Why the Gulf must evolve or risk becoming obsolete

Why the Gulf must evolve or risk becoming obsolete

Why the Gulf must evolve or risk becoming obsolete
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Saudi Arabia’s Seha Virtual Hospital is more than just a breakthrough in medical innovation. As patients receive artificial intelligence-powered diagnoses from home — leapfrogging half a century of infrastructure development in a single technological stride — we are witnessing more than just a healthcare revolution. This is a nation actively shaping its post-petroleum future.

This leapfrogging strategy mirrors the breakthroughs unfolding in a cutting-edge Parisian lab, where GenBio scientists are not just discovering new drugs — they are rendering the pharmaceutical industry’s plodding timeline obsolete. Their AI organism, AIDO, simulates millions of molecular interactions, transforming decades of research into mere days.

GenBio’s genius, however, lies in its geographic arbitrage: European scientific rigor, Silicon Valley’s capital engine, and Abu Dhabi’s ambition form an innovation triangle that the Gulf states would be foolish to ignore.

The Gulf is at a crossroads familiar to anyone who has ever faced obsolescence. The vast oil wealth — the economic miracle that transformed desert kingdoms into global financial powers — now carries an expiration date. The carbon economy is terminal, even if the patient can still sit up in bed. Its leaders understand this with a clarity that eludes many in the West: adapt or die.

The UAE has launched Falcon 2, its home-grown generative AI model. Not content with importing foreign technology, Abu Dhabi is building its own. Why? Because buying innovation keeps you permanently second-rate. It is the difference between owning the means of production and merely consuming what others create.

History judges harshly those who miss technological inflection points. The Ottoman Empire, once the world’s superpower, failed to embrace the printing press for political and religious reasons. Within centuries, it was dismembered by European countries that used the technology to accelerate learning and innovation.

Today’s printing press is AI, and those who master it will write tomorrow’s rules.

The Gulf’s advantages are substantial: centralized decision-making that cuts through bureaucratic dithering, sovereign wealth that can fund ambitious projects, and, most crucially, freedom from legacy systems.

When Kenya introduced M-Pesa mobile payments, it vaulted past the Western banking model because it had no established infrastructure to protect. Similarly, the Gulf can implement AI-native systems without fighting entrenched interests.

But ambition alone is insufficient. A 2024 Boston Consulting Group study found the Gulf’s digital maturity below global averages despite showcase projects and splashy conferences. The region suffers from a crippling talent shortage, fragmented data infrastructure, and an innovation ecosystem that remains more aspirational than actual. Too many initiatives remain gleaming facades without functioning interiors.

What would real transformation look like?

First, a talent revolution. Like GenBio, which draws researchers from several continents, the Gulf needs diverse intellectual capital. China’s AI surge came when thousands of engineers educated at Stanford and MIT returned home. The Gulf needs to create similar knowledge pipelines — not just importing foreign experts but developing sovereign technical capability. Without this, every vision statement is merely an expensive wish list.

The Gulf must leverage its “no legacy” advantage. New hospitals, government services, and urban developments should be AI-native, not retrofitted.

Adrian Monck

Second, the Gulf must leverage its “no legacy” advantage. New hospitals, government services, and urban developments should be AI-native, not retrofitted. When Estonia gained independence in 1991, it rejected Finland’s free analogue telephone system, opting instead for a digital-first future. Such bold choices separate visionaries from managers.

Third, rather than diffusing efforts across every AI domain, the Gulf should target strategic niches where its unique position offers advantages. Saudi Arabia could dominate in AI for energy optimization and climate adaptation — areas where its experience and challenges provide unparalleled datasets.

The UAE might focus on supply chain optimization and Arabic language AI, addressing market gaps ignored by Western developers.

The fundamental question is whether Gulf leadership possesses the intellectual courage to build truly new systems rather than shiny versions of Western ones. GenBio succeeded because it did not replicate existing pharmaceutical models — it reimagined them entirely.

The Gulf must do the same with its economies and institutions.

