Gold prices range-bound as investors focus on US tax reform

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Gold prices held within a tight range in Asian trade on Tuesday, amid a steady dollar as investors awaited the next steps over US tax reform legislation.
Spot gold edged 0.1 percent lower to $1,275.06 an ounce, as of 0814 GMT, holding between $1.277.01 and $1,273.96 so far this session. US gold futures were steady at $1,277.80

The dollar was little changed, after climbing to 2-1/2-week high against the yen on Monday , after the US Senate approved a major tax reform bill, moving Republicans and US President Donald Trump closer to their goal of slashing taxes for businesses.

“Gold is expected to trade in a narrow range between $1,260- $1,290 per ounce — with near term movements more toward the lower end of the range. The passage of the US tax bill would likely boost equities and be detrimental to gold,” said John Sharma, an economist with National Australia Bank.

However, an ongoing investigation into contacts between Trump’s election campaign and Russia, after Michael Flynn, former national security adviser to the President, pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI, sparked concerns among lawmakers and weighed on market sentiment.

“Currently, gold is still supported by ongoing geopolitical tensions and controversies surrounding Michael Flynn,” Sharma said.
Investors are also looking ahead to the upcoming US non-farm payrolls report later this week, which will be the last employment report before the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting next week.

“The latter will likely result in a rate rise and a modest downward pressure on gold, since the rate rise decision is largely priced in by markets,” Sharma said.

The Fed is almost certain to raise interest rates later this month, according to a Reuters poll of economists, a majority of whom now expect three more rate rises next year compared with two when surveyed just weeks ago.

Higher interest rates tend to boost the dollar and push bond yields up, making greenback denominated, non-yielding gold more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Spot gold looks neutral in a narrow range of $1,272-$1,277 per ounce, Reuters technicals analyst Wang Tao said. In 2018, gold will be pressured by several factors, including the likelihood of a modest recovery in the dollar, improvement in the US economy and tightening of monetary policy by the largest central banks, ABN Amro said in a note.
“We no longer expect gold prices to rally in 2018,” the bank said, and forecast gold to average $1,375 an ounce next year. Meanwhile, silver was little changed at $16.32 an ounce

Platinum ticked up 0.1 percent to $924.80, and palladium was up 0.7 percent at $998.50.