Fitch expects IPO momentum in GCC to continue in 2024

Fitch expects IPO momentum in GCC to continue in 2024
Saudi Arabia led the IPOs in the GCC region in 2023, with 35 out of the 46 offerings. Shutterstock
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Updated 11 March 2024
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Fitch expects IPO momentum in GCC to continue in 2024

Fitch expects IPO momentum in GCC to continue in 2024

RIYADH: Government pledges for privatization will drive the momentum of initial public offerings in the Gulf Cooperation Council region in 2024, according to Fitch Ratings. 

In its latest report, the credit rating agency said that the sale of minority stakes by government-linked entities and the establishment of public subscription funds will also accelerate the number of IPOs in the region this year. 

The study further noted that credit profiles of Financial Market Infrastructure companies in GCC markets continue to be supported by capital market reforms, resilient IPOs and fixed-income listings in 2024. 

“Revenue mixes and product offerings of GCC FMIs remain less diverse and risk management frameworks less advanced than at those in more developed economies,” the report said. 

According to the information, GCC capital markets witnessed strong growth in 2023 through sustained economic development underpinned by stable oil prices and a boost in non-oil sectors despite a global fall in IPO divisions and bond issuances. 

The report added that Tadawul dominated the FMI sector in the region in terms of market capitalization, even when excluding the impact of the large IPO of Saudi Aramco in 2019. 

Fitch noted that the energy field, in particular oil and gas, dominates market capitalization across GCC markets, accounting for over half the total at the end of 2023. 

“Governments aim to attract investors through reforms, such as the establishment of IPO funds and the relaxation of foreign ownership restrictions, which is shown by the GCC’s increased share in emerging markets indices,” Fitch said.

In January, another study released by KAMCO Invest revealed that Saudi Arabia led the IPOs in the GCC region in 2023, with 35 out of the 46 offerings happening in the Kingdom. 

According to the report, Saudi Arabia’s parallel market Nomu witnessed 27 IPOs in 2023, while the Tadawul All Share Index saw 8 deals. 

KAMCO Invest further noted that the UAE continued its supremacy in terms of IPO proceeds in 2023, raking in almost 56.3 percent of the issuance proceeds at around $6.07 billion from its 8 listings. 

Regarding the prospects for 2024, KAMCO Invest said that issuance proceeds would be dominated by fewer larger issues this year, while several smaller IPOs should debut on the markets, such as the Nomu. 


Saudi Arabia’s net FDI rises by 37% over $4bn

Saudi Arabia’s net FDI rises by 37% over $4bn
Updated 27 sec ago
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Saudi Arabia’s net FDI rises by 37% over $4bn

Saudi Arabia’s net FDI rises by 37% over $4bn

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s net foreign direct investment saw a quarter-on-quarter rise of 37 percent in the three months to the end of September, according to the General Authority of Statistics.

Data released by the organization showed that the figure – which reflects the net investment gain for the Kingdom after accounting for both inbound and outbound activities – reached SR16 billion ($4.27 billion) over the period.

The surge was primarily attributed to a significant decline in FDI outflows, which dropped by 74.36 percent during this period to reach SR2 billion.

Meanwhile, FDI inflows, reflecting the investments received by Saudi Arabia, declined by 7.22 percent to SR18 billion.

The Kingdom has implemented significant regulatory reforms over the past two years to bolster foreign direct investment and foster economic diversification under Vision 2030.

The recent regulatory advancements underscore its commitment to positioning itself as an attractive destination for international investors.

These reforms, along with strategic investments in giga-projects like NEOM, align with Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 goals of attracting $100 billion in annual FDI and raising its contribution to gross domestic product to 5.7 percent by 2030.

The latest figures are calculated using a new methodology introduced by the Ministry of Investment in October.

The updated approach aligns with the International Monetary Fund’s sixth edition of the Balance of Payments Manual, providing enhanced transparency and accuracy in tracking cross-border transactions.