Singapore’s Smart Nation initiative works because it integrates technologies into an overarching vision rather than treating them as separate showpieces. Every sensor, algorithm, and database serves a coordinated purpose. This systemic thinking remains rare in the Gulf, where too many projects exist in isolation.

When Kenya revolutionized mobile banking, it was not because the government announced grand plans — it was because regulators allowed an ecosystem to emerge, stepping back as telecom companies, banks, and startups collaborated to solve real problems. The Gulf’s top-down approach to innovation often substitutes announcement for achievement.

Time is not the Gulf’s ally. The window for technological leapfrogging closes rapidly as AI infrastructure solidifies globally. Two futures await: one where Saudi Arabia and the UAE become dynamic centers of innovation, exporting solutions rather than just importing them; another where they remain wealthy consumers of technology developed elsewhere, perpetually one step behind.

The latter is not merely suboptimal — it is fatal in a post-oil world. The achievements in Riyadh and Abu Dhabi today are no mere modernization projects; they are early indicators of whether these nations can reinvent themselves. The question is not whether they can transform — it is whether they are bold enough to create rather than copy, to lead rather than follow.

The answer may determine whether the Gulf’s moment in history extends beyond the age of oil.​​​​​​​​​

Adrian Monck is a senior adviser at the Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence and authors the geopolitics newsletter, Seven Things.

 

Disclaimer: Views expressed by writers in this section are their own and do not necessarily reflect Arab News' point of view

Sudden, heavy rain in Indian-administered Kashmir leaves 34 dead, over 200 missing

Sudden, heavy rain in Indian-administered Kashmir leaves 34 dead, over 200 missing
Updated 10 min 46 sec ago
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Sudden, heavy rain in Indian-administered Kashmir leaves 34 dead, over 200 missing

Sudden, heavy rain in Indian-administered Kashmir leaves 34 dead, over 200 missing
  • Disaster follows recent flood and mudslide in Uttarakhand
  • Community kitchens for pilgrims washed away by flood waters

SRINAGAR, India: At least 34 people died and more than 200 were missing following sudden, heavy rain in Indian-administered Kashmir, officials said on Thursday, the second such disaster in the Himalayas in a little over a week.

The incident occurred in Chasoti town of Kishtwar district, a stopover point on a popular pilgrimage route. It comes a little over a week after a heavy flood and mudslide engulfed an entire village in the Himalayan state of Uttarakhand.

The flood washed away a community kitchen and a security post set up in the village, a pit stop along the pilgrimage route to the Machail Mata temple, one of the officials, who declined to be named because he was not authorized to speak to the media about the incident.

“A large number of pilgrims had gathered for lunch and they were washed away,” the official said.

The Machail yatra is a popular pilgrimage to the high altitude Himalayan shrine of Machail Mata, one of the manifestations of Goddess Durga, and pilgrims trek to the temple from Chasoti, where the road for vehicles ends.

“The news is grim and accurate, verified information from the area hit by the cloudburst is slow in arriving,” Omar Abdullah, the chief minister of India’s federal territory of Jammu and Kashmir, said in a post on X.

Television footage showed pilgrims crying in fear as water flooded the village.

The disaster occurred at 11.30 am local time, Ramesh Kumar, the divisional commissioner of Kishtwar district, told news agency ANI, adding that local police and disaster response officials had reached the scene.

“Army, air force teams have also been activated. Search and rescue operations are underway,” Kumar said.

A cloudburst, according to the Indian Meteorological Department, is a sudden, intense downpour of over 100 mm (4 inches) of rain in just one hour that can trigger sudden floods, landslides, and devastation, especially in mountainous regions during the monsoon.

The local weather office in Srinagar predicted intense showers for several regions in Kashmir on Thursday, including Kishtwar, asking residents to stay away from loose structures, electric poles and old trees as there was a possibility of mudslides and flash floods. 


