rates reflect the market average for light industrial units and Grade B warehouse and logistics facilities, with supply constraints for primary and Grade A spaces across Saudi Arabia. National occupancy levels have reached a record high of around 97 percent, highlighting the strong demand in the market.

In Riyadh, the demand for logistics and warehouse facilities is particularly intense, driven by ongoing transportation and infrastructure projects as well as landmark giga-projects such as Diriyah Gate, King Salman Park, New Murabba, and Qiddiya. These initiatives boost the need for construction and building materials and spur the development of new industrial and logistics hubs.

Challenges

Despite significant growth, Saudi Arabia is grappling with a shortage of high-quality warehouse spaces. This issue is exacerbated by the cautious investment behavior of local landowners, who are hesitant to undertake speculative development projects. This reluctance, largely due to a lack of experience in developing real estate that meets international standards, has resulted in a critical supply gap, particularly in Riyadh.

However, there is increasing interest from international developers eager to enter the Saudi market. These developers bring extensive expertise in constructing top-tier industrial and logistics infrastructure. Potential partnerships between international and local developers could help alleviate the supply shortage over time. Nevertheless, the construction and availability of new warehouse spaces are expected to take about two years, suggesting that the shortage will persist in the near term.

Outlook

Saudi Arabia’s strategic location at the crossroads of Asia, Africa, and Europe, coupled with its status as the largest market in the GCC and a key consumption center in the MENA region, makes it a vital commercial hub. Its position along the Arabian Gulf and the Red Sea, through which 13 percent of global trade flows, provides significant advantages, establishing the Kingdom as a natural gateway to international markets comprising over 6 billion people.


Saudi Arabia forms new business council to strengthen ties with Eastern Europe

Saudi Arabia forms new business council to strengthen ties with Eastern Europe
Updated 02 September 2024
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Saudi Arabia forms new business council to strengthen ties with Eastern Europe

Saudi Arabia forms new business council to strengthen ties with Eastern Europe
  • Federation of Saudi Chambers announced the formation of the council for its 2024-2028 session
  • Hashem Al-Zahrani has been appointed chairman, with Marwan Al-Mutlaq and Abdullah Al-Bassami as vice-chairmen

RIYADH: Economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Eastern Europe are set to strengthen with the launch of a regional business council aimed at unlocking promising investment opportunities. 

The Federation of Saudi Chambers announced the formation of the council for its 2024-2028 session, the Saudi Press Agency reported. 

Hashem Al-Zahrani has been appointed chairman, with Marwan Al-Mutlaq and Abdullah Al-Bassami as vice-chairmen. 

The move aligns with the Kingdom’s goal to offer promising investment opportunities and strengthen trade partnerships.  

Al-Zahrani said that the council will explore avenues for cooperation between the Kingdom and Eastern European countries in sectors aligned with Vision 2030, as well as those targeted in the economic cooperation agenda of these nations. 

The move has the potential to provide Saudi investors with promising opportunities across a range of economic sectors. 

Business councils, which include Saudi investors and their international counterparts under the Federation of Saudi Chambers, play a key role in enhancing the Kingdom’s global economic ties. 

Saudi Arabia and Poland recently established a joint business council for the 2024-2028 term to boost trade and investment between the two countries. 

The Kingdom’s General Authority for Foreign Trade finalized the formation of the Saudi-Polish Business Council, appointing Abdullah bin Mohammed Abu Dubeil as chairman and head of the executive committee.  

The move is part of Saudi Arabia’s broader strategy to strengthen economic ties with Europe, with a particular emphasis on Poland, one of the continent’s largest economies. 

In recent months, Saudi Arabia has been actively forming business councils with various countries, including Portugal, Uruguay, and Ethiopia, as well as Canada, Nigeria, Indonesia, and Malaysia. 

These initiatives are aimed at enhancing the Kingdom’s global economic connections and fostering investment opportunities across diverse sectors. 

The Federation of Saudi Chambers of Commerce and Industry, headquartered in Riyadh, is the official federation for the 28 Saudi Chambers.

Its primary goals are to advocate for the common interests of these chambers, represent them locally and internationally, and support the private sector’s role in advancing the national economy.


GE Vernova acquires Dussur’s shares in turbine producer GESAT

GE Vernova acquires Dussur’s shares in turbine producer GESAT
Updated 02 September 2024
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GE Vernova acquires Dussur’s shares in turbine producer GESAT

GE Vernova acquires Dussur’s shares in turbine producer GESAT

RIYADH: The Saudi Arabian Industrial Investment Co., has divested its 55 percent ownership stake in General Electric Saudi Advanced Turbines to US-based GE Vernova. 

GESAT was established in 2017 as a joint venture between the investment company - also known as Dussur – and GE Vernova. 

With the latest share divest, the US firm has become the sole owner of the turbine producer. 

According to a statement, the JV has manufactured over 200 gas turbine modules for power generation plants across 10 countries, including the Kingdom. 

The press release added that GESAT has also played a crucial role in meeting Saudi Arabia’s demand for gas turbines. 

“Dussur’s decision to sell its shares to GE Vernova follows achieving the investment and development objectives of this investment in GESAT, the company has been able to employ and train a number of young national talents; and transfer knowledge in the field of gas turbine technology,” said Raed Alrayes, CEO of Dussur. 