By focusing on innovation, enhancing global competitiveness, and modernizing its legal framework, the Kingdom continues to signal its openness for business and its readiness to engage with the international investment community.

Key regulatory changes include introducing a new investment regulation, amending the labor decree, and updating the laws governing companies and civil transactions.

Together, these initiatives are designed to reduce barriers to entry for foreign businesses, protect investor rights, and align legal frameworks with international standards.

The updated law replaces the foreign licensing system with a streamlined register managed by the Ministry of Investment.

It ensures equal treatment for Saudi and foriegn investors while enhancing protections against expropriation and safeguarding intellectual property rights. This simplification is expected to attract more FDI and boost stakeholder confidence.

According to a study by PwC in August, the amendments to the labor law align with global practices, offering improved benefits such as extended maternity and paternity leave, as well as bereavement leave.

Other updates address probation periods and dispute resolution mechanisms, reducing administrative burdens and fostering stronger employer-employee relationships.

In November, the Saudi Cabinet, chaired by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, approved key measures to boost FDI and enhance international economic engagement.

Among these was the approval of the national general framework and guiding principles for such funding, aimed at fostering stronger ties with global organizations.

FDI inflows reached SR96 billion in 2023, a 50 percent annual increase.

The Cabinet also endorsed agreements to strengthen regional and international cooperation, including a tax treaty with Qatar to avoid double taxation and an aviation and space exploration framework with the US.

Additionally, the Kingdom joined the Cement and Concrete Breakthrough Initiative, reinforcing its sustainability and climate goals.

Domestically, the Cabinet highlighted advancements in tourism, with Saudi Arabia climbing 15 places in global tourist revenue rankings since 2019, and commended progress in economic collaboration with India in areas like technology, infrastructure, and sustainable transportation.

The session also reaffirmed the nation’s commitment to regional peace, global health initiatives, and economic diversification.


Oil Updates — crude inches higher in thin trade, investors focus on China, US data 

Oil Updates — crude inches higher in thin trade, investors focus on China, US data 
Updated 30 December 2024
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Oil Updates — crude inches higher in thin trade, investors focus on China, US data 

Oil Updates — crude inches higher in thin trade, investors focus on China, US data 

SINGAPORE: Oil prices edged up on Monday in thin holiday trade ahead of the year-end as traders awaited more Chinese and US economic data later this week to assess growth in the world’s two largest oil consumers, according to Reuters. 

Brent crude futures rose 5 cents to $74.22 a barrel by 07:30 a.m. Saudi time while the more active March contract was at $73.82 a barrel, up 3 cents. 

US West Texas Intermediate crude gained 3 cents to $70.63 a barrel. 

Both contracts rose about 1.4 percent last week buoyed by a larger-than-expected drawdown from US crude inventories in the week ended Dec. 20 as refiners ramped up activity and the holiday season boosted fuel demand.  

Oil prices were also supported by optimism for Chinese economic growth next year that could lift demand from the top crude oil importing nation. 

To revive growth, Chinese authorities have agreed to issue a record 3 trillion yuan ($411 billion) in special treasury bonds in 2025, Reuters reported last week. 

“Global oil consumption reached an all-time high in 2024 despite China underperforming expectations, and oil stockpiles are heading into next year at relatively low levels,” said Ryan Fitzmaurice, senior commodity strategist at Marex. 

“Going forward, China economic data is expected to improve as the recent stimulus measures take hold in 2025. Also, lower rates in the US and elsewhere should be supportive of oil consumption.” 

China has also issued at least 152.49 million metric tonnes of crude oil import quotas to independent refiners in a second batch for 2025 so far, trade sources said on Monday. 

Separately, the World Bank has raised its forecast for China’s economic growth in 2024 and 2025, but warned that subdued household and business confidence, along with headwinds in the property sector, would remain a drag next year. 

Investors are eyeing China’s PMI factory surveys due on Tuesday and the US ISM survey for December to be released on Friday. 