Malnourished children arrive daily at Gaza hospital as Netanyahu denies hunger

Malnourished children arrive daily at Gaza hospital as Netanyahu denies hunger
Updated 15 min 32 sec ago
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Malnourished children arrive daily at Gaza hospital as Netanyahu denies hunger

Malnourished children arrive daily at Gaza hospital as Netanyahu denies hunger
KHAN YOUNIS, Gaza Strip: The dead body of 2 1/2-year-old Ro’a Mashi lay on the table in Gaza’s Nasser Hospital, her arms and rib cage skeletal, her eyes sunken in her skull. Doctors say she had no preexisting conditions and wasted away over months as her family struggled to find food and treatment.
Her family showed The Associated Press a photo of Ro’a’s body at the hospital, and it was confirmed by the doctor who received her remains. Several days after she died, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Sunday told local media, “There is no hunger. There was no hunger. There was a shortage, and there was certainly no policy of starvation.”
In the face of international outcry, Netanyahu has pushed back, saying reports of starvation are “lies” promoted by Hamas.
However, UN spokesman Stephane Dujarric this week warned that starvation and malnutrition in Gaza are at the highest levels since the war began.
The UN says nearly 12,000 children under 5 were found to have acute malnutrition in July — including more than 2,500 with severe malnutrition, the most dangerous level. The World Health Organization says the numbers are likely an undercount.
The past two weeks, Israel has allowed around triple the amount of food into Gaza than had been entering since late May. That followed 2 1/2 months when Israel barred all food, medicine and other supplies, saying it was to pressure Hamas to release hostages taken during its 2023 attack that launched the war. The new influx has brought more food within reach for some of the population and lowered some prices in marketplaces, though it remains far more expensive than prewar levels and unaffordable for many.
While better food access might help much of Gaza’s population, “it won’t help the children who are severely malnourished,” said Alex DeWaal, executive director of the World Peace Foundation at Tufts University, who has worked on famine and humanitarian issues for more than 40 years.
When a person is severely malnourished, vital micronutrients are depleted and bodily functions deteriorate. Simply feeding the person can cause harm, known as “refeeding syndrome,” potentially leading to seizures, coma or death. Instead, micronutrients must first be replenished with supplements and therapeutic milk in a hospital.
“We’re talking about thousands of kids who need to be in hospital if they’re going to have a chance of survival,” DeWaal said. “If this approach of increasing the food supply had been undertaken two months ago, probably many of those kids would not have gotten into this situation.”
Any improvement is also threatened by a planned new Israeli offensive that Netanyahu says will capture Gaza City and the tent camps where most of the territory’s population is located. That will prompt a huge new wave of displacement and disrupt food delivery, UN and aid officials warn.
Preexisting conditions
The Gaza Health Ministry says 42 children died of malnutrition-related causes since July 1, along with 129 adults. It says 106 children have died of malnutrition during the entire war. The ministry, part of the Hamas-run government, is staffed by medical professionals and its figures on casualties are seen by the UN and other experts as the most reliable.
The Israeli military Tuesday pointed to the fact that some children who died had preexisting conditions, arguing their deaths were “unrelated to their nutritional status.” It said a review by its experts had concluded there are “no signs of a widespread malnutrition phenomenon” in Gaza.
At his press briefing Sunday, Netanyahu spoke in front of a screen reading “Fake Starving Children” over photos of skeletal children with preexisting conditions. He accused Hamas of starving the remaining Israeli hostages and repeated claims the militant group is diverting large amounts of aid, a claim the UN denies.