He added that the firm’s investment policy is to enter partnerships with companies and work with them until they achieve the required industrial capabilities. 

Established in 2016 by Saudi Aramco, the Kingdom’s Public Investment Fund, and Saudi Basic Industries Corp., Dussur works to develop the nation’s industrial sector as part of the government’s plan to create jobs and diversify the oil-dependent economy.

Joseph Anis, president and CEO of GE Vernova’s Gas Power business in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa said that the company will work with Saudi Arabia to achieve the Kingdom’s economic diversification goals. 

“We intend to continue supporting economic diversification, localization, high-value exports, and talent development efforts in the country to further the Kingdom’s goals under Saudi Vision 2030,” said Anis. 

He added: “We also remain committed to collaborating with various stakeholders to help accelerate Saudi Arabia’s transition to net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2060.”

The value of the deal was not disclosed by either company.


Revamped Saudi investment law to boost non-oil revenues, attract foreign investors

Revamped Saudi investment law to boost non-oil revenues, attract foreign investors
Updated 02 September 2024
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Revamped Saudi investment law to boost non-oil revenues, attract foreign investors

Revamped Saudi investment law to boost non-oil revenues, attract foreign investors
  • New legislation aims to enhance Kingdom’s business environment, ensuring equal treatment for domestic and foreign investors
  • Strategic overhaul is expected to drive economic diversification and create jobs

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s recent move to update its investment law is set to have a major impact on non-oil revenues and attract foreign investment by aligning with international best practices. 

Announced in August, the new legislation replaces the Foreign Investment Law of 2000 and aims to enhance the Kingdom’s business environment, ensuring equal treatment for domestic and foreign investors. 

At the launch of the new law, Saudi Investment Minister Khalid Al-Falih said the legislation “reaffirms Saudi Arabia’s commitment to creating a welcoming and secure environment for investors.” 

The strategic overhaul is expected to drive economic diversification and create jobs by fostering a competitive environment and supporting the growth of the private sector. 

Key objectives 

The updated law strategically positions Saudi Arabia as a global investment powerhouse. 

Mahmoud Khairy, an economist and policy adviser with previous experience at the Central Bank of Egypt, said the updated investment law “is expected to significantly enhance the Kingdom’s ability to attract high-quality foreign investments, especially in non-oil sectors.” 

“It’s a great milestone for the private sector in Saudi Arabia,” he told Arab News during an interview. 

This shift is expected to create a more level playing field and boost investor confidence, a change that Khairy said will “make it easier and faster for foreign investors to enter the Saudi market.” 

The law aims to boost investor confidence by safeguarding rights, simplifying regulatory procedures, and providing incentives aligned with international best practices. 

These efforts are expected to significantly increase non-oil revenues and job opportunities by attracting more foreign investment, thereby contributing to the Kingdom’s broader goals of economic diversification and reducing unemployment. 

Investor protections 

A key feature of the law is it guarantees protection against expropriation without fair compensation, ensuring that investors have the freedom to manage and dispose of their investments freely. 

Investors are also granted the ability to transfer funds in and out of the Kingdom without delay. Furthermore, the law prioritizes the protection of intellectual property and trade secrets in an effort to foster a secure investment environment. 

“The law emphasizes the protection of investor rights, including mechanisms for handling complaints and safeguarding intellectual property,” said Khairy. “This focus on governance and transparency is likely to reassure foreign investors about the security of their investments.” 

Streamlined procedures 

One of the law’s significant changes is the shift from a licensing requirement to a simplified registration process for foreign investors, reducing bureaucratic hurdles. 

The change “eliminates the need for foreign investment licenses, replacing them with a more straightforward registration process,” according to Khairy. 

This simplification is designed to make it easier and faster for foreign investors to enter the Saudi market, thereby promoting a more dynamic investment environment. 

The law introduced a comprehensive service center to assist investors in navigating government procedures efficiently. 

It also allows for the possibility of granting investment incentives based on specific criteria. 

Khairy said that “these incentives could include tax breaks, subsidies, or other financial benefits, making Saudi Arabia a more attractive destination for foreign investments.” 

International standards 

The new law aligns with global investment trends and practices, ensuring that Saudi Arabia remains competitive in the international market. 

It has incorporated feedback from various stakeholders, including government agencies, international organizations, and the private sector. 

By adopting these global standards, the law aims to improve the Kingdom’s rankings in key global indicators.

Khairy said that by adhering to guidelines from entities like the World Trade Organization and the Gulf Cooperation Council, “the law ensures compatibility with global norms. 

“This alignment enhances investor confidence by guaranteeing transparency, fair treatment, and robust protection of property and intellectual rights,” added the economist. 

Dispute resolution 

To further protect investors, the law provides multiple dispute resolution mechanisms, including arbitration, mediation, and recourse to competent courts. 

The flexibility in dispute resolution aims to reduce costs and duration, making the investment process more appealing and secure. 

“By creating a more attractive investment climate, the law supports the Kingdom’s goals of increasing non-oil revenues and fostering economic development in various sectors,” Khairy concluded.