In Europe, hopes for a new deal to transit Russian gas through Ukraine are fading after Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Thursday that there was no time left this year to sign a new deal. 

The loss of piped Russian gas should see Europe import more liquefied natural gas, analysts said. 


Saudi Arabia’s NIDLP surpasses half of Vision 2030 targets shead of schedule

Saudi Arabia’s NIDLP surpasses half of Vision 2030 targets shead of schedule
Updated 29 December 2024
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Saudi Arabia’s NIDLP surpasses half of Vision 2030 targets shead of schedule

Saudi Arabia’s NIDLP surpasses half of Vision 2030 targets shead of schedule

RIYADH:Saudi Arabia’s National Industrial Development and Logistics Program has already achieved more than half of its targets well in advance of the Vision 2030 deadline, according to Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman.

Speaking at the NIDLP Annual Ceremony 2024, the minister said that 13 out of the program’s 23 targets have been successfully met, with the remaining goals on track for completion.

Prince Abdulaziz attributed the program’s success to a robust action plan and effective collaboration between the Ministry of Energy and NIDLP.

“The mechanisms adopted by NIDLP are closely aligned with those of the Ministry of Energy, allowing for strong, collaborative outcomes,” he explained.

The minister also underscored that the program's achievements extend beyond the energy sector, positively impacting multiple other sectors involved in the initiative.

He highlighted the critical role played by human talent within NIDLP and the energy system, which has been essential in supporting energy security, enhancing supply chain resilience, and driving sustainability.

These efforts are key to realizing Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, which aims to position the Kingdom as a global leader in industrial development and logistics.

During his speech, Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef, who also chairs the NIDLP Program Committee, shared further program highlights.

He noted that the sectors targeted by the initiative contributed SR433 billion ($115.3 billion) to the Kingdom’s gross domestic product by the third quarter of 2024, reflecting a 2.4 percent growth compared to the previous year.

Exports from these sectors also saw a significant increase, rising by 11.1 percent from third quarter of 2023 to the same period in 2024.

Alkhorayef also highlighted the program’s impact on employment, revealing that total employment across its sectors reached 2.1 million by the third quarter of 2024. Of these, 660,000 were Saudi nationals, with women accounting for approximately 200,000 of the workforce.


Saudi industry and mineral resources ministry launches new mining innovation program

Saudi industry and mineral resources ministry launches new mining innovation program
Updated 29 December 2024
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Saudi industry and mineral resources ministry launches new mining innovation program

Saudi industry and mineral resources ministry launches new mining innovation program
  • Initiative will support digital transformation in the industrial and mining sectors

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia has said it will launch a new initiative dedicated to fostering innovation in the mining and industrial sectors, according to official statements.

The Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources announced the Innovative Industrial and Mining Products Program, which is described as a significant undertaking to enhance developments and support the digital transformation of these sectors, it said on its official X account. 

The authority added that the program represents “a key step toward fostering innovation in the industrial and mining sectors” and reflects its commitment to “developing innovative solutions that support the Kingdom’s industrial transformation and stimulate the growth and sustainability of the mining sector.” 

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef said the program seeks to “provide an integrated environment that enables innovators to transform their ideas into executable and competitive products locally and internationally.” 

He added that the initiative will boost innovation, which is a key pillar of economic growth, and support digital transformation in the industrial and mining sectors, according to a tweet by the minister. 

In August, the ministry said that the petrochemical sector received a boost after a digital platform delivered over 100,000 tonnes of raw materials to local factories. 

Launched in mid-2023, the platform was designed to tackle challenges related to the surplus of locally available raw materials and to address competitiveness issues stemming from price disparities. 

The ministry continues to implement initiatives aligned with Saudi Vision 2030, with a focus on strengthening the Kingdom’s industrial base and enhancing its global competitiveness.