Doctors in Gaza acknowledge that some of those dying or starving have chronic conditions, including cerebral palsy, rickets or genetic disorders, some of which make children more vulnerable to malnutrition. However, those conditions are manageable when food and proper medical treatments are available, they say.
“The worsening shortages of food led to these cases’ swift deterioration,” said Dr. Yasser Abu Ghali, head of Nasser’s pediatrics unit. “Malnutrition was the main factor in their deaths.”
Of 13 emaciated children whose cases the AP has seen since late July, five had no preexisting conditions — including three who died — according to doctors.
Abu Ghali spoke next to the body of Jamal Al-Najjar, a 5-year-old who died Tuesday of malnutrition and was born with rickets, which hinders the ability to metabolize vitamins, weakening bones.
In the past months, the boy’s weight fell from 16 kilograms to 7 (35 pounds to 15), said his father, Fadi Al-Najjar, whose lean face showed his own hunger.
Asked about Netanyahu’s claim there was no hunger in Gaza, he pointed at Jamal’s protruding rib cage. “Of course there’s famine,” he said. “Does a 5-year-old child’s chest normally come to look like this?”
Skin and bones
Dr. Ahmed Al-Farra, Nasser’s general director of pediatrics, said the facility receives 10-20 children with severe malnutrition a day, and the numbers are rising.
On Sunday, a severely malnourished 2-year-old, Shamm Qudeih, cried in pain in her hospital bed. Her arms, legs and ribs were skeletal, her belly inflated.
“She has lost all fat and muscle,” Al-Farra said. She weighed 4 kilograms (9 pounds), a third of a 2-year-old’s normal weight.
Doctors suspect Shamm suffers from a rare genetic condition called glycogen storage disease, which changes how the body uses and stores glycogen, a form of sugar, and can impact muscle and bone development. But they can’t test for it in Gaza, Al-Farra said.
Normally, the condition can be managed through a high-carbohydrate diet.
Her family applied a year ago for medical evacuation, joining a list of thousands the WHO says need urgent treatment abroad. For months, Israel slowed evacuations to a near standstill or halted them for long stretches. But it appears to be stepping up permissions, with more than 60 allowed to leave in the first week of August, according to the UN
Permission for Shamm to leave Gaza finally came this week, and on Wednesday, she was heading to a hospital in Italy.
A child died in her family’s tent
Ro’a was one of four dead children who suffered from malnutrition brought to Nasser over the course of just over two weeks, doctors say.
Her mother, Fatma Mashi, said she first noticed Ro’a losing weight last year, but she thought it was because she was teething. When she took Ro’a to Nasser Hospital in October, the child was severely malnourished, according to Al-Farra, who said Ro’a had no preexisting conditions.
At the time, in the last months of 2024, Israel had reduced aid entry to some of the lowest levels of the war.
The family was also displaced multiple times by Israeli military operations. Each move interrupted Ro’a’s treatment as it took time to find a clinic to get nutritional supplements, Mashi said. The family was reduced to one meal a day — often boiled macaroni — but “whatever she ate, it didn’t change anything in her,” Mashi said.
Two weeks ago, they moved into the tent camps of Muwasi on Gaza’s southern coast. Ro’a’s decline accelerated.
“I could tell it was only a matter of two or three more days,” Mashi said in the family’s tent Friday, the day after she had died.
Mashi and her husband Amin both looked gaunt, their cheeks and eyes hollow. Their five surviving children – including a baby born this year — are thin, but not nearly as emaciated as Ro’a.
DeWaal said it’s not unusual in famines for one family member to be far worse than others. “Most often it will be a kid who is 18 months or 2 years” who is most vulnerable, he said, while older siblings are “more robust.”
But any number of things can set one child into a spiral of malnutrition, such as an infection or troubles after weaning.
“A very small thing can push them over.”

