BEIJING: Oil seesawed between modest falls and gains on Wednesday as traders weighed the impact on prices stemming from escalating geopolitical tensions, concerns over tepid demand and a stronger dollar, according to Reuters.
The front-month March contract for Brent crude rose 4 cents to $79.59 a barrel at 10:12 a.m. Saudi time. US West Texas Intermediate crude also ticked up 4 cents to $74.41 a barrel.
US crude stocks fell by 6.67 million barrels in the week ended Jan. 19, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday. Gasoline inventories, however, increased by 7.2 million barrels, stoking concerns over fuel demand in the world’s top oil consumer.
The Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the US Department of Energy, will release the data later on Wednesday.
A stronger US dollar also weighed on oil prices as demand from buyers in other currencies ebbs as they have to pay more for dollar-denominated oil.
The dollar index hovered near a six-week high against major peers on Wednesday as investors cemented expectations that the Federal Reserve would be in no rush to cut interest rates in the face of a resilient US economy.
“Without current geopolitical tensions, we believe crude would sell off meaningfully. Over time, we expect supply risk premiums to decouple from conflict risk, analogous to Russia-Ukraine,” said Vikas Dwivedi, global energy strategist at Macquarie, in a note.
“Barring escalation in the Middle East, we expect crude price to stay in the current range for 1Q24. We do not anticipate supply loss,” said Dwivedi.
A coalition of 24 nations led by the US and UK conducted new strikes against Houthi fighters in Yemen on Tuesday. The strikes were aimed at stopping the Houthis’ attacks on global trade, Britain said in a joint statement.
The US said Iran-backed Houthis have mounted 26 attacks since late November on commercial shipping in the Red Sea, a shipping lane used by about 12 percent of global oil trade before the attacks.
The US also carried out strikes against Iran-linked militia in Iraq on Tuesday, following an attack on an Iraqi air base that wounded US forces.
On the supply side, Libya’s 300,000 bpd Sharara oilfield restarted on Jan. 21 after a protest-related pause since early January.
Elsewhere, the US’s third-largest oil-producing state of North Dakota brought some oil output back online after weather-related disruption, the state’s pipeline authority said. But output was still down as much as 300,000 barrels per day.
In mid-January, output had weakened by as much as 425,000 bpd on extreme cold.