In September, it launched a new program aimed at facilitating investment and acquisitions within the industrial sector. This initiative is designed to create diverse investment opportunities tailored to the specific goals of investors, while also supporting industrial companies in expanding production and addressing operational challenges, as reported by the Saudi Press Agency.

This program is part of the ministry’s broader strategy to boost industrial investment and foster a more attractive investment environment. It offers three key benefits: promoting acquisitions within the industrial sector, providing liquidity to industrial companies, and presenting suitable investment opportunities for potential investors.

These efforts are intended to enhance production capacity and strengthen the competitive edge of industrial enterprises in the Kingdom.


Giga-projects fueling real estate boom in Saudi Arabia

Giga-projects fueling real estate boom in Saudi Arabia
Updated 29 December 2024
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Giga-projects fueling real estate boom in Saudi Arabia

Giga-projects fueling real estate boom in Saudi Arabia

RIYADH: Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector underwent a major transformation in 2024, driven by the goals of Vision 2030. The market saw significant changes, fueled by unprecedented investments and key policy reforms. As a result, the Kingdom has positioned itself as a global leader in innovation, sustainability, and economic diversification within the real estate industry.

Vision 2030

Since its launch in 2016, Vision 2030 has served as Saudi Arabia’s roadmap for economic diversification, with real estate playing a central role. By 2024, the Kingdom had invested SR4.9 trillion ($1.3 trillion) in infrastructure, significantly boosting residential, commercial, and hospitality capacities. Notable projects aim to introduce over a million residential units, as well as expand retail and office spaces by 7 million sq. meters each.

“Saudi Arabia’s policy reforms and investment under Vision 2030 have transformed the Kingdom’s real estate landscape, making it one of the most dynamic markets in the region,” said Tarek Lotfy, president of Mercer in India, Middle East, and Africa, in an interview with Arab News.

He emphasized that these reforms have accelerated the sector by aligning with broader initiatives to increase homeownership, improve livability, and attract foreign investments. This has been achieved through eased ownership regulations and the creation of Special Economic Zones.

FASTFACTS

By 2024, the Kingdom had invested SR4.9 trillion ($1.3 trillion) in infrastructure, significantly boosting residential, commercial, and hospitality capacities.

A 38 percent increase in real estate transactions during the first half of 2024, valued at SR127.3 billion, highlights the sector’s dynamic growth.

Cities like Riyadh and Jeddah have seen rising property prices, with Riyadh expected to reach a population of 10 million by 2030.

According to Sally Menassa, partner at Arthur D. Little Middle East, these reforms have included “easing foreign ownership restrictions, enhancing transparency in real estate transactions, introducing incentives for green building practices, and establishing a national framework for smart city development.”

The establishment of a real estate transaction registry has been a particularly significant step in boosting market confidence, as it reduces the risks of fraud and increases investor trust.

Menassa further highlighted the role of mega-projects in fostering investor confidence: “The involvement of the PIF in major development projects such as the Diriyah Gate Development reassures investors of the Kingdom’s commitment to high-quality, sustainable development and the stability of such developments.”

Lotfy added that alongside these advancements, the rapid pace of development has also created challenges, including increasing competition for skilled labor in construction and smart city infrastructure.

Recruitment and retention will be key themes in 2025, as companies will need to focus on developing long-term talent strategies, investing in training, and fostering a culture that attracts and retains top-tier talent, according to Lotfy.

Catalysts for transformation

Saudi Arabia’s giga-projects, led by the Public Investment Fund, underscore the Kingdom’s commitment to large-scale innovation and ambitious transformation. High-profile projects like NEOM, Qiddiya, and the Red Sea Global are set to redefine urban living, culture, and tourism.

NEOM alone spans 28,000 sq. km and is envisioned as a smart city powered by renewable energy and cutting-edge technology. Menassa emphasized the uniqueness of NEOM, pointing to initiatives like Oxagon, a floating industrial complex designed for sustainability and advanced technologies. “This is expected to attract high-tech industries and global talent, driving demand for residential and commercial properties,” she said.