From Narnaul to Hyderabad: Pakistani recounts perilous journey from India in 1947

From Narnaul to Hyderabad: Pakistani recounts perilous journey from India in 1947
Updated 8 min 35 sec ago
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From Narnaul to Hyderabad: Pakistani recounts perilous journey from India in 1947

From Narnaul to Hyderabad: Pakistani recounts perilous journey from India in 1947
  • 88-year-old Muhammad Saleem Pirzada remembers bloodshed of 1947 and peaceful coexistence that came before it
  • Pirzada says at least 80 members of his extended family were killed in violence that followed Partition of India

HYDERABAD, Pakistan: On a rain-soaked September night in 1947, ten-year-old Muhammad Saleem Pirzada was woken by his father and told to gather whatever valuables the family could carry. 

Outside, the streets of Narnaul — then part of the princely state of Patiala in present-day India — were dark, slick, and dangerous.

The order was clear: leave, or risk certain death at the hands of armed Hindu and Sikh mobs that had already begun attacking Muslim neighborhoods.

“Walk barefoot and put a cloth in the children’s mouths so they may not talk,” Pirzada recalls his father telling his mother as the family prepared to slip away in silence. 

That night, Sept. 8, Pirzada, his father, grandfather, four siblings and three other relatives walked more than two kilometers to the railway station. His mother would join them in Pakistan months later.

“It’s natural, when a person is ill, near death, and then Allah grants them health, that moment of near-death comes back to mind. It was just like that, only Allah saved us.”

Britain’s hurried partition of the Subcontinent into India and Pakistan had triggered one of the largest migrations in human history. Around 15 million people were displaced along religious lines, and more than a million were killed in massacres and reprisals, according to independent estimates.

In Narnaul, the violence began on Sept. 6, when mobs attacked Muslim homes. The next day brought more killings and looting. By the third day, the Pirzada family decided to leave, joining a crowd of terrified Muslims at the railway station. Sikh state police initially tried to stop them, but relented after the intervention of the British Railways’ Watch and Ward force.

“We boarded from there and set off,” Pirzada says. 

Along the journey, the train stopped at stations where bodies lay scattered. 

“We saw bodies, wounded people, some without limbs,” he remembers. 

The family eventually reached Hyderabad, in Pakistan’s Sindh province, traveling via Munabao in the Indian state of Rajasthan. 

“May Allah never let anyone see such a time.”

Pirzada estimates that at least 80 members of his extended family were killed in those weeks.

It was not always this way.

Before 1947, he says, Narnaul was a place of deep communal trust. Hindus, Sikhs, and Muslims attended each other’s weddings, and summer nights saw neighbors gathered together on charpoys.

“The Hindus would come and sit there [in the Muslim neighborhoods] at night in the summer… That’s how relations were with the Hindus. They would attend our weddings,” he recalls. 

Sometimes Hindu fathers would even entrust Muslim traders to escort their daughters to their in-laws’ homes. 

“The Hindus would say, ‘Mian ji, you are going there, take my daughter along.’ I have seen those days of affection.”

He still remembers the names of his Hindu schoolteachers, even as he acknowledges that the violence in Eastern Punjab was part of a larger cycle of retaliations. 

“In Eastern Punjab, the atrocities were greater… the Muslims there were martyred,” he says, accusing the Maharaja of Patiala, Yadavindra Singh, of providing arms to Hindu and Sikh mobs. 

“The riots took place at the instigation of the Maharaja of Patiala.”

When asked whether his family would have migrated if peace had held, Pirzada is clear: “There would be no question of coming [to Pakistan]. We had land, the crops were good, and life went on. Had we stayed there, we would have used new technology and increased production.”

In Pakistan, Pirzada briefly worked as a clerk before his family received a land allotment in rural Hyderabad. Farming became his life’s work, and today, at 88, he lives surrounded by his two sons, one daughter, and ten grandchildren.

But more than seven decades later, Narnaul remains etched in his memory. 

“One’s homeland, the place of one’s birth, is always remembered. The desire is still there. May Allah grant the opportunity so I can visit it once,” the said. 

“We even saw some people who died in Pakistan insisting, ‘No, no, we will go back! We will go back’!”


India and China eye resumption of border trade after five years

India and China eye resumption of border trade after five years
Updated 30 min 7 sec ago
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India and China eye resumption of border trade after five years

India and China eye resumption of border trade after five years
  • Agreements to resume direct flights and issue tourist visas also being seen as an effort to rebuild a relationship damaged after a deadly 2020 clash 
  • Past trade between the neighbors acros the Himalayan border passes was usually small in volume, but any resumption is significant for its symbolism

NEW DELHI: India and China are discussing resuming border trade five years after it was halted, foreign ministry officials on both sides have said, as US tariffs disrupt the global trade order.

Past trade between the neighbors across the icy and high-altitude Himalayan border passes was usually small in volume, but any resumption is significant for its symbolism.

The two major economic powers have long competed for strategic influence across South Asia.

However, the two countries, caught in global trade and geopolitical turbulence triggered by US President Donald Trump’s tariff regime, have moved to mend ties.

Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi is expected for talks in New Delhi on Monday, according to Indian media, after his counterpart Subrahmanyam Jaishankar visited Beijing in July.

