Gold price holds near four-month highs despite stronger dollar

LONDON: Gold prices held near four-month highs on Wednesday even as a stronger dollar made bullion more expensive for holders of other currencies. 
The price of gold has risen by 8 percent since mid-December, helped by a weakening of the dollar to a three-year low against a basket of major currencies. 
But the euro gave up its three-year high against the dollar on Wednesday after comments by European Central Bank officials suggested they may be concerned by the strength of the European single currency. 
“The euro is down a bit against the dollar today, which has led to gold coming off its highs,” said Mitsubishi analyst Jonathan Butler. Spot gold was down 0.2 percent at $1,335.51 an ounce at 1302 GMT, close to Monday’s peak of $1,344.44, its highest since Sept. 8. 
US gold futures were down 0.1 percent at $1,335.70. Butler said gold is likely to remain within a range of $1,300-$1,340 in the short term. But prices could move higher if Republicans and Democrats in the United States fail to pass a spending bill by Friday to avoid a possible government shutdown, he said. A collapse in the value of cryptocurrency bitcoin could also drive demand. “Investors who saw bitcoin as an alternative to gold could change their minds now and buy more gold again,” Commerzbank analysts said.
In the longer term, gold will be supported by risk that global share prices could fall from record highs and strong growth around the world could stoke inflation. “Concerns regarding (share price) overvaluations and the possibility of rising inflation have reignited interest in gold,” Standard Chartered analysts said, raising their forecast for the average gold price this year to $1,324 from $1,285. 
Funds’ bets on higher gold prices have surged, with their net long positions rising to almost 200,000 contracts from fewer than 80,000 in mid-December. 
“The past three weeks have seen the fastest rise in speculative positioning in gold on record,” the Standard Chartered analysts said in a note. But they added that the net long was still only 36 percent of total open positions and could rise further, which would help to drive prices higher. On the technical side, resistance was at $1,350 with fibonacci support at $1,311.40 and momentum indicators suggesting gold is likely to rise, ScotiaMocatta analysts said. In other precious metals, silver was flat at $17.20 an ounce while platinum rose 0.5 percent to $1,003.60 after touching its highest since Sept. 8 at $1,006.60. Palladium was up 0.9 percent at $1,103.97, close to a $1,138 record high hit on Monday.