Meanwhile, Qiddiya is being developed as a world-class entertainment hub, featuring theme parks, cultural centers, and sports complexes. Menassa added that Qiddiya’s growth as a major cultural and entertainment destination would further boost tourism and the hospitality sector, creating demand for mixed-use assets that combine retail, leisure, and residential components.

The Red Sea Project is another transformative initiative focused on sustainable tourism. According to Menassa: “Focusing on eco-friendly concepts and incorporating sustainable practices in its development, starting from construction, it (The Red Sea Project) will set new standards for regenerative and sustainable tourism and real estate development.”

Residential market

Saudi Arabia’s residential sector saw substantial growth in 2024, driven by government-backed initiatives and strong demand. Programs like Sakani and the National Housing Program have been essential in advancing the Vision 2030 goal of achieving 70 percent homeownership.

Menassa underscored the significance of these efforts: “The addition of over a million homes as part of Saudi Arabia’s residential expansion efforts, aligning with the goal of achieving a 70 percent homeownership rate under Vision 2030, is expected to significantly impact homeownership rates and affordability, creating a big socio-economic shift in the nation.”

A 38 percent increase in real estate transactions during the first half of 2024, valued at SR127.3 billion, highlights the sector’s dynamic growth. Cities like Riyadh and Jeddah have seen rising property prices, with Riyadh expected to reach a population of 10 million by 2030.

Hospitality and tourism

Tourism, a cornerstone of Vision 2030, has already surpassed expectations. The Kingdom achieved its target of 100 million visitors in 2023 and now aims to attract 150 million tourists annually by 2030.

“The 2034 FIFA World Cup will play an instrumental role in shaping the future of the short-term rental market in Saudi Arabia over the next 10 years,” said Anna Skigin, CEO of Frank Porter, in an interview with Arab News. “We will see a significant increase in the number of properties being developed as savvy investors look to capitalize on the announcement. We will also see more people buying properties and converting these into short-term rentals,” she added.

Short-term rentals are reshaping the tourism landscape, creating new opportunities for various types of travelers. Skigin noted: “There is the opportunity for larger groups to travel — potentially multi-generational family travel and other large groups of family and friends.”

She further explained, “Short-term rentals can cater to a variety of different budgets while offering more space than hotel rooms. These rentals also provide more privacy for travelers.”

Menassa also highlighted the Kingdom’s focus on luxury resorts, boutique hotels, and eco-friendly accommodations as part of its broader tourism strategy. Developments like Jeddah Al-Balad, Diriyah, and Qiddiya are generating demand for integrated, mixed-use assets, boosting both tourism infrastructure and the overall quality of life, she explained.

Proptech boom

Saudi Arabia’s digital transformation has positioned proptech as a key component in the evolution of its real estate sector. Innovations such as digital mortgages, AI-driven property recommendations, and virtual tours are revolutionizing the home-buying experience.

“Digital mortgages will allow streamlined processes, expediting the buying process by automating many of the steps involved, enhancing accessibility, and increasing transparency. Buyers can now compare rates, get pre-approved for loans from their homes, and explore homeownership opportunities with greater ease,” said Menassa.

She also highlighted the integration of smart city infrastructure like NEOM’s, which incorporates advanced technologies to enhance urban living.

“This also extends to urban planning and management, including advanced surveillance systems, smart street lighting, emergency response, traffic forecasting, and energy consumption management,” Menassa added.

Outlook

Despite its rapid growth, the Saudi real estate sector faces challenges such as economic volatility and rising project costs. Lotfy warned that as the Kingdom moves towards smart cities and sustainable development, the demand for advanced technical skills will increase.

However, the opportunities outweigh these challenges. Skigin concluded: “The Kingdom has been significantly pushing tourism for both international and domestic tourists,” and these efforts will continue to shape the future of Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector in the coming years.