That, as well as agreements to resume direct flights and issue tourist visas, has been seen as an effort to rebuild a relationship damaged after a deadly 2020 border clash between troops.

“For a long time, China-India border trade cooperation has played an important role in improving the lives of people living along the border,” China’s foreign ministry said in a statement sent to AFP on Thursday.

It said the two sides have “reached a consensus on cross-border exchanges and cooperation, including resumption of border trade.”

New Delhi’s junior foreign minister, Kirti Vardhan Singh, told parliament last week that “India has engaged with the Chinese side to facilitate the resumption of border trade.”

No restart date was given by either side.

Successive US administrations have seen India as a longstanding ally with like-minded interests when it comes to China.

India is part of the Quad security alliance with the United States, as well as Australia and Japan.

However, ties between New Delhi and Washington have been strained by Trump’s ultimatum for India to end its purchases of Russian oil, a key source of revenue for Moscow as it wages its military offensive in Ukraine.

The United States will double new import tariffs on India from 25 percent to 50 percent by August 27 if New Delhi does not switch crude suppliers.

Indian foreign ministry spokesman Randhir Jaiswal told reporters on Thursday that the partnership between New Delhi and Washington had “weathered several transitions and challenges.”

Jaiswal said India hoped that the “relationship will continue to move forward based on mutual respect and shared interests.”

He said India “stands ready” to support the efforts to end the Ukraine war and endorses the summit to be held between Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin in Alaska on Friday.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi, according to Indian media, might also visit China in late August. It would be Modi’s first visit since 2018, although it has not been confirmed officially.

Beijing has said that “China welcomes Prime Minister Modi” for the Shanghai Cooperation Organization summit opening on August 31.


KAUST authors new study on land degradation

KAUST authors new study on land degradation
Updated 28 min 23 sec ago
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KAUST authors new study on land degradation

KAUST authors new study on land degradation
  • Saudi university’s blueprint also sets out to improve food security, social stability, biodiversity
  • Research recommends restoring degraded land through sustainable management practices

RIYADH: A recent study by King Abdullah University of Science and Technology designed a new blueprint to reduce the impact of land degradation worldwide.

The Saudi university is aiming to reverse the growing threat of land degradation, and improve food and water security, social stability, and biodiversity.

The study was published in the international multidisciplinary science journal Nature, and puts forward a number of solutions to reverse the trajectory of land degradation by 2050.

One of the recommended methods involves increasing production and consumption of seafood in order to reduce the pressure that agriculture places on land.

Another is to lower food waste by 75 percent — with the study noting that one-third of food produced is wasted at a cost of more than $1 trillion annually.

Finally, the study suggests restoring 50 percent of degraded land through sustainable management practices.

KAUST reported that food production is using up to 34 percent of the planet’s ice-free land, a number that could increase to 42 percent by 2050 if current situation continues.

Scientists proposed revising economic incentives, increasing food donations, and promoting smaller restaurant portions to preserve up to 13.4 million sq. km of land.

“Saudi Arabia is already doing a lot in improving food waste and looking at land restoration, but can still benefit a lot from this if policymakers implement a few of these key recommendations,” Fernando Maestre, professor of environmental science and engineering at KAUST, told Arab News.

“These include promoting smaller restaurant meals, requiring supermarkets and hotels to donate or discount near-expiry food, requiring companies to publish waste-reduction plans, investing in cold-chain and community redistribution, and expanding sustainable seafood/seaweed options that deliver nutrition with very low land and water use.

“Cutting food waste with measures like these would ease pressure on the Kingdom’s scarce water resources and cut emissions, while improving food security and saving money,” Maestre added.

The study also emphasized the importance of sustainable seafood production, elaborating on how specific aquaculture policies could have the potential to lower the pressure on land resources and help reduce deforestation.

“By transforming food systems, restoring degraded land, harnessing the potential of sustainable seafood, and fostering cooperation across nations and sectors, we can ‘bend the curve’ and reverse land degradation,” Maestre said.

The study was carried out in collaboration with Aeon Collective and the UN Convention to Combat Desertification.